Clune Arena · at Air Force · Conference game
Closing line
FRES -9.5✓ FRES covered by 7.5
FRES -9.5✓ FRES covered by 7.5Closing total141.5Under by 0.5
| FRES | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | Record | 3-17 |
| 12-7 | ATS | 6-14 |
| 7-12 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FRES 72–63 AF · ✓ FRES (78%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 44 | 35 | 79 |
| AF | 39 | 23 | 62 |
1st half: FRES 44, AF 39 (FRES by 5). The model had FRES by 5.4 and a total of 63.3 (actual 83).
Team stats
| FRES | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-60 47% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 12-29 41% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 38 8 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 13 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 36 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 29 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 24 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| David Douglas Jr. G | 23 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 7-11 | 5-8 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 20 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaon Collins G | 20 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Cameron Faas G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jac Mani F | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Makhan Diouf F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Matteo Porto G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: DJ Stickman, Troy Jenkins, Nathan Zulemie
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 28 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 27 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Kam Sanders G | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Eli Robinson F | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 17 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Dering F | 20 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Martin F | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Justin Hinds G | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Elliott Taite G | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Josh Gatete F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sam Imade F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keaton Frisch, Chris Catchings, Kyle Marshall, Caleb Walker
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFRES -9.5
no move
CloseFRES -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open133.5
▲ 8
Close141.5
Up 8 since the open
Moneyline
FRES -520 · AF +390
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FRES -9.5 · unchangedmodel FRES -9
model FRES -9
Opened 133.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 8 upmodel 135
model 135
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FRES -9.5 | FRES -8.9 | AF +0.6 | L FRES covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 135.2 | Under 6.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | FRES 72 · AF 63.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FRES -5.4 | FRES -5.0 |
| 1H total | 63.3 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | FRES 34.4 · AF 28.9 | FRES 44 · AF 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| AF | 0-10 0% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
FRES 5–2 AFFRES leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · FRES 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | FRES 69 @ AF 72 | AF -4.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 17, 2024-25 | AF 65 @ FRES 74 | FRES -3.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | FRES 68 @ AF 66 | AF -2 | FRES W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | AF 70 @ FRES 84 | FRES -3.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | FRES 74 @ AF 69 | AF -2.5 | FRES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fresno St
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
12-7
63% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-12
37% overs · avg −8.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UPST | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs LBSU | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs UCSD | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVU | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFA | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs NOLA | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs PEPP | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs CSUB | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARK | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ CSUN | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNLV | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 30 | vs USU | L 63-72 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs NEV | L 65-66 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | @ SJSU | W 70-55 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ SDSU | L 52-71 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 13 | vs CSU | W 79-69 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 17 | vs WYO | W 63-60 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 21 | @ UNM | L 74-83 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vs GCU | L 57-68 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+4.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+2.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
+20.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−15.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−4.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+1.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
+5.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
+3.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
+13.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−4.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+13.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
+6.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+6.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 7avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+11.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+6.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
−21.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−3.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−21.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
−19.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
−15.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
−24.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−23.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+8.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
−22.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+5.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−20.5
over 7under 12avg −8.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
20 games played
Straight up
3-17
15% wins
Against the spread
6-14
30% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vsWYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vsUSU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNM | L 49-91 | +16.5 | L −25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | @SJSU | L 62-70 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEV | L 66-81 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | @CSU | L 52-81 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @ BOIS | L 54-96 | +23.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
−25.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
−2.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
−0.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−9.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
−18.5
covered 6didn’t cover 14avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
+1.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
+3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
+12.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−0.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
+12.5
over 10under 10avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fresno St
8-11 overall · 3-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Grand Canyon57–68
- L@ New Mexico74–83
- Wvs Wyoming63–60
- Wvs Colorado St79–69
- L@ San Diego St52–71
A week or more of rest.
Air Force
3-17 overall · 0-9 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boise St54–96
- L@ Colorado St52–81
- Lvs Nevada66–81
- L@ San José St62–70
- Lvs New Mexico49–91
A week or more of rest.