Provident Credit Union Event Center · at San José St · Conference game
Closing line
NEV -10.5✓ SJSU covered by 26.5
NEV -10.5✓ SJSU covered by 26.5Closing total141.5Over by 16.5
| NEV | This season | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-8 | Record | 5-19 |
| 15-10 | ATS | 12-12 |
| 14-11 | O/U | 14-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEV 77–67 SJSU · ✗ NEV (80%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 32 | 39 | 71 |
| SJSU | 47 | 40 | 87 |
1st half: NEV 32, SJSU 47 (SJSU by 15). The model had NEV by 5.9 and a total of 67.5 (actual 79).
Team stats
| NEV | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-55 40% | Field goals | 30-58 52% |
| 3-20 15% | 3-pointers | 15-29 52% |
| 24-32 75% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 32 13 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 18 |
| 10 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 24 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 34 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 7-15 | 2-6 |
| Elijah Price F | 32 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Vaughn Weems G | 30 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amire Robinson G | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Myles Walker G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Joel Armotrading C | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Peyton White G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Rolison G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jeriah Coleman C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chuck Bailey III, Christopher Baudreau, Ethan Croley
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Garland G | 40 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 10-17 | 4-5 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 40 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Adrian Myers G | 33 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 7-16 | 5-12 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 26 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Marcus Overstreet F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pasha Goodarzi G | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Douglas Langford F | 18 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Japhet Moupadele F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jermaine Washington, Yaphet Moundi, Christian Wise, JaVaughn Hannah, Jaden Goodall, Ben Roseborough, Damase Coly, Eren Karakaya
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEV -10.5
ModelNEV -9.7
Model edgeSJSU +0.8
W SJSU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model144.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
NEV 76.9 · SJSU 67.2
NEV 71 · SJSU 87
Win probability
NEV 80%
1st half
Spread
NEV -5.9
SJSU -15.0
Total
67.5
79 points
Projected score
NEV 36.7 · SJSU 30.8
NEV 32 · SJSU 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEV -9.5
1 → NEV
CloseNEV -10.5
1 pt toward NEV
Total
Open142.5
▼ 1
Close141.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NEV -700 · SJSU +500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEV -9.5 · closed NEV -10.5 · moved 1 toward NEVmodel NEV -9.5
model NEV -9.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
| SJSU | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
NEV 9–1 SJSUNEV leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NEV has won the last 5 meetings · NEV 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025-26 | SJSU 54 @ NEV 87 | NEV -16.5 | NEV W |
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | NEV 73 @ SJSU 58 | SJSU +7.5 | NEV W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | SJSU 64 @ NEV 75 | NEV -13.5 | SJSU W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | NEV 84 @ SJSU 63 | SJSU +10.5 | NEV W |
| Feb 2, 2023-24 | SJSU 60 @ NEV 90 | NEV -11.5 | NEV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nevada
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LT | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs PAC | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIU | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ SCU | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCD | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vs UCSB | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs WASH | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs SF | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs UCSD | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ WSU | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs DUQ | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vs BOIS | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | @ CSU | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ FRES | W 66-65 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | vs SDSU | L 68-73 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs WYO | W 92-83 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @ USU | L 62-71 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ AF | W 81-66 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | vsSJSU | W 87-54 | -16.5 | W +16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNM | L 73-80 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs GCU | W 66-60 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vs UNLV | W 89-76 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @BOIS | L 87-91 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 7 | vsFRES | W 69-59 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 14 | @SDSU | L 57-71 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+21.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
+0.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
+16.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
−2.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+18.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
+14.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−3.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−6.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+5.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
+4.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+16.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+1.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
+2.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+5.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+2.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−1.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+3.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
−3.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
−3.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
+1.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+5.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
−2.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−15.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−0.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+31.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
−14.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+12.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+3.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+2.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
−17.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+17.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+36.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−21.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−11.5
over 14under 11avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
San José St
24 games played
Straight up
5-19
21% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-10
58% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UTAH | L 75-84 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | @UCSB | L 74-85 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ MSU | L 60-79 | +24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | vs SOU | W 80-66 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs TLSA | L 51-81 | +5.5 | L −24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs LUC | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs UCI | L 63-72 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 5 | vs USD | W 86-69 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs LBSU | W 89-83 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs STAN | L 82-86 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 20 | @UNM | L 65-88 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | vsSDSU | L 68-81 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @USU | L 78-96 | +22.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | vsFRES | L 55-70 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @GCU | L 58-76 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | vsAF | W 70-62 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNLV | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @NEV | L 54-87 | +16.5 | L −16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @WYO | L 62-66 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 27 | vsBOIS | L 58-89 | +12.5 | L −18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNM | L 80-90 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 7 | @CSU | L 57-65 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 10 | @UNLV | L 75-82 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsGCU | L 79-94 | +11.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−24.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
+10.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−5.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
−1.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+4.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
−6.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
−1.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+4.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−13.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−1.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+2.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−6.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 54-87
−16.5
24
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
+9.5
27
vsBOIS
BOISL 58-89
−18.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 80-90
+5.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 57-65
+7.5
10
@UNLV
UNLVL 75-82
+5.5
14
vsGCU
GCUL 79-94
−3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
−4.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−17.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
−22.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−4.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
+30.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+22.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
+0.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
+7.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+22.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−24.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−7.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+3.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−8.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 54-87
+3.5
24
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
−13.5
27
vsBOIS
BOISL 58-89
+5.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 80-90
+21.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 57-65
−16.5
10
@UNLV
UNLVL 75-82
+7.5
14
vsGCU
GCUL 79-94
+33.5
over 14under 10avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nevada
17-8 overall · 9-5 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San Diego St57–71
- Wvs Fresno St69–59
- L@ Boise St87–91
- Wvs UNLV89–76
- Wvs Grand Canyon66–60
3 days since their last game.
San José St
5-19 overall · 1-13 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Grand Canyon79–94
- L@ UNLV75–82
- L@ Colorado St57–65
- Lvs New Mexico80–90
- Lvs Boise St58–89
3 days since their last game.