Viejas Arena · at San Diego St
Closing line
SDSU -21.5✓ IDST covered by 5.5
Closing total135.5Under by 5.5
| This season | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IDST 59–78 SDSU · ✓ SDSU (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 21 | 36 | 57 |
| SDSU | 34 | 39 | 73 |
1st half: IDST 21, SDSU 34 (SDSU by 13). The model had SDSU by 11.3 and a total of 64.2 (actual 55).
Team stats
| IDST | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-45 44% | Field goals | 29-49 59% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 25 9 off | Rebounds | 22 5 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 33 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 4-11 | 4-8 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 27 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Lachlan Brewer G | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Evan Otten F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Gus Etchison G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamison Guerra PG | 28 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 17 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Quin Patterson F | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Martin Kheil G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaedyn Brown G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Landen Birley G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Louis Bond G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kasen Carpenter G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Arland
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 31 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 6-8 | 2-3 |
| Miles Byrd G | 29 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Miles Heide F | 19 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Taj DeGourville G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 17 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Elzie Harrington G | 17 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Tae Simmons F | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| BJ Davis G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Thokbor Majak F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Latrell Davis, Magoon Gwath, Raymar Gonzales, Cam Lawin
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -22.5
1 → IDST
CloseSDSU -21.5
1 pt toward IDST
Total
Open137.5
▼ 2
Close135.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
IDST +2500 · SDSU -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -22.5 · closed SDSU -21.5 · moved 1 toward IDSTmodel SDSU -19
model SDSU -19
Opened 137.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 2 downmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SDSU -21.5 | SDSU -19.0 | IDST +2.5 | W IDST covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 137.0 | Over 1.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | IDST 59 · SDSU 78 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SDSU -11.3 | SDSU -13.0 |
| 1H total | 64.2 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | IDST 26.4 · SDSU 37.8 | IDST 21 · SDSU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | |
| 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Idaho St
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −13.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | W 71-68 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
USD
W 71-68
+7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
USD
W 71-68
−13.5
over 0under 1avg −13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego St
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −13.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LBSU
W 77-45
+6.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
LBSU
W 77-45
−13.5
over 0under 1avg −13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Idaho St
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ San Diego71–68
2 days since their last game.
San Diego St
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Beach St77–45
5 days since their last game.