Maples Pavilion · at Stanford
Closing line
STAN -10.5✓ STAN covered by 5.5
STAN -10.5✓ STAN covered by 5.5Closing total139.5Under by 3.5
 UTA | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 8-2 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 1-7 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTA 67–78 STAN · ✓ STAN (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 25 | 35 | 60 |
| STAN | 40 | 36 | 76 |
1st half: UTA 25, STAN 40 (STAN by 15). The model had STAN by 6.8 and a total of 68.0 (actual 65).
Team stats
| UTA | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-43 42% | Field goals | 23-48 48% |
| 4-14 29% | 3-pointers | 5-15 33% |
| 20-29 69% | Free throws | 25-32 78% |
| 23 4 off | Rebounds | 32 7 off |
| 6 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 24 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| UTA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash Chavis G | 34 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-2 |
| Marcell McCreary G | 30 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Raysean Seamster F | 30 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Cameron Jackson F | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bahsil Laster G | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Amari Reed F | 19 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyran Mason G | 11 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Lowery G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Alex Bossinakis G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Augustine Youssef, Jayden Smoot, Stoney Hadnot, Miles Goodman
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benny Gealer G | 39 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-7 |
| Chisom Okpara F | 33 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 24 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Cammann F | 19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kristers Skrinda F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Jones, Ebuka Okorie, Ethan Kitch, Donavin Young, Anthony Batson Jr., Cameron Grant, Evan Stinson, Tallis Toure
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -12.5
2 → UTA
CloseSTAN -10.5
2 pts toward UTA
Total
Open142.5
▼ 3
Close139.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UTA +525 · STAN -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -12.5 · closed STAN -10.5 · moved 2 toward UTAmodel STAN -11.5
model STAN -11.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 3 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STAN -10.5 | STAN -11.5 | STAN +1.0 | W STAN covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 145.1 | Over 5.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UTA 66.8 · STAN 78.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STAN -6.8 | STAN -15.0 |
| 1H total | 68.0 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | UTA 30.6 · STAN 37.4 | UTA 25 · STAN 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% | 1-7 13% |
| STAN | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Arlington
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-7
13% overs · avg −11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ UNM | L 56-74 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs MOST | W 67-49 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 18 | @ EVAN | W 84-76 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs CAM | L 67-71 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 22 | @ WEB | W 74-73 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 29 | vs SFA | W 66-61 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 2 | @ ARST | L 63-83 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 11 | @ RGV | W 58-50 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 108 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@UNM
UNML 56-74
−4.5
15
vsMOST
MOSTW 67-49
+14.5
18
@EVAN
EVANW 84-76
+10.5
21
vsCAM
CAML 67-71
−2.5
22
@WEB
WEBW 74-73
+3.5
29
vsSFA
SFAW 66-61
+3.5
2
@ARST
ARSTL 63-83
−14.5
11
@RGV
RGVW 58-50
+12.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UNM
UNML 56-74
−15.5
15
vsMOST
MOSTW 67-49
−27.5
18
@EVAN
EVANW 84-76
+21.5
21
vsCAM
CAML 67-71
−13.5
22
@WEB
WEBW 74-73
−2.5
29
vsSFA
SFAW 66-61
−11.5
2
@ARST
ARSTL 63-83
−5.5
11
@RGV
RGVW 58-50
−37.5
over 1under 7avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
over 5under 5avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Arlington
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UT Rio Grande58–50
- L@ Arkansas St63–83
- Wvs SF Austin66–61
- W@ Weber St74–73
- Lvs Campbell67–71
6 days since their last game.
Stanford
8-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ San José St86–82
- Lvs UNLV74–75
- Wvs Portland94–72
- Wvs Saint Louis78–77
- Wvs Minnesota72–68
4 days since their last game.