Thomas & Mack Center · at UNLV · Conference game
Closing line
UNLV -14.5✓ UNLV covered by 13.5
UNLV -14.5✓ UNLV covered by 13.5Closing total142.5Under by 36.5
 AF | This season | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | Record | 5-6 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AF 66–81 UNLV · ✓ UNLV (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| UNLV | 35 | 32 | 67 |
1st half: AF 20, UNLV 35 (UNLV by 15). The model had UNLV by 8.7 and a total of 69.0 (actual 55).
Team stats
| AF | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-54 28% | Field goals | 26-60 43% |
| 3-19 16% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 6-13 46% | Free throws | 11-20 55% |
| 32 8 off | Rebounds | 49 15 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Sanders G | 35 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-2 |
| Justin Hinds G | 29 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 25 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Eli Robinson F | 21 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lucas Hobin F | 25 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-7 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Walker F | 15 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Josh Gatete F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sam Imade F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Elliott Taite G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Martin F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris Catchings, Keaton Frisch, Riley Dering, Kyle Marshall
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 34 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 29 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Tyrin Jones F | 28 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 25 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 22 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Issac Williamson G | 33 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4-14 | 1-5 |
| Emmanuel Stephen C | 18 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Walter Brown F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Cunningham G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Xavier Brumfield, Naas Cunningham, Ladji Dembele, Al Green, Mason Abittan, Myles Che
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNLV -15.5
1 → AF
CloseUNLV -14.5
1 pt toward AF
Total
Open144.5
▼ 2
Close142.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
AF +850 · UNLV -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNLV -15.5 · closed UNLV -14.5 · moved 1 toward AFmodel UNLV -15
model UNLV -15
Opened 144.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNLV -14.5 | UNLV -14.8 | UNLV +0.3 | W UNLV covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 147.3 | Over 4.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | AF 66.2 · UNLV 81.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNLV -8.7 | UNLV -15.0 |
| 1H total | 69.0 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | AF 30.1 · UNLV 38.9 | AF 20 · UNLV 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| UNLV | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
AF 2–7 UNLVUNLV leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNLV has won the last 4 meetings · AF 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | AF 59 vs UNLV 68 | UNLV -12.5 | AF W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | AF 52 @ UNLV 77 | UNLV -13.5 | UNLV W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | UNLV 77 @ AF 58 | AF +7.5 | UNLV W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | UNLV 72 @ AF 43 | AF +6.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | AF 90 @ UNLV 58 | UNLV -10.5 | AF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Air Force
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @ SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vs WYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
over 5under 8avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNLV
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @ MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ STAN | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs TNST | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vs FRES | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
+10.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−15.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
−15.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−38.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
−3.5
over 6under 5avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Air Force
3-10 overall · 0-2 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wyoming56–68
- L@ San Diego St58–81
- L@ Navy56–61
- Lvs Pacific65–80
- Lvs South Dakota63–80
4 days since their last game.
UNLV
5-6 overall · 1-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fresno St84–72
- Lvs Tennessee St60–63
- W@ Stanford75–74
- Lvs Rutgers65–80
- Lvs Alabama76–115
A week or more of rest.