Clune Arena · at Air Force · Conference game
Closing line
SDSU -22.5✓ SDSU covered by 11.5
SDSU -22.5✓ SDSU covered by 11.5Closing total139.5Over by 2.5
| SDSU | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 15-6 | Record | 3-19 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 7-15 |
| 9-12 | O/U | 11-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDSU 79–58 AF · ✓ SDSU (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 45 | 43 | 88 |
| AF | 26 | 28 | 54 |
1st half: SDSU 45, AF 26 (SDSU by 19). The model had SDSU by 12.5 and a total of 64.4 (actual 71).
Team stats
| SDSU | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-60 60% | Field goals | 19-48 40% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 8-12 67% |
| 29 4 off | Rebounds | 25 4 off |
| 18 | Assists | 17 |
| 14 | Steals | 5 |
| 7 | Blocks | 1 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 22 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Davis G | 25 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 7-8 | 2-2 |
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 24 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Miles Byrd G | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 21 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Miles Heide F | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taj DeGourville G | 25 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 21 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Tae Simmons F | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Thokbor Majak F | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Raymar Gonzales G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cam Lawin G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Magoon Gwath, Elzie Harrington, Latrell Davis
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 27 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Kam Sanders G | 27 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 24 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Eli Robinson F | 23 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 23 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Dering F | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Hinds G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Martin F | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Josh Gatete F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elliott Taite G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Sam Imade F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keaton Frisch, Chris Catchings, Kyle Marshall, Caleb Walker
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -21.5
1 → SDSU
CloseSDSU -22.5
1 pt toward SDSU
Total
Open135.5
▲ 4
Close139.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SDSU -4500 · AF +1700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -21.5 · closed SDSU -22.5 · moved 1 toward SDSUmodel SDSU -21
model SDSU -21
Opened 135.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 4 upmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SDSU -22.5 | SDSU -20.8 | AF +1.7 | L SDSU covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 137.6 | Under 1.9 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SDSU 79.2 · AF 58.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SDSU -12.5 | SDSU -19.0 |
| 1H total | 64.4 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | SDSU 38.5 · AF 26 | SDSU 45 · AF 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| AF | 0-10 0% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
SDSU 7–0 AFSDSU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · SDSU has won the last 7 meetings · SDSU 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025-26 | AF 58 @ SDSU 81 | SDSU -24.5 | AF W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | SDSU 77 @ AF 76 | AF +14.5 | AF W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | AF 38 @ SDSU 67 | SDSU -19.5 | SDSU W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | SDSU 77 @ AF 64 | AF +9.5 | SDSU W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | SDSU 70 @ AF 60 | AF +9.5 | SDSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego St
21 games played
Straight up
15-6
71% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vsAF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @ SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs BOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 6 | @ NEV | W 73-68 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs FRES | W 71-52 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @ WYO | W 74-57 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNM | W 83-79 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | @ GCU | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNLV | W 82-71 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 28 | vs CSU | W 73-50 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @ USU | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsWYO | W 72-63 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
+6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
+4.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
+15.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
−1.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−2.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+7.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
+13.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
+1.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
−0.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
−23.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
−17.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
+13.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−6.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+3.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
−16.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
−10.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−6.5
over 9under 12avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
22 games played
Straight up
3-19
14% wins
Against the spread
7-15
32% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vsWYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vsUSU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNM | L 49-91 | +16.5 | L −25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | @SJSU | L 62-70 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEV | L 66-81 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | @CSU | L 52-81 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BOIS | L 54-96 | +23.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vsFRES | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | @GCU | L 57-81 | +26.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
−25.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
−2.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
−0.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−9.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
−18.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−7.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 15avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
+1.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
+3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
+12.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−0.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
+12.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−0.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+0.5
over 11under 11avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego St
15-6 overall · 10-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wyoming72–63
- L@ Utah State66–71
- Wvs Colorado St73–50
- W@ UNLV82–71
- L@ Grand Canyon69–70
4 days since their last game.
Air Force
3-19 overall · 0-11 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Grand Canyon57–81
- Lvs Fresno St62–79
- L@ Boise St54–96
- L@ Colorado St52–81
- Lvs Nevada66–81
4 days since their last game.