Carver Arena · at Bradley · Conference game
Closing line
BRAD -8.5✓ INST covered by 1.5
BRAD -8.5✓ INST covered by 1.5Closing total155.5Under by 12.5
 INST | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 7-10 | Record | 12-7 |
| 11-6 | ATS | 7-12 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: INST 76–83 BRAD · ✓ BRAD (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 36 | 32 | 68 |
| BRAD | 34 | 41 | 75 |
1st half: INST 36, BRAD 34 (INST by 2). The model had BRAD by 4.1 and a total of 74.3 (actual 70).
Team stats
| INST | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-52 52% | Field goals | 22-63 35% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 26-31 84% |
| 34 3 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 9 |
| 1 | Steals | 14 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott F | 37 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-3 |
| Xavier Hall G | 29 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Camp Wagner G | 25 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Sterling Young G | 16 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Hunter Harding C | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bruno Alocen G | 28 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 20 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Enel St. Bernard F | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Markus Harding C | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Sivert Waerstad Nordheim G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayan Walker, Caden Huttenlocker, Derek Vorst, Cooper Bean, Zyair Greene, Martin Kaupanger
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse G | 34 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-13 | 1-6 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 31 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 22 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0-7 | 0-0 |
| AJ Smith F | 21 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Demarion Burch G | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 20 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Matthew Zobrist G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Corey Thomas F | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Kai Yu C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gus Rugaard, Dietrich Richardson, Jackson Seastrunk, Handy Toussaint III, Gustavo Guimares
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -8.5
no move
CloseBRAD -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▲ 3
Close155.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
INST +300 · BRAD -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -8.5 · unchangedmodel BRAD -7
model BRAD -7
Opened 152.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 3 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BRAD -8.5 | BRAD -7.1 | INST +1.4 | W INST covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 158.8 | Over 3.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | INST 75.8 · BRAD 83 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BRAD -4.1 | INST -2.0 |
| 1H total | 74.3 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | INST 35.1 · BRAD 39.2 | INST 36 · BRAD 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| BRAD | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
INST 3–6 BRADBRAD leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · BRAD has won the last 3 meetings · INST 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025-26 | BRAD 108 @ INST 99 | INST +5.5 | BRAD W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | INST 65 @ BRAD 118 | BRAD -8.5 | BRAD W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | BRAD 90 @ INST 89 | INST +3.5 | INST W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | BRAD 86 @ INST 95 | INST -7.5 | INST W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | INST 85 @ BRAD 77 | BRAD -2.5 | INST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana St
17 games played
Straight up
7-10
41% wins
Against the spread
11-6
65% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLT | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ SIUE | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ DUKE | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs LT | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs BALL | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @LT | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs ALCN | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs USI | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ MILW | W 70-68 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vsBRAD | L 99-108 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | @ ILST | L 65-85 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs BEL | W 81-80 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNI | L 66-75 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ DRKE | L 72-74 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs EVAN | L 69-72 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 14 | vsILST | W 94-89 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | @ MUR | L 81-85 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | U 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+0.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
−19.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
+10.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
+4.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
−3.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−6.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+8.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+1.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
+4.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−10.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+11.5
17
@MUR
MURL 81-85
+7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 6avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+6.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
+2.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
−26.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
−21.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
+56.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−2.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+1.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+5.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
−3.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−4.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+34.5
17
@MUR
MURL 81-85
−1.5
over 7under 10avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vs SIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsEVAN | W 76-68 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @BEL | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @MUR | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsDRKE | W 93-66 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNI | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | @EVAN | W 94-90 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @ILST | L 62-88 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−3.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
−6.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−14.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+20.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+1.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
−3.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
−20.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−0.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
+12.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−10.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+14.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+12.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
+41.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
+2.5
over 10under 9avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana St
7-10 overall · 2-6 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Murray St81–85
- Wvs Illinois St94–89
- Lvs Evansville69–72
- L@ Drake72–74
- L@ Northern Iowa66–75
4 days since their last game.
Bradley
12-7 overall · 6-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois St62–88
- W@ Evansville94–90
- Wvs Northern Iowa75–69
- Wvs Drake93–66
- L@ Murray St66–86
4 days since their last game.