Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · at Utah State · Conference game
Closing line
USU -10.5✓ USU covered by 31.5
USU -10.5✓ USU covered by 31.5Closing total147.5Over by 10.5
 CSU | This season | USU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 8-1 |
| 8-2 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSU 71–79 USU · ✓ USU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 24 | 34 | 58 |
| USU | 45 | 55 | 100 |
1st half: CSU 24, USU 45 (USU by 21). The model had USU by 4.4 and a total of 70.3 (actual 69).
Team stats
| CSU | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-49 37% | Field goals | 37-58 64% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 12-21 57% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 14-24 58% |
| 20 9 off | Rebounds | 40 16 off |
| 9 | Assists | 22 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli G | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-10 | 2-7 |
| Jevin Muniz G | 31 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 25 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Carey Booth F | 20 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jase Butler G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Jojo McIver G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Darnez Slater G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rashaan Mbemba, Jon Mekonnen, Charlie Dortch, Docker Tedeschi
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adlan Elamin F | 25 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Drake Allen G | 24 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 22 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Mason Falslev G | 22 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7-9 | 2-3 |
| Zach Keller F | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 30 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Garry Clark F | 21 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Karson Templin F | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Luke Kearney F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -8.5
2 → USU
CloseUSU -10.5
2 pts toward USU
Total
Open149.5
▼ 2
Close147.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CSU +440 · USU -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -8.5 · closed USU -10.5 · moved 2 toward USUmodel USU -7.5
model USU -7.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USU -10.5 | USU -7.5 | CSU +3.0 | L USU covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 150.2 | Over 2.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CSU 71.3 · USU 78.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USU -4.4 | USU -21.0 |
| 1H total | 70.3 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | CSU 33 · USU 37.4 | CSU 24 · USU 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
| USUlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CSU 6–3 USUCSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CSU has won the last 2 meetings · CSU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | USU 72 vs CSU 83 | CSU -0.5 | CSU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | USU 66 @ CSU 93 | CSU -1.5 | CSU W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | CSU 85 @ USU 93 | USU -6.5 | USU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | USU 55 @ CSU 75 | CSU -5.5 | CSU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | CSU 72 @ USU 77 | USU -2.5 | USU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado St
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
8-2
80% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 2avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
over 6under 4avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah State
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
over 4under 5avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado St
8-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Dartmouth76–55
- Wvs Colorado91–86
- Wvs South Florida83–68
- Wvs Wichita St76–70
- Lvs Virginia Tech64–66
A week or more of rest.
Utah State
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Illinois St83–78
- W@ Charlotte79–53
- L@ South Florida61–74
- Wvs Montana St84–81
- Wvs Davidson94–60
A week or more of rest.