Ford Center · at Evansville · Conference game
Closing line
INST -1.5✓ INST covered by 19.5
INST -1.5✓ INST covered by 19.5Closing total145.5Over by 1.5
| INST | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 7-14 | Record | 3-17 |
| 13-8 | ATS | 9-11 |
| 9-12 | O/U | 8-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: INST 76–74 EVAN · ✓ INST (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 46 | 38 | 84 |
| EVAN | 29 | 34 | 63 |
1st half: INST 46, EVAN 29 (INST by 17). The model had INST by 1.2 and a total of 70.2 (actual 75).
Team stats
| INST | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-60 55% | Field goals | 23-54 43% |
| 13-27 48% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 5-9 56% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 28 | Assists | 9 |
| 9 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Harding C | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 7-11 | 3-5 |
| Sterling Young G | 29 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Bruno Alocen G | 25 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Ian Scott F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Xavier Hall G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Enel St. Bernard F | 23 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Camp Wagner G | 21 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Sivert Waerstad Nordheim G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Harding C | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Caden Huttenlocker G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cooper Bean G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Martin Kaupanger, Jayan Walker, Derek Vorst, Zyair Greene
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller G | 37 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 8-14 | 2-4 |
| AJ Casey F | 29 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Quinet G | 25 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Hundley F | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Connor Turnbull F | 15 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| James Dyson-Merwe F | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Gutman, Weston Aigner, Dakota Candler, Leo Amari IV, Keishon Porter, Marlon Barnes Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenINST -1.5
no move
CloseINST -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▲ 2
Close145.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
INST -125 · EVAN +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened INST -1.5 · unchangedmodel INST -2
model INST -2
Opened 143.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | INST -1.5 | INST -1.8 | INST +0.3 | W INST covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 149.9 | Over 4.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | INST 75.8 · EVAN 74.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | INST -1.2 | INST -17.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | INST 35.7 · EVAN 34.5 | INST 46 · EVAN 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| EVAN | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
INST 7–3 EVANINST leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · EVAN has won the last 2 meetings · INST 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | EVAN 72 @ INST 69 | INST -7.5 | EVAN W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | EVAN 79 @ INST 74 | INST -7.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | INST 66 @ EVAN 62 | EVAN +3.5 | INST W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | INST 85 @ EVAN 67 | EVAN +10.5 | INST W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | EVAN 73 @ INST 87 | INST -14.5 | EVAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana St
21 games played
Straight up
7-14
33% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLT | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ SIUE | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ DUKE | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs LT | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs BALL | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @LT | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs ALCN | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs USI | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ MILW | W 70-68 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs BRAD | L 99-108 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | @ ILST | L 65-85 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs BEL | W 81-80 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNI | L 66-75 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ DRKE | L 72-74 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsEVAN | L 69-72 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 14 | vsILST | W 94-89 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | @ MUR | L 81-85 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 21 | @BRAD | L 68-75 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsDRKE | L 62-76 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 27 | @ UIC | L 74-76 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vs VAL | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+0.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
−19.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
+10.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
+4.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
−3.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−6.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+8.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+1.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
+4.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−10.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+11.5
17
@MUR
MURL 81-85
+7.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 68-75
+1.5
24
vsDRKE
DRKEL 62-76
−17.5
27
@UIC
UICL 74-76
+3.5
31
vsVAL
VALL 72-76
−6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+6.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
+2.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
−26.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
−21.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
+56.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−2.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+1.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+5.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
−3.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−4.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+34.5
17
@MUR
MURL 81-85
−1.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 68-75
−12.5
24
vsDRKE
DRKEL 62-76
−13.5
27
@UIC
UICL 74-76
+2.5
31
vsVAL
VALL 72-76
+2.5
over 9under 12avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
20 games played
Straight up
3-17
15% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ PUR | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTSU | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTA | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs ORST | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs AKR | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs COFC | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vsBALL | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ WKU | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ ND | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vsBEL | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 21 | vsDRKE | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | @BRAD | L 68-76 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ILST | L 47-73 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 4 | vsUNI | L 48-62 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vsMUR | L 69-79 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | @INST | W 72-69 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vsBRAD | L 90-94 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 20 | @UIC | L 49-76 | +8.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 28 | @DRKE | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | @UNI | L 55-71 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 128.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
+5.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+10.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
−9.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+3.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−3.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
+3.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−13.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−9.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−1.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
+10.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+3.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−18.5
28
@DRKE
DRKEL 78-82
+4.5
31
@UNI
UNIL 55-71
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
−20.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+11.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
+3.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+13.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−10.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
−0.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−24.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−21.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−5.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
−4.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+41.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−14.5
28
@DRKE
DRKEL 78-82
+16.5
31
@UNI
UNIL 55-71
−2.5
over 8under 12avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana St
7-14 overall · 2-10 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Valparaiso72–76
- L@ UIC74–76
- Lvs Drake62–76
- L@ Bradley68–75
- L@ Murray St81–85
3 days since their last game.
Evansville
3-17 overall · 1-10 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Northern Iowa55–71
- L@ Drake78–82
- L@ UIC49–76
- Lvs Bradley90–94
- W@ Indiana St72–69
3 days since their last game.