Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
UVA -5.5✓ OSU covered by 1.5
UVA -5.5✓ OSU covered by 1.5Closing total146.5Under by 10.5
| UVA | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 21-3 | Record | 16-8 |
| 13-11 | ATS | 10-14 |
| 9-15 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVA 78–77 OSU · ✓ UVA (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 37 | 33 | 70 |
| OSU | 37 | 29 | 66 |
1st half: UVA 37, OSU 37 (tied). The model had UVA by 0.5 and a total of 72.4 (actual 74).
Team stats
| UVA | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-50 42% | Field goals | 27-60 45% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 6-14 43% |
| 22-32 69% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 41 12 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 22 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| UVA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall G | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Sam Lewis G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Thijs De Ridder F | 26 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Malik Thomas G | 22 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Johann Grunloh C | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Mallory G | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Ugonna Onyenso C | 22 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jacari White G | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Devin Tillis F | 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Carter Lang, Owen Odom, Martin Carrere, Desmond Roberts, Elijah Gertrude, Silas Barksdale
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 38 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 12-21 | 2-4 |
| Amare Bynum F | 33 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 5-7 | 3-4 |
| Devin Royal F | 33 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-12 | 0-2 |
| Taison Chatman G | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 26 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ivan Njegovan C | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Puff Johnson G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Colin White F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Mobley Jr., Mathieu Grujicic, Myles Herro, Braylen Nash, Brandon Noel, Josh Ojianwuna
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVA -4.5
1 → UVA
CloseUVA -5.5
1 pt toward UVA
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UVA -245 · OSU +200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVA -4.5 · closed UVA -5.5 · moved 1 toward UVAmodel UVA -0.5
model UVA -0.5
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UVA -5.5 | UVA -0.6 | OSU +4.9 | W OSU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 154.9 | Over 8.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UVA 77.8 · OSU 77.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UVA -0.5 | PK |
| 1H total | 72.4 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | UVA 36.5 · OSU 36 | UVA 37 · OSU 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| OSU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Virginia
24 games played
Straight up
21-3
88% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-15
38% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RID | W 87-53 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 7 | vs NCCU | W 81-62 | -34.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 11 | vs HAMP | W 91-53 | -24.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRSH | W 104-78 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 21 | vs NU | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs BTLR | L 73-80 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs QUC | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | @ TEX | W 88-69 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | vs DAY | W 86-73 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 9 | vs UMES | W 84-60 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs MD | W 80-72 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs AMER | W 95-51 | -27.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | @ VT | L 85-95 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ NCSU | W 76-61 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | vs CAL | W 84-60 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs STAN | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 13 | @ LOU | W 79-70 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ SMU | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs UNC | L 80-85 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 27 | @ ND | W 100-97 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 197 |
| Jan 31 | @ BC | W 73-66 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | vs PITT | W 67-47 | -12.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vs SYR | W 72-59 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 10 | @ FSU | W 61-58 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
+7.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−15.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
+13.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+5.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+0.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−13.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
−0.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+22.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+7.5
9
vsUMES
UMESW 84-60
−12.5
20
vsMD
MDW 80-72
−8.5
22
vsAMER
AMERW 95-51
+16.5
31
@VT
VTL 85-95
−15.5
3
@NCSU
NCSUW 76-61
+19.5
7
vsCAL
CALW 84-60
+9.5
10
vsSTAN
STANW 70-55
+2.5
13
@LOU
LOUW 79-70
+13.5
17
@SMU
SMUW 72-68
+1.5
24
vsUNC
UNCL 80-85
−11.5
27
@ND
NDW 100-97
−6.5
31
@BC
BCW 73-66
−6.5
3
vsPITT
PITTW 67-47
+7.5
7
vsSYR
SYRW 72-59
−0.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 61-58
−5.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
−8.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−8.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
−4.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+26.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+11.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−2.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
+2.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+2.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+11.5
9
vsUMES
UMESW 84-60
+9.5
20
vsMD
MDW 80-72
−1.5
22
vsAMER
AMERW 95-51
−7.5
31
@VT
VTL 85-95
+26.5
3
@NCSU
NCSUW 76-61
−14.5
7
vsCAL
CALW 84-60
−4.5
10
vsSTAN
STANW 70-55
−18.5
13
@LOU
LOUW 79-70
−5.5
17
@SMU
SMUW 72-68
−13.5
24
vsUNC
UNCL 80-85
+12.5
27
@ND
NDW 100-97
+51.5
31
@BC
BCW 73-66
−2.5
3
vsPITT
PITTW 67-47
−28.5
7
vsSYR
SYRW 72-59
−16.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 61-58
−36.5
over 9under 15avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
24 games played
Straight up
16-8
67% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vsND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vs ILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vsUNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @ RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs NEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ ORE | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ WASH | L 74-81 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCLA | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs MINN | W 82-74 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 23 | @ MICH | L 62-74 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 26 | vs PSU | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | @ WIS | L 82-92 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 5 | @MD | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | vsMICH | L 61-82 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | vs USC | W 89-82 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
+11.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−5.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+7.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+0.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
+4.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
−5.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
−5.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
+13.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−12.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
−0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
−18.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−0.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+13.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+12.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
−29.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
+8.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
+18.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
−6.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−18.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
+18.5
over 12under 12avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Virginia
21-3 overall · 10-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Florida St61–58
- Wvs Syracuse72–59
- Wvs Pitt67–47
- W@ Boston College73–66
- W@ Notre Dame100–97
4 days since their last game.
Ohio State
16-8 overall · 8-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs USC89–82
- Lvs Michigan61–82
- W@ Maryland82–62
- L@ Wisconsin82–92
- Wvs Penn State84–78
3 days since their last game.