Galen Center · at USC · Conference game
Closing line
IU -1.5✓ USC covered by 7.5
IU -1.5✓ USC covered by 7.5Closing total153.5Over by 2.5
| IU | This season | USC |
|---|---|---|
| 15-7 | Record | 15-6 |
| 12-10 | ATS | 11-10 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IU 80–79 USC · ✗ IU (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 30 | 45 | 75 |
| USC | 35 | 46 | 81 |
1st half: IU 30, USC 35 (USC by 5). The model had IU by 1.1 and a total of 74.4 (actual 65).
Team stats
| IU | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-63 41% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 10-35 29% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 25-31 81% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 21 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 8 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 24 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries F | 37 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1-9 | 1-8 |
| Nick Dorn G | 36 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-12 | 2-12 |
| Conor Enright G | 34 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 32 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 11-20 | 5-12 |
| Sam Alexis F | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reed Bailey F | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Trent Sisley F | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jasai Miles G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ian Stephens, Jordan Rayford, Josh Harris, Deuce Drake, Aleksa Ristic, Andrej Acimovic, Tryce Grensing, Drew Snively
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods G | 40 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Alijah Arenas G | 37 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 9-23 | 3-9 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 30 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ezra Ausar F | 30 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara G | 20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jerry Easter II G | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 17 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Marsh G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Brownell F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rodney Rice, EJ Neal Jr., Jonah Goorin, Amarion Dickerson, Brit Burden, Patrick O'Brien
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSC -1.5
3 → IU
CloseIU -1.5
3 pts toward IU
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
IU -130 · USC +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USC -1.5 · closed IU -1.5 · moved 3 toward IUmodel IU -1.5 matches the line
model IU -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | IU -1.5 | IU -1.7 | IU +0.2 | L USC covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 159.1 | Over 5.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | IU 80.4 · USC 78.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | IU -1.1 | USC -5.0 |
| 1H total | 74.4 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | IU 37.8 · USC 36.6 | IU 30 · USC 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| USC | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
IU 1–0 USCIU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · IU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | USC 69 @ IU 82 | IU -6.5 | IU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vs PSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vs WASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vs NEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs IOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @ MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ RUTG | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs PUR | W 72-67 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @ UCLA | W 98-97 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
+15.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
+9.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
−6.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
−11.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+50.5
over 10under 12avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
USC
21 games played
Straight up
15-6
71% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs HALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs ASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vsWASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 14 | vs WSU | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTSA | W 97-70 | -25.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 2 | @MICH | L 66-96 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 5 | @MSU | L 51-80 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 9 | @MINN | W 70-69 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vsMD | W 88-71 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vsPUR | L 64-69 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | vs NU | L 68-74 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | @ WIS | W 73-71 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @IOWA | L 72-73 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 31 | vsRUTG | W 78-75 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−5.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+1.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−7.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−17.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
+4.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+7.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
+4.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−12.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
+9.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+8.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
−8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−27.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+9.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−11.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−20.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
−8.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+8.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
−22.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−7.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
−14.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+3.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
+6.5
over 11under 10avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana
15-7 overall · 6-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UCLA98–97
- Wvs Purdue72–67
- W@ Rutgers82–59
- L@ Michigan72–86
- Lvs Iowa57–74
3 days since their last game.
USC
15-6 overall · 5-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rutgers78–75
- L@ Iowa72–73
- W@ Wisconsin73–71
- Lvs Northwestern68–74
- Lvs Purdue64–69
3 days since their last game.