Curb Event Center Arena · at Belmont · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -12.5✓ BEL covered by 4.5
BEL -12.5✓ BEL covered by 4.5Closing total156.5Over by 0.5
 INST | This season | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| 8-18 | Record | 23-4 |
| 16-10 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 12-14 | O/U | 15-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: INST 74–86 BEL · ✓ BEL (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 25 | 45 | 70 |
| BEL | 39 | 48 | 87 |
1st half: INST 25, BEL 39 (BEL by 14). The model had BEL by 6.7 and a total of 74.9 (actual 64).
Team stats
| INST | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-62 44% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 9-30 30% | 3-pointers | 8-31 26% |
| 7-8 88% | Free throws | 13-15 87% |
| 33 7 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 17 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 11 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott F | 36 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Bruno Alocen G | 30 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Xavier Hall G | 29 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Sterling Young G | 18 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| Markus Harding C | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Camp Wagner G | 28 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-15 | 4-10 |
| Derek Vorst C | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Sivert Waerstad Nordheim G | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Cooper Bean G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Harding C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caden Huttenlocker G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Martin Kaupanger, Enel St. Bernard, Jayan Walker, Zyair Greene
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 31 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Sam Orme F | 25 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-4 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah West G | 20 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eoin Dillon F | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Aidan Noyes F | 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jack Smiley G | 17 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Keith Robbins G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jake Dykstra G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Cooper Haynes G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Graydon Lemke F | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Nic McClain, Win Miller
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBEL -12.5
ModelBEL -11.5
Model edgeINST +1.0
L BEL covered
Total
Market156.5
Model160.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
W Over
Projected score
INST 74.4 · BEL 85.9
INST 70 · BEL 87
Win probability
BEL 84%
1st half
Spread
BEL -6.7
BEL -14.0
Total
74.9
64 points
Projected score
INST 34.1 · BEL 40.8
INST 25 · BEL 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -13.5
1 → INST
CloseBEL -12.5
1 pt toward INST
Total
Open157.5
▼ 1
Close156.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
INST +650 · BEL -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -13.5 · closed BEL -12.5 · moved 1 toward INSTmodel BEL -11.5
model BEL -11.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 downmodel 160.5
model 160.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| BEL | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
INST 4–3 BELINST leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · INST 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | BEL 80 @ INST 81 | INST +7.5 | INST W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | INST 75 @ BEL 77 | BEL -5.5 | INST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | BEL 84 @ INST 79 | INST -3.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | INST 78 @ BEL 72 | BEL +8.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | BEL 64 @ INST 94 | INST -11.5 | INST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana St
26 games played
Straight up
8-18
31% wins
Against the spread
16-10
62% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLT | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ SIUE | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ DUKE | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs LT | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs BALL | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @LT | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs ALCN | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs USI | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ MILW | W 70-68 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs BRAD | L 99-108 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | @ ILST | L 65-85 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vsBEL | W 81-80 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNI | L 66-75 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ DRKE | L 72-74 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs EVAN | L 69-72 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 14 | vsILST | W 94-89 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | @ MUR | L 81-85 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 21 | @BRAD | L 68-75 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsDRKE | L 62-76 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 27 | @ UIC | L 74-76 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vs VAL | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 3 | @EVAN | W 84-63 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 9 | vs SIU | L 65-80 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 12 | vsMUR | L 72-74 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 15 | @VAL | L 75-76 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 18 | vsUNI | L 60-81 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+0.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
−19.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
+10.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
+4.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
−3.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−6.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+8.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+1.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
+4.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−10.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+11.5
17
@MUR
MURL 81-85
+7.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 68-75
+1.5
24
vsDRKE
DRKEL 62-76
−17.5
27
@UIC
UICL 74-76
+3.5
31
vsVAL
VALL 72-76
−6.5
3
@EVAN
EVANW 84-63
+19.5
9
vsSIU
SIUL 65-80
−13.5
12
vsMUR
MURL 72-74
+1.5
15
@VAL
VALL 75-76
+3.5
18
vsUNI
UNIL 60-81
−15.5
covered 16didn’t cover 10avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+6.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
+2.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
−26.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
−21.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
+56.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−2.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+1.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+5.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
−3.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−4.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+34.5
17
@MUR
MURL 81-85
−1.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 68-75
−12.5
24
vsDRKE
DRKEL 62-76
−13.5
27
@UIC
UICL 74-76
+2.5
31
vsVAL
VALL 72-76
+2.5
3
@EVAN
EVANW 84-63
+1.5
9
vsSIU
SIUL 65-80
−1.5
12
vsMUR
MURL 72-74
−17.5
15
@VAL
VALL 75-76
+5.5
18
vsUNI
UNIL 60-81
+4.5
over 12under 14avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Belmont
27 games played
Straight up
23-4
85% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vsUIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vsBRAD | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vsSIU | L 67-68 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @UNI | W 78-65 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @DRKE | W 78-76 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 13 | vsVAL | W 78-74 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @SIU | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | vsILST | W 80-69 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @VAL | W 78-77 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vsMUR | W 103-86 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 3 | vsDRKE | W 103-90 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 6 | @UIC | W 68-62 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 9 | @BRAD | L 84-95 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 12 | vsUNI | W 91-86 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 15 | @MUR | W 87-70 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+6.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−7.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+15.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
−2.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
−7.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
+1.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
+5.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
−4.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+13.5
3
vsDRKE
DRKEW 103-90
+3.5
6
@UIC
UICW 68-62
+4.5
9
@BRAD
BRADL 84-95
−12.5
12
vsUNI
UNIW 91-86
+0.5
15
@MUR
MURW 87-70
+15.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+12.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−23.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+5.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
+5.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
+5.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
−10.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
−1.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
+9.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+25.5
3
vsDRKE
DRKEW 103-90
+38.5
6
@UIC
UICW 68-62
−21.5
9
@BRAD
BRADL 84-95
+26.5
12
vsUNI
UNIW 91-86
+38.5
15
@MUR
MURW 87-70
−9.5
over 15under 12avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana St
8-18 overall · 3-14 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Northern Iowa60–81
- L@ Valparaiso75–76
- Lvs Murray St72–74
- Lvs S Illinois65–80
- W@ Evansville84–63
3 days since their last game.
Belmont
23-4 overall · 14-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Murray St87–70
- Wvs Northern Iowa91–86
- L@ Bradley84–95
- W@ UIC68–62
- Wvs Drake103–90
6 days since their last game.