Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA · Conference game
Closing line
ILL -6.5✓ UCLA covered by 7.5
ILL -6.5✓ UCLA covered by 7.5Closing total146.5Over by 42.5
| ILL | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 22-5 | Record | 17-9 |
| 17-10 | ATS | 10-16 |
| 11-16 | O/U | 13-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILL 79–72 UCLA · ✗ ILL (72%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 50 | 36 | 8 | 94 |
| UCLA | 43 | 43 | 9 | 95 |
1st half: ILL 50, UCLA 43 (ILL by 7). The model had ILL by 4.2 and a total of 70.2 (actual 93).
Team stats
| ILL | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-69 41% | Field goals | 34-67 51% |
| 13-42 31% | 3-pointers | 11-28 39% |
| 25-31 81% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 43 20 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 21 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler G | 39 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5-15 | 1-6 |
| Kylan Boswell G | 33 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 33 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| David Mirkovic F | 25 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Jake Davis F | 22 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Humrichous F | 29 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jason Jakstys, AJ Redd, Ty Rodgers, Brandon Lee, Blake Fagbemi, Mihailo Petrovic
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Perry G | 45 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Donovan Dent G | 42 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 5-15 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 29 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 8-13 | 3-6 |
| Skyy Clark G | 26 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Xavier Booker C | 24 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 7-8 | 2-3 |
| Eric Freeny G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jamar Brown G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Williams F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Seidler, Christian Horry, Anthony Peoples Jr., Evan Manjikian, Markell Alston
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -6.5
no move
CloseILL -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ILL -290 · UCLA +235
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -6.5 · unchangedmodel ILL -7
model ILL -7
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILL -6.5 | ILL -6.8 | ILL +0.3 | L UCLA covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 150.1 | Over 3.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ILL 78.5 · UCLA 71.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -4.2 | ILL -7.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 93 |
| 1H projected score | ILL 37.2 · UCLA 33 | ILL 50 · UCLA 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| UCLA | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ILL 2–0 UCLAILL leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · ILL has won the last 2 meetings · ILL 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | UCLA 78 @ ILL 83 | ILL -7.5 | UCLA W |
| Nov 18, 2022-23 | ILL 79 vs UCLA 70 | UCLA -3.5 | ILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois
27 games played
Straight up
22-5
81% wins
Against the spread
17-10
63% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JKST | W 113-55 | -28.5 | W +29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs FGCU | W 113-70 | -29.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs TTU | W 81-77 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs COLG | W 84-65 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALA | L 86-90 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs LIU | W 98-58 | -34.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs RGV | W 87-73 | -33.5 | L −19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 28 | vs CONN | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | vs TENN | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ OSU | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs NEB | L 80-83 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs MIZ | W 91-48 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs SOU | W 90-55 | -33.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ PSU | W 73-65 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 8 | vs RUTG | W 81-55 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | @ IOWA | W 75-69 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ NU | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs MINN | W 77-67 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 21 | vs MD | W 89-70 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ PUR | W 88-82 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 29 | vs WASH | W 75-66 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | @NEB | W 78-69 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 4 | vsNU | W 84-44 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 7 | @ MSU | L 82-85 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 10 | vs WIS | L 90-92 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 15 | vs IU | W 71-51 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 18 | @ USC | W 101-65 | -8.5 | W +27.5 | 151.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
+5.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−19.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−8.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
+14.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+4.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
−12.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
+34.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
+1.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−6.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
+3.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+4.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
+1.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−5.5
21
vsMD
MDW 89-70
+0.5
24
@PUR
PURW 88-82
+11.5
29
vsWASH
WASHW 75-66
−3.5
1
@NEB
NEBW 78-69
+10.5
4
vsNU
NUW 84-44
+23.5
7
@MSU
MSUL 82-85
−1.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 90-92
−11.5
15
vsIU
IUW 71-51
+11.5
18
@USC
USCW 101-65
+27.5
covered 17didn’t cover 10avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
−4.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−4.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−15.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
−12.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+5.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
+6.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
−14.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
−18.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−18.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
−13.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+1.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
−4.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
+1.5
21
vsMD
MDW 89-70
+6.5
24
@PUR
PURW 88-82
+17.5
29
vsWASH
WASHW 75-66
−12.5
1
@NEB
NEBW 78-69
−7.5
4
vsNU
NUW 84-44
−21.5
7
@MSU
MSUL 82-85
+24.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 90-92
+28.5
15
vsIU
IUW 71-51
−31.5
18
@USC
USCW 101-65
+14.5
over 11under 16avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
26 games played
Straight up
17-9
65% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vsMD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vsPUR | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vsNU | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 28 | @ORE | W 73-57 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vsIU | L 97-98 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | vsRUTG | W 98-66 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vsWASH | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 14 | @ MICH | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @MSU | L 59-82 | +8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
+7.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−0.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
+11.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
−4.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+18.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 77-73
−0.5
14
@MICH
MICHL 56-86
−14.5
17
@MSU
MSUL 59-82
−14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
−11.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−8.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
−6.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
+50.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+21.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 77-73
+5.5
14
@MICH
MICHL 56-86
−14.5
17
@MSU
MSUL 59-82
+1.5
over 13under 13avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois
22-5 overall · 13-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ USC101–65
- Wvs Indiana71–51
- Lvs Wisconsin90–92
- L@ Michigan St82–85
- Wvs Northwestern84–44
3 days since their last game.
UCLA
17-9 overall · 9-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan St59–82
- L@ Michigan56–86
- Wvs Washington77–73
- Wvs Rutgers98–66
- Lvs Indiana97–98
4 days since their last game.