Save Mart Center · at Fresno St
Closing line
UVU -4.5✓ FRES covered by 5.5
UVU -4.5✓ FRES covered by 5.5Closing total156.5Under by 7.5
| UVU | This season | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-2 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVU 77–77 FRES · ✗ UVU (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVU | 40 | 34 | 74 |
| FRES | 33 | 42 | 75 |
1st half: UVU 40, FRES 33 (UVU by 7). The model had UVU by 0.4 and a total of 72.0 (actual 73).
Team stats
| UVU | FRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-50 52% | Field goals | 26-46 57% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 8-17 47% |
| 15-28 54% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 28 3 off |
| 15 | Assists | 12 |
| 12 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 18 | Fouls | 24 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| UVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevan Leonhardt G | 37 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Tyler Hendricks G | 28 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Jackson Holcombe G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Braden Housley G | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Isaac Davis F | 19 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hayden Welling F | 25 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon IV G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Isaac Hawkins F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Noah Taitz G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: AJ Riggs, Jaxson Roberts, AJ Dixon, Tyler Weaver, Tyler Medaris, Joul Karram
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 39 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-6 |
| Zaon Collins G | 35 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 10-12 | 2-3 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Cameron Faas G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jac Mani F | 22 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| DJ Stickman G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Makhan Diouf F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Matteo Porto, Nathan Zulemie, Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano, Troy Jenkins, David Douglas Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVU -4.5
ModelUVU -0.4
Model edgeFRES +4.1
W FRES covered
Total
Market156.5
Model153.6
Model edgeUnder 2.9
W Under
Projected score
UVU 77 · FRES 76.6
UVU 74 · FRES 75
Win probability
UVU 51%
1st half
Spread
UVU -0.4
UVU -7.0
Total
72.0
73 points
Projected score
UVU 36.2 · FRES 35.8
UVU 40 · FRES 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVU -3.5
1 → UVU
CloseUVU -4.5
1 pt toward UVU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 1
Close156.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UVU -195 · FRES +165
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVU -3.5 · closed UVU -4.5 · moved 1 toward UVUmodel UVU -0.5
model UVU -0.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 upmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVUlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| FRESlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah Valley
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −11.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +26.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BOIS | L 77-101 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BOIS
BOISL 77-101
−11.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BOIS
BOISL 77-101
+26.5
over 1under 0avg +26.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fresno St
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg −9.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
UPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vs
LBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vs
UCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
over 2under 1avg −9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah Valley
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boise St77–101
A week or more of rest.
Fresno St
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC San Diego73–78
- Wvs Long Beach St82–62
- Lvs SC Upstate66–67
3 days since their last game.