Lawlor Events Center · at Nevada
Closing line
NEV -12.5✓ UCD covered by 16.5
NEV -12.5✓ UCD covered by 16.5Closing total143.5Over by 2.5
 UCD | This season | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 3-1 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCD 67–80 NEV · ✗ NEV (87%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 33 | 42 | 75 |
| NEV | 33 | 38 | 71 |
1st half: UCD 33, NEV 33 (tied). The model had NEV by 7.6 and a total of 68.6 (actual 66).
Team stats
| UCD | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-45 49% | Field goals | 21-53 40% |
| 11-26 42% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 20-27 74% | Free throws | 21-29 72% |
| 28 4 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Cooper G | 30 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 8-10 | 3-4 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 29 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Connor Sevilla G | 26 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Niko Rocak F | 25 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Chappell F | 30 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Abdullah Amzil F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jonathan Noudjihidi C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Chase Rawlins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ylan Esso-Essis, Cyril Franklin Jr., Carl Daughtery Jr.
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Price F | 34 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 30 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Joel Armotrading C | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Chuck Bailey III G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Peyton White G | 24 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Vaughn Weems G | 21 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Tyler Rolison G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Amire Robinson G | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christopher Baudreau, Ethan Croley, Myles Walker, Kaleb Lowery, Jeriah Coleman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEV -12.5
ModelNEV -12.9
Model edgeNEV +0.4
L UCD covered
Total
Market143.5
Model146.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
W Over
Projected score
UCD 66.7 · NEV 79.6
UCD 75 · NEV 71
Win probability
NEV 87%
1st half
Spread
NEV -7.6
tied
Total
68.6
66 points
Projected score
UCD 30.5 · NEV 38.1
UCD 33 · NEV 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEV -13.5
1 → UCD
CloseNEV -12.5
1 pt toward UCD
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCD +700 · NEV -1200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEV -13.5 · closed NEV -12.5 · moved 1 toward UCDmodel NEV -13
model NEV -13
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCDlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| NEVlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCD 0–1 NEVNEV leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UCD 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023-24 | UCD 68 @ NEV 80 | NEV -13.5 | UCD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Davis
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
NDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@
PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vs
SAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
over 1under 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nevada
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +14.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vs
PAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vs
SIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@
SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
over 3under 1avg +14.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Davis
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacramento St77–73
- L@ Portland63–67
- Wvs N Dakota St80–68
4 days since their last game.
Nevada
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Clara83–98
- Wvs S Illinois86–81
- Wvs Pacific78–77
- Wvs Louisiana Tech77–50
3 days since their last game.