Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State · Conference game
Closing line
OSU -7.5✓ USC covered by 0.5
OSU -7.5✓ USC covered by 0.5Closing total152.5Over by 18.5
 USC | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-6 | Record | 15-8 |
| 12-11 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 12-11 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USC 78–84 OSU · ✓ OSU (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 43 | 39 | 82 |
| OSU | 40 | 49 | 89 |
1st half: USC 43, OSU 40 (USC by 3). The model had OSU by 3.2 and a total of 75.7 (actual 83).
Team stats
| USC | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-62 42% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 24-33 73% | Free throws | 24-25 96% |
| 32 14 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods G | 40 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 6-13 | 1-2 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 38 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Alijah Arenas G | 36 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 6-19 | 1-7 |
| Ezra Ausar F | 34 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Marsh G | 19 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jerry Easter II, Chad Baker-Mazara, Patrick O'Brien, Brit Burden, Jaden Brownell, Amarion Dickerson, Jonah Goorin, Rodney Rice, EJ Neal Jr.
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Royal F | 35 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 8-11 | 0-3 |
| Bruce Thornton G | 32 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 5-11 | 0-3 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 32 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Amare Bynum F | 30 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 22 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taison Chatman G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Puff Johnson G | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mathieu Grujicic, Myles Herro, Braylen Nash, Brandon Noel, Colin White, Josh Ojianwuna
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -6.5
1 → OSU
CloseOSU -7.5
1 pt toward OSU
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
USC +285 · OSU -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -6.5 · closed OSU -7.5 · moved 1 toward OSUmodel OSU -5.5
model OSU -5.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OSU -7.5 | OSU -5.6 | USC +1.9 | W USC covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 161.8 | Over 9.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | USC 78.1 · OSU 83.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OSU -3.2 | USC -3.0 |
| 1H total | 75.7 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | USC 36.2 · OSU 39.4 | USC 43 · OSU 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| OSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USC 0–1 OSUOSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · USC 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | OSU 87 @ USC 82 | USC +1.5 | OSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
USC
23 games played
Straight up
17-6
74% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs HALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs ASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs WASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 14 | vs WSU | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTSA | W 97-70 | -25.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 2 | @ MICH | L 66-96 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 5 | @ MSU | L 51-80 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 9 | @ MINN | W 70-69 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs MD | W 88-71 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vs PUR | L 64-69 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | vs NU | L 68-74 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | @ WIS | W 73-71 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ IOWA | L 72-73 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 31 | vs RUTG | W 78-75 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 3 | vs IU | W 81-75 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 8 | @ PSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−5.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+1.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−7.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−17.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
+4.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+7.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
+4.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−12.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
+9.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+8.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
−8.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+7.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−27.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+9.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−11.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−20.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
−8.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+8.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
−22.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−7.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
−14.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+3.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
+6.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+2.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−5.5
over 12under 11avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
23 games played
Straight up
15-8
65% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vs ILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs NEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ORE | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @WASH | L 74-81 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCLA | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vsMINN | W 82-74 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 23 | @MICH | L 62-74 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 26 | vsPSU | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | @WIS | L 82-92 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 5 | @MD | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | vsMICH | L 61-82 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
+11.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−5.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+7.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+0.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
+4.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
−5.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
−5.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
+13.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
−18.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−0.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+13.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+12.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
−29.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
+8.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
+18.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
−6.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−18.5
over 11under 12avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
USC
17-6 overall · 7-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Penn State77–75
- Wvs Indiana81–75
- Wvs Rutgers78–75
- L@ Iowa72–73
- W@ Wisconsin73–71
3 days since their last game.
Ohio State
15-8 overall · 7-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan61–82
- W@ Maryland82–62
- L@ Wisconsin82–92
- Wvs Penn State84–78
- L@ Michigan62–74
3 days since their last game.