Provident Credit Union Event Center · at San José St · Conference game
Closing line
FRES -1.5✓ FRES covered by 13.5
FRES -1.5✓ FRES covered by 13.5Closing total149.5Under by 24.5
| FRES | This season | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-8 | Record | 4-9 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 8-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FRES 73–75 SJSU · ✗ SJSU (59%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 37 | 33 | 70 |
| SJSU | 24 | 31 | 55 |
1st half: FRES 37, SJSU 24 (FRES by 13). The model had SJSU by 1.4 and a total of 69.2 (actual 61).
Team stats
| FRES | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-52 52% | Field goals | 21-55 38% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 5-7 71% |
| 39 11 off | Rebounds | 21 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 40 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-11 | 0-6 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 37 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-1 |
| Zaon Collins G | 36 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 33 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Faas G | 26 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Douglas Jr. G | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Makhan Diouf F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Matteo Porto G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: DJ Stickman, Troy Jenkins, Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano, Gasper Kocevar, Jac Mani, Nathan Zulemie
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Washington G | 38 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 4-14 | 2-8 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 37 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Adrian Myers G | 26 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Colby Garland G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Douglas Langford F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pasha Goodarzi G | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Japhet Moupadele F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ben Roseborough G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Marcus Overstreet F | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Wise, Yaphet Moundi, Damase Coly, Eren Karakaya, JaVaughn Hannah, Jaden Goodall
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFRES -1.5
no move
CloseFRES -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 4
Close149.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
FRES -118 · SJSU -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FRES -1.5 · unchangedmodel SJSU -2.5
model SJSU -2.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FRES -1.5 | SJSU -2.5 | SJSU +4.0 | L FRES covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 147.8 | Under 1.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | FRES 72.6 · SJSU 75.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJSU -1.4 | FRES -13.0 |
| 1H total | 69.2 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | FRES 33.9 · SJSU 35.3 | FRES 37 · SJSU 24 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| SJSU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
FRES 6–3 SJSUFRES leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SJSU has won the last 2 meetings · FRES 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | FRES 68 @ SJSU 92 | SJSU -6.5 | SJSU W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | SJSU 94 @ FRES 91 | FRES +3.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | FRES 69 @ SJSU 57 | SJSU -2.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | SJSU 82 @ FRES 85 | FRES -1.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | SJSU 62 @ FRES 70 | FRES -4.5 | FRES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fresno St
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UPST | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs LBSU | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs UCSD | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVU | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFA | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs NOLA | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs PEPP | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs CSUB | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARK | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ CSUN | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNLV | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 30 | vs USU | L 63-72 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs NEV | L 65-66 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+4.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+2.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
+20.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−15.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−4.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+1.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
+5.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
+3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+11.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+6.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
−21.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−3.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−21.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
−19.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
−15.5
over 5under 8avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
San José St
13 games played
Straight up
4-9
31% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UTAH | L 75-84 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCSB | L 74-85 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ MSU | L 60-79 | +24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | vs SOU | W 80-66 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs TLSA | L 51-81 | +5.5 | L −24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs LUC | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs UCI | L 63-72 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 5 | vs USD | W 86-69 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vsLBSU | W 89-83 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs STAN | L 82-86 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNM | L 65-88 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | vs SDSU | L 68-81 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @USU | L 78-96 | +22.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−24.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
+10.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−5.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
−1.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+4.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
−6.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
−1.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
−4.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−17.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
−22.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−4.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
+30.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+22.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
+0.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
+7.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+22.5
over 8under 5avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fresno St
5-8 overall · 0-3 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Nevada65–66
- Lvs Utah State63–72
- L@ UNLV72–84
- L@ CSU Northridge87–89
- L@ Arkansas58–82
3 days since their last game.
San José St
4-9 overall · 0-3 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Utah State78–96
- Lvs San Diego St68–81
- L@ New Mexico65–88
- Lvs Stanford82–86
- Wvs Long Beach St89–83
3 days since their last game.