Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State · Conference game
Closing line
OSU -1.5✓ OSU covered by 15.5
OSU -1.5✓ OSU covered by 15.5Closing total157.5Under by 2.5
 WIS | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 18-7 | Record | 16-9 |
| 15-10 | ATS | 11-14 |
| 15-10 | O/U | 12-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 81–82 OSU · ✓ OSU (54%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 26 | 43 | 69 |
| OSU | 38 | 48 | 86 |
1st half: WIS 26, OSU 38 (OSU by 12). The model had OSU by 0.6 and a total of 76.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| WIS | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 31-57 54% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 11-21 52% |
| 8-16 50% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Winter F | 34 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Nick Boyd G | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-15 | 0-4 |
| John Blackwell G | 32 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 24 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braeden Carrington G | 28 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 6-14 | 5-12 |
| Hayden Jones G | 16 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Jack Janicki G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Will Garlock F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jack Robison G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Riccardo Greppi, Austin Rapp, Elijah Gray, Isaac Gard
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 37 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 9-18 | 3-6 |
| Amare Bynum F | 34 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Devin Royal F | 34 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 10-17 | 4-7 |
| Taison Chatman G | 29 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 19 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Puff Johnson G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 14 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Colin White F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Braylen Nash G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brandon Noel, John Mobley Jr., Josh Ojianwuna, Myles Herro, Mathieu Grujicic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOSU -1.5
ModelOSU -1.2
Model edgeWIS +0.3
L OSU covered
Total
Market157.5
Model163.5
Model edgeOver 6.0
L Under
Projected score
WIS 81.1 · OSU 82.3
WIS 69 · OSU 86
Win probability
OSU 54%
1st half
Spread
OSU -0.6
OSU -12.0
Total
76.4
64 points
Projected score
WIS 37.9 · OSU 38.5
WIS 26 · OSU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -1.5
no move
CloseOSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open159.5
▼ 2
Close157.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
WIS -105 · OSU -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel OSU -1
model OSU -1
Opened 159.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 2 downmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| OSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
WIS 6–2 OSUWIS leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · WIS has won the last 4 meetings · WIS 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | OSU 82 @ WIS 92 | WIS -4.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | OSU 68 @ WIS 70 | WIS -6.5 | OSU W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | OSU 54 @ WIS 62 | WIS -9.5 | OSU W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | WIS 71 @ OSU 60 | OSU -3.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | OSU 65 vs WIS 57 | WIS +1.5 | OSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
25 games played
Straight up
18-7
72% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs USC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vsOSU | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @ IU | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ ILL | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vs MSU | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−5.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+5.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
+2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+11.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+22.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−16.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+18.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
−2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+28.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+13.5
over 15under 10avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
25 games played
Straight up
16-9
64% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vsILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vsNEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ ORE | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ WASH | L 74-81 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vsUCLA | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vsMINN | W 82-74 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 23 | @MICH | L 62-74 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 26 | vsPSU | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | @WIS | L 82-92 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 5 | @ MD | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | vsMICH | L 61-82 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | vsUSC | W 89-82 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | vs UVA | L 66-70 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
+11.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−5.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+7.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+0.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
+4.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
−5.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
−5.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
+13.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−12.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
−0.5
14
vsUVA
UVAL 66-70
+1.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
−18.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−0.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+13.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+12.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
−29.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
+8.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
+18.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
−6.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−18.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
+18.5
14
vsUVA
UVAL 66-70
−10.5
over 12under 13avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
18-7 overall · 10-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Michigan St92–71
- W@ Illinois92–90
- L@ Indiana77–78
- Wvs Ohio State92–82
- Wvs Minnesota67–63
4 days since their last game.
Ohio State
16-9 overall · 8-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Virginia66–70
- Wvs USC89–82
- Lvs Michigan61–82
- W@ Maryland82–62
- L@ Wisconsin82–92
3 days since their last game.