Clune Arena · at Air Force · Conference game
Closing line
UNM -16.5✓ UNM covered by 25.5
UNM -16.5✓ UNM covered by 25.5Closing total138.5Over by 1.5
| UNM | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 11-3 | Record | 3-12 |
| 8-6 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 9-5 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNM 78–60 AF · ✓ UNM (94%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 45 | 46 | 91 |
| AF | 22 | 27 | 49 |
1st half: UNM 45, AF 22 (UNM by 23). The model had UNM by 11.0 and a total of 64.7 (actual 67).
Team stats
| UNM | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-67 48% | Field goals | 19-45 42% |
| 14-36 39% | 3-pointers | 3-18 17% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 8-17 47% |
| 41 14 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 19 | Assists | 11 |
| 16 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 1 |
Players
| UNM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall G | 32 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 7-14 | 5-10 |
| Luke Haupt G | 25 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Deyton Albury G | 22 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 5-8 | 2-2 |
| Tomislav Buljan F | 19 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Chol F | 18 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Uriah Tenette G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-7 |
| Tajavis Miller G | 22 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| JT Rock C | 12 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Timeo Pons G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Milos Vicentic F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Kallai Patton, Sir Marius Jones, Kevin Patton Jr., Chris Howell
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Robinson F | 29 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Kam Sanders G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Caleb Walker F | 28 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Lucas Hobin F | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Hinds G | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Martin F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sam Imade F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Josh Gatete F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elliott Taite G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Marshall, Riley Dering, Keaton Frisch, Chris Catchings
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNM -17.5
1 → AF
CloseUNM -16.5
1 pt toward AF
Total
Open133.5
▲ 5
Close138.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UNM -1800 · AF +1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNM -17.5 · closed UNM -16.5 · moved 1 toward AFmodel UNM -18
model UNM -18
Opened 133.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 5 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNM -16.5 | UNM -18.2 | UNM +1.7 | W UNM covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 137.9 | Under 0.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | UNM 78.1 · AF 59.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNM -11.0 | UNM -23.0 |
| 1H total | 64.7 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | UNM 37.8 · AF 26.8 | UNM 45 · AF 22 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| AF | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNM 7–2 AFUNM leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNM has won the last 3 meetings · UNM 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | AF 71 @ UNM 92 | UNM -22.5 | AF W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UNM 88 @ AF 53 | AF +14.5 | UNM W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | AF 56 vs UNM 82 | UNM -14.5 | UNM W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | AF 78 @ UNM 77 | UNM -18.5 | AF W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | UNM 85 @ AF 66 | AF +10.5 | UNM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Mexico
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs ETAM | W 76-54 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTA | W 74-56 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs UCR | W 82-68 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ NMSU | L 68-76 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 20 | vs NEB | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs MSST | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALST | W 93-87 | -19.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs SCU | W 98-71 | -1.5 | W +25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | @ VCU | W 81-78 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 14 | vs FGCU | W 75-59 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 20 | vs SJSU | W 88-65 | -16.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @ BOIS | L 53-62 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 3 | vs WYO | W 78-58 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 6 | @ CSU | W 80-70 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−0.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
+4.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
−5.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
−11.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
−3.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+8.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
−13.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+25.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+11.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+6.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−3.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
+12.5
6
@CSU
CSUW 80-70
+8.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−13.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
−15.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
+8.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
+4.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
+4.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+6.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
+31.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+15.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+1.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
−25.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+0.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−31.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
−15.5
6
@CSU
CSUW 80-70
+6.5
over 9under 5avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
15 games played
Straight up
3-12
20% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vsALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @ SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vsWYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vs USU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
over 6under 9avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico
11-3 overall · 3-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Colorado St80–70
- Wvs Wyoming78–58
- L@ Boise St53–62
- Wvs San José St88–65
- Wvs FGCU75–59
4 days since their last game.
Air Force
3-12 overall · 0-4 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Utah State62–99
- L@ UNLV39–67
- Lvs Wyoming56–68
- L@ San Diego St58–81
- L@ Navy56–61
4 days since their last game.