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NCAAB · 2026-27

NCAAB games · Sunday, March 1, 2026

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Day in numbers23 finalFavorites 8-15 ATS11 upsetsO/U 9-14Model Favorite 13-10OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games2323 final · 0 to play
Lines moved161+ pt since the open · 23 with a line
Totals moved171+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS8-1535% covered
Upsets11outright
Over / Under9-1439% over
Model Favorite13-1057% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
BEL @ ILSTILST -1.5 → BEL -1.53 → BEL150.5 → 150.5no move
RID @ SIESIE -16.5 → SIE -14.52 → RID137.5 → 137.5no move
COFC @ UNCWUNCW -3.5 → UNCW -5.52 → UNCW143.5 → 146.5▲ 3
WICH @ UTSAWICH -15.5 → WICH -15.5no move147.5 → 151.5▲ 4
QUIN @ CANQUIN -6.5 → QUIN -7.51 → QUIN135.5 → 138.5▲ 3
MEM @ ECUMEM -5.5 → MEM -4.51 → ECU149.5 → 152.5▲ 3
DEP @ MARQMARQ -3.5 → MARQ -4.51 → MARQ142.5 → 139.5▼ 3
TULN @ USFUSF -14.5 → USF -15.51 → USF155.5 → 155.5no move
PUR @ OSUPUR -5.5 → PUR -6.51 → PUR150.5 → 149.5▼ 1
RICE @ TEMTEM -7.5 → TEM -6.51 → RICE143.5 → 142.5▼ 1
Top 10 of 22; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalConference
La Salle
7-20 · #124
64
Davidson
15-11 · #115
71
Spread
DAV -10.5
✓ LAS W ATS
Total
133.5 ▼1
▲ Over 135
Projected
63–70
✓ DAV won
Model: LAS by 2.8 ✓ Model: Under 0.7 ✗
FinalConference
Tulane
16-11 · #130
62
South Florida
19-8 · #84
90
Spread
USF -15.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
155.5
▼ Under 152
Projected
72–87
✓ USF won
Model: TULN by 0.9 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗
FinalConference
North Texas
14-13 · #112
62
UAB
17-10 · #102
58
Spread
UAB -4.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
142.5
▼ Under 120
Projected
69–74
✗ UAB lost
Model: UAB by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.6 ✗
FinalConference
Rutgers
11-17 · #62
69
Maryland
11-17 · #50
65
Spread
MD -4.5
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
143.5 ▲2
▼ Under 134
Projected
71–75
✗ MD lost
Model: MD by 0.1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗
FinalConference
UIC
15-13 · #110
63
Indiana St
8-20 · #207
79
Spread
UIC -3.5
✓ INST W ATS
Total
144.5 ▲1
▼ Under 142
Projected
77–73
✗ UIC lost
Model: Over 5.5 ✗
FinalConference
Quinnipiac
17-12 · #241
67
Canisius
9-20 · #359
63
Spread
QUIN -7.5
✓ CAN W ATS
Total
138.5 ▲3
▼ Under 130
Projected
74–65
✓ QUIN won
Model: QUIN by 1.4 ✗ Model: Over 0.7 ✗
FinalConference
Purdue
22-6 · #23 AP #8
74
Ohio State
17-11 · #33
82
Spread
PUR -6.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
149.5 ▼1
▲ Over 156
Projected
81–74
✗ PUR lost
Model: OSU by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 5.4 ✓
FinalConference
Murray St
20-10 · #132
78
Bradley
18-11 · #167
87
Spread
BRAD -3.5
✓ BRAD W ATS
Total
157.5 ▼2
▲ Over 165
Projected
80–82
✓ BRAD won
Model: MUR by 1.4 ✗ Model: Over 4.6 ✓
FinalConference
Rice
9-17 · #177
80
Temple
14-13 · #111
74
Spread
TEM -6.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
142.5 ▼1
▲ Over 154
Projected
70–77
✗ TEM lost
Model: TEM by 0.4 ✗ Model: Over 4.2 ✓
FinalConference
Memphis
12-16 · #76
68
East Carolina
9-18 · #145
84
Spread
MEM -4.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
152.5 ▲3
▼ Under 152
Projected
78–72
✗ MEM lost
Model: MEM by 1.1 ✗ Model: Under 2.8 ✓
FinalConference
Charlotte
14-13 · #141
76
FAU
14-13 · #109
77
Spread
FAU -6.5
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
147.5 ▼1
▲ Over 153
Projected
72–79
✓ FAU won
Model: FAU by 1.0 ✗ Model: Over 3.8 ✓
FinalConference
Rider
3-24 · #347
61
Siena
19-11 · #260
76
Spread
SIE -14.5
✓ SIE W ATS
Total
137.5
▼ Under 137
Projected
62–76
✓ SIE won
Model: RID by 0.1 ✗ Model: Over 0.2 ✗
FinalConference
Mount St Marys
13-16 · #278
69
Fairfield
18-11 · #239
47
Spread
FAIR -4.5
✓ MSM W ATS
Total
145.5 ▲2
▼ Under 116
Projected
70–75
✗ FAIR lost
Model: FAIR by 0.4 ✗ Model: Over 0.1 ✗
FinalConference
Merrimack
20-10 · #225
73
Niagara
7-21 · #346
66
Spread
MRMK -7.5
✓ NIA W ATS
Total
126.5
▲ Over 139
Projected
68–61
✓ MRMK won
Model: MRMK by 0.4 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓
FinalConference
Saint Peter's
15-11 · #269
63
Marist
17-10 · #236
56
Spread
MRST -4.5
✓ SPU W ATS
Total
132.5
▼ Under 119
Projected
63–68
✗ MRST lost
Model: MRST by 0.8 ✗ Model: Under 1.7 ✓
FinalConference
Iona
17-13 · #233
69
Manhattan
11-18 · #330
65
Spread
IONA -2.5
✓ IONA W ATS
Total
151.5 ▲1
▼ Under 134
Projected
80–78
✓ IONA won
Model: MAN by 0.3 ✗ Model: Over 5.8 ✗
FinalConference
Northern Iowa
17-12 · #131
75
Drake
10-18 · #144
53
Spread
UNI -4.5
✓ UNI W ATS
Total
137.5 ▼1
▼ Under 128
Projected
69–65
✓ UNI won
Model: DRKE by 1.2 ✗ Model: Under 3.4 ✓
FinalConference
Michigan St
23-5 · #10 AP #13
77
Indiana
17-11 · #38
64
Spread
MSU -2.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
144.5 ▼1
▼ Under 141
Projected
75–72
✓ MSU won
Model: MSU by 0.8 ✓ Model: Over 2.0 ✗
FinalConference
S Illinois
14-15 · #195
81
Evansville
5-23 · #255
67
Spread
SIU -9.5
✓ SIU W ATS
Total
139.5 ▲1
▲ Over 148
Projected
74–67
✓ SIU won
Model: EVAN by 1.8 ✗ Model: Over 1.6 ✓
FinalConference
DePaul
15-13 · #66
62
Marquette
10-18 · #42
51
Spread
MARQ -4.5
✓ DEP W ATS
Total
139.5 ▼3
▼ Under 113
Projected
70–74
✗ MARQ lost
Model: DEP by 1.0 ✓ Model: Over 4.1 ✗
FinalConference
Belmont
25-4 · #138
74
Illinois St
18-11 · #116
81
Spread
BEL -1.5
✓ ILST W ATS
Total
150.5
▲ Over 155
Projected
75–76
✓ ILST won
Model: ILST by 2.1 ✓ Model: Over 0.7 ✓
FinalConference
Charleston
19-10 · #117
79
UNC Wilmington
23-4 · #120
76
Spread
UNCW -5.5
✓ COFC W ATS
Total
146.5 ▲3
▲ Over 155
Projected
71–75
✗ UNCW lost
Model: COFC by 0.8 ✓ Model: Under 0.4 ✗
FinalConference
Wichita St
18-10 · #77
84
UTSA
3-23 · #192
67
Spread
WICH -15.5
✓ WICH W ATS
Total
151.5 ▲4
▼ Under 151
Projected
83–68
✓ WICH won
Model: UTSA by 1.3 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
La Salle
7-20 · #124
64
Davidson
15-11 · #115
71
 DAV -10.5 133.5 DAV -7.7 LAS +2.8 132.8 Under 0.7 75% DAV W L ›
Final
Tulane
16-11 · #130
62
South Florida
19-8 · #84
90
 USF -15.5 155.5 USF -14.6 TULN +0.9 159.0 Over 3.5 90% USF L L ›
Final
North Texas
14-13 · #112
62
UAB
17-10 · #102
58
 UAB -4.5 142.5 UAB -5.0 UAB +0.5 143.1 Over 0.6 67% UAB L L ›
Final
Rutgers
11-17 · #62
69
Maryland
11-17 · #50
65
 MD -4.5 143.5 MD -4.6 MD +0.1 146.0 Over 2.5 66% MD L L ›
Final
UIC
15-13 · #110
63
Indiana St
8-20 · #207
79
 UIC -3.5 144.5 UIC -3.5 — 150.0 Over 5.5 62% UIC L ›
Final
Quinnipiac
17-12 · #241
67
Canisius
9-20 · #359
63
 QUIN -7.5 138.5 QUIN -8.9 QUIN +1.4 139.2 Over 0.7 78% QUIN L L ›
Final
Purdue
22-6 · #23
74
Ohio State
17-11 · #33
82
 PUR -6.5 149.5 PUR -6.4 OSU +0.1 154.9 Over 5.4 71% PUR W W ›
Final
Murray St
20-10 · #132
78
Bradley
18-11 · #167
87
 BRAD -3.5 157.5 BRAD -2.1 MUR +1.4 162.1 Over 4.6 57% BRAD L W ›
Final
Rice
9-17 · #177
80
Temple
14-13 · #111
74
 TEM -6.5 142.5 TEM -6.9 TEM +0.4 146.7 Over 4.2 73% TEM L W ›
Final
Memphis
12-16 · #76
68
East Carolina
9-18 · #145
84
 MEM -4.5 152.5 MEM -5.6 MEM +1.1 149.7 Under 2.8 69% MEM L W ›
Final
Charlotte
14-13 · #141
76
FAU
14-13 · #109
77
 FAU -6.5 147.5 FAU -7.5 FAU +1.0 151.3 Over 3.8 75% FAU L W ›
Final
Rider
3-24 · #347
61
Siena
19-11 · #260
76
 SIE -14.5 137.5 SIE -14.4 RID +0.1 137.7 Over 0.2 90% SIE L L ›
Final
Mount St Marys
13-16 · #278
69
Fairfield
18-11 · #239
47
 FAIR -4.5 145.5 FAIR -4.9 FAIR +0.4 145.6 Over 0.1 67% FAIR L L ›
Final
Merrimack
20-10 · #225
73
Niagara
7-21 · #346
66
 MRMK -7.5 126.5 MRMK -7.9 MRMK +0.4 129.0 Over 2.5 75% MRMK L W ›
Final
Saint Peter's
15-11 · #269
63
Marist
17-10 · #236
56
 MRST -4.5 132.5 MRST -5.3 MRST +0.8 130.8 Under 1.7 68% MRST L W ›
Final
Iona
17-13 · #233
69
Manhattan
11-18 · #330
65
 IONA -2.5 151.5 IONA -2.2 MAN +0.3 157.3 Over 5.8 58% IONA L L ›
Final
Northern Iowa
17-12 · #131
75
Drake
10-18 · #144
53
 UNI -4.5 137.5 UNI -3.3 DRKE +1.2 134.1 Under 3.4 61% UNI L W ›
Final
Michigan St
23-5 · #10
77
Indiana
17-11 · #38
64
 MSU -2.5 144.5 MSU -3.3 MSU +0.8 146.5 Over 2.0 61% MSU W L ›
Final
S Illinois
14-15 · #195
81
Evansville
5-23 · #255
67
 SIU -9.5 139.5 SIU -7.7 EVAN +1.8 141.1 Over 1.6 75% SIU L W ›
Final
DePaul
15-13 · #66
62
Marquette
10-18 · #42
51
 MARQ -4.5 139.5 MARQ -3.5 DEP +1.0 143.6 Over 4.1 62% MARQ W L ›
Final
Belmont
25-4 · #138
74
Illinois St
18-11 · #116
81
 BEL -1.5 150.5 ILST -0.6 ILST +2.1 151.2 Over 0.7 52% ILST W W ›
Final
Charleston
19-10 · #117
79
UNC Wilmington
23-4 · #120
76
 UNCW -5.5 146.5 UNCW -4.8 COFC +0.8 146.1 Under 0.4 66% UNCW W L ›
Final
Wichita St
18-10 · #77
84
UTSA
3-23 · #192
67
 WICH -15.5 151.5 WICH -14.2 UTSA +1.3 151.0 Under 0.5 89% WICH L W ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record