Carver Arena · at Bradley · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -1.5✓ BRAD covered by 12.5
BEL -1.5✓ BRAD covered by 12.5Closing total152.5Over by 26.5
| BEL | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 21-3 | Record | 15-9 |
| 14-10 | ATS | 8-16 |
| 13-11 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BEL 78–77 BRAD · ✗ BEL (55%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 33 | 47 | 4 | 84 |
| BRAD | 31 | 49 | 15 | 95 |
1st half: BEL 33, BRAD 31 (BEL by 2). The model had BEL by 1.0 and a total of 72.6 (actual 64).
Team stats
| BEL | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 29-67 43% |
| 10-33 30% | 3-pointers | 17-36 47% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 46 14 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 17 | Assists | 19 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 42 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah West G | 23 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 19 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Sam Orme F | 19 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Noyes F | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 22 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Jack Smiley G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 19 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Win Miller G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Graydon Lemke, Nic McClain, Keith Robbins, Jake Dykstra, Cooper Haynes
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Alex Huibregtse G | 36 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 6-11 | 6-11 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 36 | 31 | 4 | 7 | 9-18 | 6-10 |
| AJ Smith F | 31 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 22 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Corey Thomas F | 17 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kai Yu C | 16 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Dietrich Richardson G | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Demarion Burch, Gus Rugaard, Matthew Zobrist, Jackson Seastrunk, Handy Toussaint III, Gustavo Guimares
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -1.5
no move
CloseBEL -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▼ 2
Close152.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
BEL -125 · BRAD +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -1.5 · unchangedmodel BEL -1.5 matches the line
model BEL -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 154.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 downmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BEL -1.5 | BEL -1.4 | BRAD +0.1 | W BRAD covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 155.2 | Over 2.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BEL 78.3 · BRAD 76.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BEL -1.0 | BEL -2.0 |
| 1H total | 72.6 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | BEL 36.8 · BRAD 35.8 | BEL 33 · BRAD 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| BRAD | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
BEL 4–2 BRADBEL leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · BEL has won the last 2 meetings · BEL 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | BRAD 78 @ BEL 88 | BEL -3.5 | BEL W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | BEL 80 @ BRAD 77 | BRAD -7.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | BRAD 89 @ BEL 77 | BEL +2.5 | BRAD W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | BEL 72 @ BRAD 95 | BRAD -10.5 | BRAD W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | BEL 78 @ BRAD 76 | BRAD -7.5 | BEL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Belmont
24 games played
Straight up
21-3
88% wins
Against the spread
14-10
58% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs UIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @ EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vsBRAD | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vs SIU | L 67-68 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNI | W 78-65 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ DRKE | W 78-76 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 13 | vs VAL | W 78-74 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @SIU | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | vs ILST | W 80-69 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @VAL | W 78-77 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs MUR | W 103-86 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 3 | vsDRKE | W 103-90 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 6 | @UIC | W 68-62 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+6.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−7.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+15.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
−2.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
−7.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
+1.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
+5.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
−4.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+13.5
3
vsDRKE
DRKEW 103-90
+3.5
6
@UIC
UICW 68-62
+4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 10avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+12.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−23.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+5.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
+5.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
+5.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
−10.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
−1.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
+9.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+25.5
3
vsDRKE
DRKEW 103-90
+38.5
6
@UIC
UICW 68-62
−21.5
over 13under 11avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
24 games played
Straight up
15-9
63% wins
Against the spread
8-16
33% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vsSIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsEVAN | W 76-68 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @BEL | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @MUR | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsDRKE | W 93-66 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNI | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | @EVAN | W 94-90 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @ILST | L 62-88 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vsINST | W 75-68 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsUIC | L 70-85 | -7.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @DRKE | W 87-73 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 3 | vsVAL | W 72-65 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | @UNI | L 49-61 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−3.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
−6.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−14.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+20.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+1.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
−3.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
−20.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−1.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
−22.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+11.5
3
vsVAL
VALW 72-65
−0.5
6
@UNI
UNIL 49-61
−8.5
covered 8didn’t cover 16avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−0.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
+12.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−10.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+14.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+12.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
+41.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
+2.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−12.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
+10.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+9.5
3
vsVAL
VALW 72-65
−7.5
6
@UNI
UNIL 49-61
−24.5
over 12under 12avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Belmont
21-3 overall · 12-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UIC68–62
- Wvs Drake103–90
- Wvs Murray St103–86
- W@ Valparaiso78–77
- Wvs Illinois St80–69
3 days since their last game.
Bradley
15-9 overall · 9-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Northern Iowa49–61
- Wvs Valparaiso72–65
- W@ Drake87–73
- Lvs UIC70–85
- Wvs Indiana St75–68
3 days since their last game.