Lawlor Events Center · at Nevada · Conference game
Closing line
NEV -3.5✓ NEV covered by 2.5
NEV -3.5✓ NEV covered by 2.5Closing total143.5Under by 17.5
 GCU | This season | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| 13-6 | Record | 14-6 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 7-12 | O/U | 12-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GCU 70–73 NEV · ✓ NEV (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCU | 24 | 29 | 7 | 60 |
| NEV | 26 | 27 | 13 | 66 |
1st half: GCU 24, NEV 26 (NEV by 2). The model had NEV by 1.5 and a total of 67.1 (actual 50).
Team stats
| GCU | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-58 40% | Field goals | 21-64 33% |
| 4-23 17% | 3-pointers | 7-17 41% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 17-26 65% |
| 43 8 off | Rebounds | 42 13 off |
| 8 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 8 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dusty Stromer G | 44 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Jaden Henley G | 44 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 5-19 | 2-8 |
| Makaih Williams G | 43 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-5 |
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 39 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| Efe Demirel C | 37 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dennis Evans C | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evan Boisdur G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack Sawyer, Cole Pepe, Luke Shaw, Braylon Johnson, Brian Moore Jr., Caleb Shaw, Kaleb Smith
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 39 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3-13 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Price F | 24 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 23 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-2 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Vaughn Weems G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Peyton White G | 29 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Chuck Bailey III G | 29 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 7-10 | 4-4 |
| Tyler Rolison G | 23 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Jeriah Coleman C | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Amire Robinson G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ethan Croley, Christopher Baudreau, Myles Walker, Joel Armotrading
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEV -4.5
1 → GCU
CloseNEV -3.5
1 pt toward GCU
Total
Open138.5
▲ 5
Close143.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
GCU +150 · NEV -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEV -4.5 · closed NEV -3.5 · moved 1 toward GCUmodel NEV -2.5
model NEV -2.5
Opened 138.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 5 upmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEV -3.5 | NEV -2.7 | GCU +0.8 | L NEV covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 143.2 | Under 0.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | GCU 70.2 · NEV 72.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NEV -1.5 | NEV -2.0 |
| 1H total | 67.1 | 50 |
| 1H projected score | GCU 32.8 · NEV 34.3 | GCU 24 · NEV 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| NEV | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GCU 0–1 NEVNEV leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · GCU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022-23 | GCU 46 @ NEV 59 | NEV -1.5 | NEV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grand Canyon
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-12
37% overs · avg −7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs PFW | W 90-71 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | vs YSU | L 81-90 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 10 | vs NIU | W 88-59 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 15 | @ SLU | L 64-78 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs NWST | W 85-72 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTAH | W 68-58 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs IOWA | L 46-59 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | vs STET | W 67-45 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | vs OKST | L 78-84 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs CCU | W 82-61 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ WYO | W 82-70 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs IUIN | W 91-78 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 169.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs CSU | L 60-70 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @ BOIS | W 75-58 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs SJSU | W 76-58 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ UNM | L 64-87 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | vs USU | W 84-74 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vs SDSU | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @ FRES | W 68-57 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
−24.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
+6.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−5.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
−5.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
+4.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−4.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−2.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
−4.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
+3.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+14.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−10.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−16.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
+25.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
+1.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
−16.5
17
vsUSU
USUW 84-74
+15.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 70-69
+2.5
24
@FRES
FRESW 68-57
+6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
+18.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
−16.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−25.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
+9.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
−27.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−38.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−29.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
+6.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
−0.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+4.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−0.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−13.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
−7.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
−7.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
+4.5
17
vsUSU
USUW 84-74
+7.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 70-69
−6.5
24
@FRES
FRESW 68-57
−20.5
over 7under 12avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nevada
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LT | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs PAC | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIU | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ SCU | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCD | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vs UCSB | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs WASH | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs SF | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs UCSD | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ WSU | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs DUQ | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vsBOIS | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | @CSU | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @FRES | W 66-65 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | vsSDSU | L 68-73 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsWYO | W 92-83 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @USU | L 62-71 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ AF | W 81-66 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | vsSJSU | W 87-54 | -16.5 | W +16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @UNM | L 73-80 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+21.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
+0.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
+16.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
−2.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+18.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
+14.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−3.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−6.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+5.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
+4.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+16.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+3.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
−3.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
−3.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
+1.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+5.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
−2.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−15.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−0.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+31.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
−14.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+12.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+3.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+2.5
over 12under 8avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grand Canyon
13-6 overall · 6-2 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Fresno St68–57
- Wvs San Diego St70–69
- Wvs Utah State84–74
- L@ New Mexico64–87
- Wvs San José St76–58
3 days since their last game.
Nevada
14-6 overall · 6-3 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ New Mexico73–80
- Wvs San José St87–54
- W@ Air Force81–66
- L@ Utah State62–71
- Wvs Wyoming92–83
3 days since their last game.