State Farm Center · at Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
ILL -8.5✓ ILL covered by 11.5
ILL -8.5✓ ILL covered by 11.5Closing total153.5Under by 31.5
 IU | This season | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 17-8 | Record | 20-5 |
| 13-12 | ATS | 15-10 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 10-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IU 74–83 ILL · ✓ ILL (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 31 | 20 | 51 |
| ILL | 38 | 33 | 71 |
1st half: IU 31, ILL 38 (ILL by 7). The model had ILL by 5.3 and a total of 73.5 (actual 69).
Team stats
| IU | ILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-49 41% | Field goals | 29-66 44% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 7-31 23% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 6-7 86% |
| 25 4 off | Rebounds | 38 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 1 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 39 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 8-14 | 2-7 |
| Tucker DeVries F | 35 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Conor Enright G | 35 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Nick Dorn G | 32 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Sam Alexis F | 28 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jasai Miles G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Reed Bailey F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Aleksa Ristic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trent Sisley F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Josh Harris, Drew Snively, Tryce Grensing, Andrej Acimovic, Jordan Rayford, Deuce Drake, Ian Stephens
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler G | 39 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 7-15 | 1-4 |
| David Mirkovic F | 37 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 10-16 | 3-6 |
| Kylan Boswell G | 33 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 27 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-6 |
| Jake Davis F | 25 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Humrichous F | 26 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-6 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Mihailo Petrovic, Blake Fagbemi, Brandon Lee, Ty Rodgers, AJ Redd, Andrej Stojakovic, Jason Jakstys
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -10.5
2 → IU
CloseILL -8.5
2 pts toward IU
Total
Open150.5
▲ 3
Close153.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
IU +360 · ILL -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -10.5 · closed ILL -8.5 · moved 2 toward IUmodel ILL -9
model ILL -9
Opened 150.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILL -8.5 | ILL -9.2 | ILL +0.7 | W ILL covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 157.3 | Over 3.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | IU 74.1 · ILL 83.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -5.3 | ILL -7.0 |
| 1H total | 73.5 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | IU 34.1 · ILL 39.4 | IU 31 · ILL 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| ILL | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
IU 3–3 ILLSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · ILL has won the last 2 meetings · IU 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | ILL 94 @ IU 69 | IU +5.5 | ILL W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | IU 62 @ ILL 70 | ILL -14.5 | IU W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | ILL 68 @ IU 71 | IU -6.5 | ILL W |
| Jan 19, 2022-23 | IU 80 @ ILL 65 | ILL -6.5 | IU W |
| Mar 11, 2021-22 | IU 65 vs ILL 63 | ILL -6 | IU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vs PSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vs WASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vs NEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs IOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @ MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ RUTG | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs PUR | W 72-67 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @ UCLA | W 98-97 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | @ USC | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs WIS | W 78-77 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 9 | vs ORE | W 92-74 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
+15.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
+9.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+4.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
−7.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
9
vsORE
OREW 92-74
+7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
−6.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
−11.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+50.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
+2.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
9
vsORE
OREW 92-74
+22.5
over 12under 13avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois
25 games played
Straight up
20-5
80% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JKST | W 113-55 | -28.5 | W +29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs FGCU | W 113-70 | -29.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs TTU | W 81-77 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs COLG | W 84-65 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALA | L 86-90 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs LIU | W 98-58 | -34.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs RGV | W 87-73 | -33.5 | L −19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 28 | vs CONN | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | vs TENN | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ OSU | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vsNEB | L 80-83 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs MIZ | W 91-48 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs SOU | W 90-55 | -33.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @PSU | W 73-65 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 8 | vsRUTG | W 81-55 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | @IOWA | W 75-69 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ NU | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vsMINN | W 77-67 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 21 | vsMD | W 89-70 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @PUR | W 88-82 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 29 | vsWASH | W 75-66 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | @NEB | W 78-69 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 4 | vsNU | W 84-44 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 7 | @MSU | L 82-85 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 10 | vsWIS | L 90-92 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
+5.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−19.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−8.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
+14.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+4.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
−12.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
+34.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
+1.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−6.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
+3.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+4.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
+1.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−5.5
21
vsMD
MDW 89-70
+0.5
24
@PUR
PURW 88-82
+11.5
29
vsWASH
WASHW 75-66
−3.5
1
@NEB
NEBW 78-69
+10.5
4
vsNU
NUW 84-44
+23.5
7
@MSU
MSUL 82-85
−1.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 90-92
−11.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
−4.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−4.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−15.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
−12.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+5.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
+6.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
−14.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
−18.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−18.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
−13.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+1.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
−4.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
+1.5
21
vsMD
MDW 89-70
+6.5
24
@PUR
PURW 88-82
+17.5
29
vsWASH
WASHW 75-66
−12.5
1
@NEB
NEBW 78-69
−7.5
4
vsNU
NUW 84-44
−21.5
7
@MSU
MSUL 82-85
+24.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 90-92
+28.5
over 10under 15avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana
17-8 overall · 8-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oregon92–74
- Wvs Wisconsin78–77
- L@ USC75–81
- W@ UCLA98–97
- Wvs Purdue72–67
6 days since their last game.
Illinois
20-5 overall · 11-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wisconsin90–92
- L@ Michigan St82–85
- Wvs Northwestern84–44
- W@ Nebraska78–69
- Wvs Washington75–66
5 days since their last game.