Carver Arena · at Bradley · Conference game
Closing line
BRAD -3.5✓ BRAD covered by 10.5
BRAD -3.5✓ BRAD covered by 10.5Closing total145.5Under by 11.5
 ILST | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 17-10 | Record | 17-10 |
| 14-13 | ATS | 10-17 |
| 11-16 | O/U | 14-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILST 73–73 BRAD · ✗ ILST (52%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 31 | 29 | 60 |
| BRAD | 43 | 31 | 74 |
1st half: ILST 31, BRAD 43 (BRAD by 12). The model had ILST by 0.5 and a total of 68.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| ILST | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-53 42% | Field goals | 30-59 51% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 3-18 17% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 2 | Steals | 9 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 35 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Landon Wolf G | 29 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Mason Klabo G | 25 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ty Pence G | 25 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Landon Moore G | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Nick Allen, Isaac Ericksen, Chase Walker, Ty Blake, Cameron Barnes
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse G | 35 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 5-12 | 0-4 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 33 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 8-16 | 1-3 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 32 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-6 |
| AJ Smith F | 28 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Corey Thomas F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Montana Wheeler G | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Demarion Burch G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kai Yu C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gustavo Guimares, Handy Toussaint III, Jackson Seastrunk, Matthew Zobrist, Dietrich Richardson, Gus Rugaard
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -4.5
1 → ILST
CloseBRAD -3.5
1 pt toward ILST
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ILST +150 · BRAD -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -4.5 · closed BRAD -3.5 · moved 1 toward ILSTmodel ILST -0.5
model ILST -0.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 145.5 matches the line
model 145.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BRAD -3.5 | ILST -0.6 | ILST +4.1 | L BRAD covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 145.7 | Over 0.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ILST 73.1 · BRAD 72.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILST -0.5 | BRAD -12.0 |
| 1H total | 68.2 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | ILST 34.3 · BRAD 33.9 | ILST 31 · BRAD 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| BRAD | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ILST 3–6 BRADBRAD leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ILST has won the last 2 meetings · ILST 7-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | BRAD 62 @ ILST 88 | ILST -5.5 | ILST W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | BRAD 71 @ ILST 82 | ILST -0.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | ILST 57 @ BRAD 61 | BRAD -8.5 | ILST W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | ILST 45 @ BRAD 48 | BRAD -12.5 | ILST W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | BRAD 73 @ ILST 60 | ILST +6.5 | BRAD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois St
27 games played
Straight up
17-10
63% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @ SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs INST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @ DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vs EVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs UIC | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @INST | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vsBRAD | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNI | W 59-54 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | @ BEL | L 69-80 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @ MUR | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 3 | vsSIU | L 50-54 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 6 | vsDRKE | W 86-76 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 9 | @EVAN | L 80-88 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 12 | vsVAL | W 86-64 | -8.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | @UIC | L 56-83 | -1.5 | L −28.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 18 | vsMUR | W 78-61 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−14.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
−11.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+20.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−1.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−5.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
+8.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−12.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
−0.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
−18.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+13.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−28.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
+14.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−19.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
+34.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+2.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−19.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−1.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
−24.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−36.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
+17.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
+30.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+11.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−1.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
−19.5
over 11under 16avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
27 games played
Straight up
17-10
63% wins
Against the spread
10-17
37% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vsSIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsEVAN | W 76-68 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @BEL | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @MUR | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsDRKE | W 93-66 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNI | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | @EVAN | W 94-90 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @ILST | L 62-88 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vsINST | W 75-68 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsUIC | L 70-85 | -7.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @DRKE | W 87-73 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 3 | vsVAL | W 72-65 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | @UNI | L 49-61 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 9 | vsBEL | W 95-84 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 15 | @SIU | W 70-60 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @VAL | L 72-79 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−3.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
−6.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−14.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+20.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+1.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
−3.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
−20.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−1.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
−22.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+11.5
3
vsVAL
VALW 72-65
−0.5
6
@UNI
UNIL 49-61
−8.5
9
vsBEL
BELW 95-84
+12.5
15
@SIU
SIUW 70-60
+12.5
18
@VAL
VALL 72-79
−9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 17avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−0.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
+12.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−10.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+14.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+12.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
+41.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
+2.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−12.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
+10.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+9.5
3
vsVAL
VALW 72-65
−7.5
6
@UNI
UNIL 49-61
−24.5
9
vsBEL
BELW 95-84
+26.5
15
@SIU
SIUW 70-60
−16.5
18
@VAL
VALL 72-79
+8.5
over 14under 13avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois St
17-10 overall · 10-7 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Murray St78–61
- L@ UIC56–83
- Wvs Valparaiso86–64
- L@ Evansville80–88
- Wvs Drake86–76
3 days since their last game.
Bradley
17-10 overall · 11-6 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Valparaiso72–79
- W@ S Illinois70–60
- Wvs Belmont95–84
- L@ Northern Iowa49–61
- Wvs Valparaiso72–65
3 days since their last game.