CFSB Center · at Murray St · Conference game
Closing line
MUR -11.5✓ INST covered by 7.5
MUR -11.5✓ INST covered by 7.5Closing total167.5Under by 1.5
 INST | This season | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | Record | 15-3 |
| 10-6 | ATS | 12-6 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: INST 78–88 MUR · ✓ MUR (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 37 | 44 | 81 |
| MUR | 47 | 38 | 85 |
1st half: INST 37, MUR 47 (MUR by 10). The model had MUR by 6.0 and a total of 78.0 (actual 84).
Team stats
| INST | MUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-66 48% | Field goals | 29-62 47% |
| 8-16 50% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 9-15 60% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 13 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott F | 35 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| Camp Wagner G | 34 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 8-16 | 2-5 |
| Sterling Young G | 24 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-2 |
| Xavier Hall G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Derek Vorst C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Enel St. Bernard F | 29 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Bruno Alocen G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Hunter Harding C | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Sivert Waerstad Nordheim G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayan Walker, Caden Huttenlocker, Cooper Bean, Markus Harding, Martin Kaupanger, Zyair Greene
| MUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Miller F | 29 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| JJ Traynor F | 28 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Layne Taylor G | 28 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Javon Jackson G | 28 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 6-13 | 2-4 |
| Fredrick King C | 26 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roman Domon G | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Mathis Courbon G | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| KJ Tenner G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Brayden Shorter G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Dylan Anderson F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Brock Vice F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ben Shtolzberg, Tristian Ford, Lachlan Crate, Dillon Butler
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMUR -13.5
2 → INST
CloseMUR -11.5
2 pts toward INST
Total
Open162.5
▲ 5
Close167.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
INST +550 · MUR -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MUR -13.5 · closed MUR -11.5 · moved 2 toward INSTmodel MUR -10
model MUR -10
Opened 162.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 5 upmodel 166.5
model 166.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MUR -11.5 | MUR -10.2 | INST +1.3 | W INST covered |
| Total | 167.5 | 166.6 | Under 0.9 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | INST 78.2 · MUR 88.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MUR -6.0 | MUR -10.0 |
| 1H total | 78.0 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | INST 36 · MUR 42 | INST 37 · MUR 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| MUR | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
INST 4–2 MURINST leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · INST 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | INST 75 @ MUR 85 | MUR -5.5 | MUR W |
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | MUR 74 @ INST 84 | INST +2.5 | INST W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | MUR 77 @ INST 89 | INST -14.5 | MUR W |
| Jan 21, 2023-24 | INST 72 @ MUR 63 | MUR +5.5 | INST W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | MUR 56 @ INST 99 | INST -6.5 | INST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana St
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLT | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ SIUE | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ DUKE | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs LT | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs BALL | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @LT | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs ALCN | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs USI | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ MILW | W 70-68 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs BRAD | L 99-108 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | @ ILST | L 65-85 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs BEL | W 81-80 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNI | L 66-75 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ DRKE | L 72-74 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs EVAN | L 69-72 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 14 | vsILST | W 94-89 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+0.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
−19.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
+10.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
+4.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
−3.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−6.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+8.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+1.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
+4.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−10.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+6.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
+2.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
−26.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
−21.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
+56.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−2.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+1.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+5.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
−3.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−4.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+34.5
over 7under 9avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Murray St
18 games played
Straight up
15-3
83% wins
Against the spread
12-6
67% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OMA | W 85-77 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MVSU | W 108-60 | -38.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMU | L 91-102 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs NICH | W 99-79 | -14.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 18 | vs LR | W 89-68 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 23 | vs MTSU | L 87-90 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs MCN | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs GW | W 96-95 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | vs MORE | W 84-52 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs BELL | W 81-68 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs AKR | W 115-100 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 18 | vsDRKE | W 81-72 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ VAL | W 85-79 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | vs SIU | W 84-81 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | @ UIC | W 81-77 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 4 | vsBRAD | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | @EVAN | W 79-69 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsVAL | W 92-79 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+2.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+9.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
−0.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+5.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+7.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
−9.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−10.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+8.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
+15.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−3.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+19.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
+1.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+0.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−3.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
+14.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
+1.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+0.5
covered 12didn’t cover 6avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+8.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+8.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
+28.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+20.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+15.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−25.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+23.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
−22.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−8.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+46.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
−3.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+8.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−0.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
−10.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
−5.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+18.5
over 10under 8avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana St
7-9 overall · 2-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Illinois St94–89
- Lvs Evansville69–72
- L@ Drake72–74
- L@ Northern Iowa66–75
- Wvs Belmont81–80
3 days since their last game.
Murray St
15-3 overall · 7-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Valparaiso92–79
- W@ Evansville79–69
- Wvs Bradley86–66
- W@ UIC81–77
- Wvs S Illinois84–81
A week or more of rest.