Moby Arena · at Colorado St · Conference game
Closing line
CSU -1.5✓ NEV covered by 14.5
CSU -1.5✓ NEV covered by 14.5Closing total139.5Under by 2.5
 NEV | This season | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-3 | Record | 8-3 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 8-3 |
| 8-4 | O/U | 7-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEV 72–74 CSU · ✗ CSU (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 37 | 38 | 75 |
| CSU | 36 | 26 | 62 |
1st half: NEV 37, CSU 36 (NEV by 1). The model had CSU by 1.1 and a total of 68.7 (actual 73).
Team stats
| NEV | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-52 42% | Field goals | 19-51 37% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 23-31 74% | Free throws | 18-29 62% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 8 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Price F | 31 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-0 |
| Vaughn Weems G | 30 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Chuck Bailey III G | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 22 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-9 | 0-2 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Rolison G | 22 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 6-9 | 2-5 |
| Peyton White G | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Amire Robinson G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Jeriah Coleman C | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Walker G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Croley F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corey Camper Jr., Joel Armotrading, Christopher Baudreau
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevin Muniz G | 33 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 7-12 | 1-4 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 30 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Carey Booth F | 28 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-8 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 26 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jase Butler G | 24 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jojo McIver G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Darnez Slater G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jon Mekonnen F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Charlie Dortch, Kyle Jorgensen, Docker Tedeschi, Rashaan Mbemba
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -3.5
2 → NEV
CloseCSU -1.5
2 pts toward NEV
Total
Open146.5
▼ 7
Close139.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
NEV +105 · CSU -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -3.5 · closed CSU -1.5 · moved 2 toward NEVmodel CSU -2
model CSU -2
Opened 146.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 7 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CSU -1.5 | CSU -2.0 | CSU +0.5 | L NEV covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 146.7 | Over 7.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | NEV 72.4 · CSU 74.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CSU -1.1 | NEV -1.0 |
| 1H total | 68.7 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | NEV 33.8 · CSU 34.9 | NEV 37 · CSU 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| CSU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
NEV 3–6 CSUCSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CSU has won the last 4 meetings · NEV 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | NEV 59 vs CSU 67 | CSU -4.5 | CSU W |
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | NEV 71 @ CSU 79 | CSU -3.5 | CSU W |
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | CSU 66 @ NEV 64 | NEV -7.5 | CSU W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | CSU 85 vs NEV 78 | NEV -3.5 | CSU W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | NEV 77 @ CSU 74 | CSU -5.5 | NEV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nevada
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LT | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs PAC | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIU | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ SCU | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCD | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vs UCSB | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs WASH | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs SF | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs UCSD | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ WSU | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs DUQ | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vs BOIS | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+21.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
+0.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
+16.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
−2.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+18.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+3.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
−3.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
−3.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
+1.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+5.5
over 8under 4avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
8-3
73% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
covered 8didn’t cover 3avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
over 7under 4avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nevada
9-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boise St81–66
- Wvs Duquesne78–75
- W@ Washington St78–64
- Wvs UC San Diego76–70
- Wvs San Francisco81–65
A week or more of rest.
Colorado St
8-3 overall · 0-1 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Utah State58–100
- Wvs Dartmouth76–55
- Wvs Colorado91–86
- Wvs South Florida83–68
- Wvs Wichita St76–70
A week or more of rest.