Viejas Arena · at San Diego St · Conference game
Closing line
SDSU -24.5✓ AF covered by 1.5
SDSU -24.5✓ AF covered by 1.5Closing total135.5Over by 3.5
 AF | This season | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 5-3 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AF 59–82 SDSU · ✓ SDSU (97%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| SDSU | 33 | 48 | 81 |
1st half: AF 30, SDSU 33 (SDSU by 3). The model had SDSU by 13.3 and a total of 65.9 (actual 63).
Team stats
| AF | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-46 41% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 26 6 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 27 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Sanders G | 30 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Eli Robinson F | 29 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Hinds G | 33 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Lucas Hobin F | 23 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Caleb Walker F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Josh Gatete F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elliott Taite, Riley Dering, Keaton Frisch, Brendan Martin, Kyle Marshall, Chris Catchings, Sam Imade
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Miles Heide F | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Magoon Gwath F | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Elzie Harrington G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Miles Byrd G | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| BJ Davis G | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 6-11 | 4-6 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 16 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Taj DeGourville G | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Tae Simmons F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Thokbor Majak F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cam Lawin G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Raymar Gonzales G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Latrell Davis
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -23.5
1 → SDSU
CloseSDSU -24.5
1 pt toward SDSU
Total
Open139.5
▼ 4
Close135.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
AF +2500 · SDSU -9000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -23.5 · closed SDSU -24.5 · moved 1 toward SDSUmodel SDSU -22.5
model SDSU -22.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 4 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SDSU -24.5 | SDSU -22.4 | AF +2.1 | W AF covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 140.6 | Over 5.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | AF 59.1 · SDSU 81.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SDSU -13.3 | SDSU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 65.9 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | AF 26.3 · SDSU 39.6 | AF 30 · SDSU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| SDSUlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
AF 0–6 SDSUSDSU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · SDSU has won the last 6 meetings · AF 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | SDSU 77 @ AF 76 | AF +14.5 | AF W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | AF 38 @ SDSU 67 | SDSU -19.5 | SDSU W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | SDSU 77 @ AF 64 | AF +9.5 | SDSU W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | SDSU 70 @ AF 60 | AF +9.5 | SDSU W |
| Dec 28, 2022-23 | AF 55 @ SDSU 71 | SDSU -16.5 | AF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Air Force
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
over 4under 7avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego St
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +17.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
over 4under 4avg +17.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Air Force
3-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Navy56–61
- Lvs Pacific65–80
- Lvs South Dakota63–80
- Lvs N Colorado53–71
- Wvs IU Indy98–85
A week or more of rest.
San Diego St
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lamar89–71
- Wvs Utah Valley77–66
- Lvs Baylor81–91
- Wvs Oregon97–80
- Lvs Michigan54–94
A week or more of rest.