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Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 71.8
Projected
39–33
✓ WOF won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 66.0
Projected
25–42
✓ VCU won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 65.9
Projected
31–34
Half finalNon-conference · Neutral site
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 70.7
Projected
37–33
✓ WYO won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 67.3
Projected
35–32
✓ UNA won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 65.9
Projected
37–29
✗ MCN lost
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 69.0
Projected
29–40
✗ TCU lost
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half final |  5-4 · #248  0-10 · #348 |
— | — | WOF -5.8 | — | 71.8 | — | 74% WOF | › | |
| Half final |  2-8 · #346  6-4 · #61 |
— | — | VCU -17.1 | — | 66.0 | — | 97% VCU | › | |
| Half final |  3-5 · #342  3-6 · #252 |
— | — | SELA -3.0 | — | 65.9 | — | 63% SELA | › | |
| Half final |  7-2 · #122  4-5 · #201 |
— | — | WYO -3.9 | — | 70.7 | — | 66% WYO | › | |
| Half final |  3-4 · #292  3-4 · #328 |
— | — | UNA -3.5 | — | 67.3 | — | 65% UNA | › | |
| Half final |  7-2 · #127  3-5 · #300 |
— | — | MCN -7.7 | — | 65.9 | — | 80% MCN | › | |
| Half final |  2-5 · #289  6-3 · #40 |
— | — | TCU -11.6 | — | 69.0 | — | 90% TCU | › |
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record