CEFCU Arena · at Illinois St · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -1.5✓ ILST covered by 8.5
BEL -1.5✓ ILST covered by 8.5Closing total150.5Over by 4.5
| BEL | This season | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| 25-4 | Record | 18-11 |
| 18-11 | ATS | 15-14 |
| 17-12 | O/U | 12-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BEL 75–76 ILST · ✓ ILST (52%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 40 | 34 | 74 |
| ILST | 38 | 43 | 81 |
1st half: BEL 40, ILST 38 (BEL by 2). The model had ILST by 0.2 and a total of 70.7 (actual 78).
Team stats
| BEL | ILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-54 50% | Field goals | 25-53 47% |
| 11-26 42% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 9-16 56% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 28 10 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 37 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 6-16 | 5-11 |
| Sam Orme F | 30 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 30 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 18 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah West G | 18 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Smiley G | 23 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4-11 | 3-5 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 22 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Noyes F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Graydon Lemke, Win Miller, Nic McClain, Keith Robbins, Jake Dykstra, Cooper Haynes
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 34 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 5-14 | 2-7 |
| Landon Wolf G | 30 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 28 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Mason Klabo G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Chase Walker F | 10 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ty Pence G | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Landon Moore G | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Blake, Cameron Barnes, Isaac Ericksen, Nick Allen
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILST -1.5
3 → BEL
CloseBEL -1.5
3 pts toward BEL
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BEL -115 · ILST -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILST -1.5 · closed BEL -1.5 · moved 3 toward BELmodel ILST -0.5
model ILST -0.5
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BEL -1.5 | ILST -0.6 | ILST +2.1 | W ILST covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 151.2 | Over 0.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BEL 75.3 · ILST 75.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILST -0.2 | BEL -2.0 |
| 1H total | 70.7 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | BEL 35.2 · ILST 35.5 | BEL 40 · ILST 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
| ILST | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
BEL 5–3 ILSTBEL leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · BEL has won the last 2 meetings · BEL 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | ILST 69 @ BEL 80 | BEL -5.5 | BEL W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | ILST 63 vs BEL 76 | BEL -0.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | BEL 78 @ ILST 81 | ILST -1.5 | ILST W |
| Dec 4, 2024-25 | ILST 97 @ BEL 99 | BEL -5.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | BEL 67 @ ILST 77 | ILST -1.5 | ILST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Belmont
29 games played
Straight up
25-4
86% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs UIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @ EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vs BRAD | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vs SIU | L 67-68 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNI | W 78-65 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ DRKE | W 78-76 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 13 | vs VAL | W 78-74 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @SIU | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | vsILST | W 80-69 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @VAL | W 78-77 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs MUR | W 103-86 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 3 | vsDRKE | W 103-90 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 6 | @UIC | W 68-62 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 9 | @BRAD | L 84-95 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 12 | vsUNI | W 91-86 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 15 | @MUR | W 87-70 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | vsINST | W 87-70 | -12.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | vsEVAN | W 98-64 | -18.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+6.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−7.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+15.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
−2.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
−7.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
+1.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
+5.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
−4.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+13.5
3
vsDRKE
DRKEW 103-90
+3.5
6
@UIC
UICW 68-62
+4.5
9
@BRAD
BRADL 84-95
−12.5
12
vsUNI
UNIW 91-86
+0.5
15
@MUR
MURW 87-70
+15.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 87-70
+4.5
25
vsEVAN
EVANW 98-64
+15.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+12.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−23.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+5.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
+5.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
+5.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
−10.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
−1.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
+9.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+25.5
3
vsDRKE
DRKEW 103-90
+38.5
6
@UIC
UICW 68-62
−21.5
9
@BRAD
BRADL 84-95
+26.5
12
vsUNI
UNIW 91-86
+38.5
15
@MUR
MURW 87-70
−9.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 87-70
+0.5
25
vsEVAN
EVANW 98-64
+9.5
over 17under 12avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois St
29 games played
Straight up
18-11
62% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vsINST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vsEVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsUIC | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @INST | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vsBRAD | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vsUNI | W 59-54 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | @BEL | L 69-80 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @MUR | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 3 | vsSIU | L 50-54 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 6 | vsDRKE | W 86-76 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 9 | @EVAN | L 80-88 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 12 | vsVAL | W 86-64 | -8.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | @UIC | L 56-83 | -1.5 | L −28.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 18 | vsMUR | W 78-61 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | @BRAD | L 60-74 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | @UNI | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−14.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
−11.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+20.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−1.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−5.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
+8.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−12.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
−0.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
−18.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+13.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−28.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
+14.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 60-74
−10.5
25
@UNI
UNIW 71-69
+6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−19.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
+34.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+2.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−19.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−1.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
−24.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−36.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
+17.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
+30.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+11.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−1.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
−19.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 60-74
−11.5
25
@UNI
UNIW 71-69
+7.5
over 12under 17avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Belmont
25-4 overall · 16-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Evansville98–64
- Wvs Indiana St87–70
- W@ Murray St87–70
- Wvs Northern Iowa91–86
- L@ Bradley84–95
4 days since their last game.
Illinois St
18-11 overall · 11-8 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Northern Iowa71–69
- L@ Bradley60–74
- Wvs Murray St78–61
- L@ UIC56–83
- Wvs Valparaiso86–64
4 days since their last game.