College Park Center · at UT Arlington
Closing line
UTA -1.5✓ UTA covered by 3.5
UTA -1.5✓ UTA covered by 3.5Closing total138.5Under by 11.5
 SFA | This season | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-2 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 1-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFA 71–71 UTA · ✓ UTA (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 33 | 28 | 61 |
| UTA | 26 | 40 | 66 |
1st half: SFA 33, UTA 26 (SFA by 7). The model had SFA by 0.1 and a total of 66.4 (actual 59).
Team stats
| SFA | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-61 43% | Field goals | 21-47 45% |
| 3-13 23% | 3-pointers | 4-11 36% |
| 6-8 75% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 28 12 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 6 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SFA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lateef Patrick Jr. G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 8-19 | 0-6 |
| Keon Thompson G | 33 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 8-21 | 1-1 |
| Chrishawn Christmas G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Jerald Colonel F | 25 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kam Burton G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Narit Chotikavanic G | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Gediminas Alisas F | 15 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ahamed Mohammed G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Eltramon Smith F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Yohan Gutierrez, Harris Dar, Bryceson Melvin, Marcus Scurry, Christian Green, Tichyque Musaka
| UTA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell McCreary G | 33 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-3 |
| Raysean Seamster F | 33 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Cameron Jackson F | 31 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cash Chavis G | 26 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Smoot G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Lowery G | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Tyran Mason G | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Bahsil Laster G | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Miles Goodman F | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Augustine Youssef, Alex Bossinakis, Stoney Hadnot, Amari Reed
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTA -1.5
ModelUTA -0.1
Model edgeSFA +1.4
L UTA covered
Total
Market138.5
Model141.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
L Under
Projected score
SFA 70.7 · UTA 70.9
SFA 61 · UTA 66
Win probability
UTA 51%
1st half
Spread
SFA -0.1
SFA -7.0
Total
66.4
59 points
Projected score
SFA 33.2 · UTA 33.2
SFA 33 · UTA 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSFA -1.5
3 → UTA
CloseUTA -1.5
3 pts toward UTA
Total
Open142.5
▼ 4
Close138.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
SFA +100 · UTA -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SFA -1.5 · closed UTA -1.5 · moved 3 toward UTAmodel UTA -0
model UTA -0
Opened 142.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 4 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFAlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
| UTAlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 1-4 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SFA 2–3 UTAUTA leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · UTA has won the last 2 meetings · SFA 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | SFA 78 vs UTA 109 | UTA -2.5 | UTA W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | SFA 63 @ UTA 71 | UTA -3.5 | UTA W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | UTA 73 @ SFA 92 | SFA -7.5 | SFA W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | UTA 75 @ SFA 70 | SFA -11.5 | UTA W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | SFA 66 @ UTA 62 | UTA +3.5 | SFA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SF Austin
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +8.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
ARST
ARSTW 90-65
+26.5
11
@
RICE
RICEW 81-69
+14.5
14
vs
ACU
ACUW 76-66
+3.5
18
@
FRES
FRESL 78-80
−4.5
21
@
PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
+1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
−0.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+0.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
−0.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
+11.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
−25.5
over 2under 3avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UT Arlington
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
UNM
UNML 56-74
−4.5
15
vs
MOST
MOSTW 67-49
+14.5
18
@
EVAN
EVANW 84-76
+10.5
21
vs
CAM
CAML 67-71
−2.5
22
@
WEB
WEBW 74-73
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UNM
UNML 56-74
−15.5
15
vsMOST
MOSTW 67-49
−27.5
18
@EVAN
EVANW 84-76
+21.5
21
vsCAM
CAML 67-71
−13.5
22
@WEB
WEBW 74-73
−2.5
over 1under 4avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SF Austin
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Pepperdine63–60
- L@ Fresno St78–80
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn76–66
- W@ Rice81–69
- Wvs Arkansas St90–65
A week or more of rest.
UT Arlington
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Weber St74–73
- Lvs Campbell67–71
- W@ Evansville84–76
- Wvs Missouri St67–49
- L@ New Mexico56–74
A week or more of rest.