Viejas Arena · at San Diego St · Conference game
Closing line
SDSU -7.5✓ GCU covered by 17.5
SDSU -7.5✓ GCU covered by 17.5Closing total139.5Under by 3.5
 GCU | This season | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 16-9 | Record | 17-6 |
| 12-13 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 11-14 | O/U | 10-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GCU 69–75 SDSU · ✗ SDSU (70%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCU | 29 | 44 | 73 |
| SDSU | 33 | 30 | 63 |
1st half: GCU 29, SDSU 33 (SDSU by 4). The model had SDSU by 3.4 and a total of 67.3 (actual 62).
Team stats
| GCU | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-56 43% | Field goals | 22-62 35% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 3-15 20% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 16-18 89% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Henley G | 35 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 7-17 | 2-5 |
| Makaih Williams G | 34 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Brian Moore Jr. G | 32 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 32 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Efe Demirel C | 28 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dusty Stromer G | 19 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Dennis Evans C | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Cole Pepe, Evan Boisdur, Luke Shaw, Braylon Johnson, Jack Sawyer, Kaleb Smith, Caleb Shaw
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd G | 35 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 32 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| BJ Davis G | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Miles Heide F | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taj DeGourville G | 22 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Magoon Gwath F | 20 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Tae Simmons F | 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Thokbor Majak, Raymar Gonzales, Elzie Harrington, Latrell Davis, Cam Lawin
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDSU -7.5
ModelSDSU -5.8
Model edgeGCU +1.7
W GCU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model143.7
Model edgeOver 4.2
L Under
Projected score
GCU 68.9 · SDSU 74.8
GCU 73 · SDSU 63
Win probability
SDSU 70%
1st half
Spread
SDSU -3.4
SDSU -4.0
Total
67.3
62 points
Projected score
GCU 32 · SDSU 35.3
GCU 29 · SDSU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -7.5
no move
CloseSDSU -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open136.5
▲ 3
Close139.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
GCU +310 · SDSU -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -7.5 · unchangedmodel SDSU -6
model SDSU -6
Opened 136.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 3 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| SDSU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GCU 2–0 SDSUGCU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · GCU has won the last 2 meetings · GCU 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | SDSU 69 @ GCU 70 | GCU +1.5 | GCU W |
| Dec 5, 2023-24 | SDSU 73 @ GCU 79 | GCU +1.5 | GCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grand Canyon
25 games played
Straight up
16-9
64% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs PFW | W 90-71 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | vs YSU | L 81-90 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 10 | vs NIU | W 88-59 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 15 | @ SLU | L 64-78 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs NWST | W 85-72 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTAH | W 68-58 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs IOWA | L 46-59 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | vs STET | W 67-45 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | vs OKST | L 78-84 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs CCU | W 82-61 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ WYO | W 82-70 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs IUIN | W 91-78 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 169.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs CSU | L 60-70 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @ BOIS | W 75-58 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs SJSU | W 76-58 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ UNM | L 64-87 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | vs USU | W 84-74 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vsSDSU | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @ FRES | W 68-57 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 27 | @ NEV | L 60-66 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vsBOIS | W 86-69 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 141.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 3 | vs AF | W 81-57 | -26.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 7 | @ UNLV | L 78-80 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 11 | vsUNM | L 64-70 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | @SJSU | W 94-79 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
−24.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
+6.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−5.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
−5.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
+4.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−4.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−2.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
−4.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
+3.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+14.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−10.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−16.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
+25.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
+1.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
−16.5
17
vsUSU
USUW 84-74
+15.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 70-69
+2.5
24
@FRES
FRESW 68-57
+6.5
27
@NEV
NEVL 60-66
−2.5
30
vsBOIS
BOISW 86-69
+15.5
3
vsAF
AFW 81-57
−2.5
7
@UNLV
UNLVL 78-80
−4.5
11
vsUNM
UNML 64-70
−7.5
14
@SJSU
SJSUW 94-79
+3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
+18.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
−16.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−25.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
+9.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
−27.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−38.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−29.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
+6.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
−0.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+4.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−0.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−13.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
−7.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
−7.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
+4.5
17
vsUSU
USUW 84-74
+7.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 70-69
−6.5
24
@FRES
FRESW 68-57
−20.5
27
@NEV
NEVL 60-66
−17.5
30
vsBOIS
BOISW 86-69
+13.5
3
vsAF
AFW 81-57
+0.5
7
@UNLV
UNLVL 78-80
+9.5
11
vsUNM
UNML 64-70
−14.5
14
@SJSU
SJSUW 94-79
+33.5
over 11under 14avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego St
23 games played
Straight up
17-6
74% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-13
43% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vsAF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vsBOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 6 | @NEV | W 73-68 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsFRES | W 71-52 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @WYO | W 74-57 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNM | W 83-79 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | @GCU | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @UNLV | W 82-71 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 28 | vsCSU | W 73-50 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @USU | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsWYO | W 72-63 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @AF | W 88-54 | -22.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | vsNEV | W 71-57 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
+6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
+4.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
+15.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
−1.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−2.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+7.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
+13.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
+1.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−3.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
+6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
−0.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
−23.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
−17.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
+13.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−6.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+3.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
−16.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
−10.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−6.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+2.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
−11.5
over 10under 13avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grand Canyon
16-9 overall · 9-5 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ San José St94–79
- Lvs New Mexico64–70
- L@ UNLV78–80
- Wvs Air Force81–57
- Wvs Boise St86–69
3 days since their last game.
San Diego St
17-6 overall · 12-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nevada71–57
- W@ Air Force88–54
- Wvs Wyoming72–63
- L@ Utah State66–71
- Wvs Colorado St73–50
3 days since their last game.