Ford Center · at Evansville · Conference game
Closing line
ILST -10.5✓ EVAN covered by 18.5
ILST -10.5✓ EVAN covered by 18.5Closing total137.5Over by 30.5
| ILST | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 15-8 | Record | 3-19 |
| 12-11 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 9-14 | O/U | 9-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILST 75–64 EVAN · ✗ ILST (83%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 32 | 48 | 80 |
| EVAN | 45 | 43 | 88 |
1st half: ILST 32, EVAN 45 (EVAN by 13). The model had ILST by 6.5 and a total of 64.7 (actual 77).
Team stats
| ILST | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-59 49% | Field goals | 29-51 57% |
| 12-29 41% | 3-pointers | 14-21 67% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 28 2 off |
| 21 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 8 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Wolf G | 33 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Johnny Kinziger G | 33 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 25 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Mason Klabo G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Chase Walker F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Moore G | 23 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Ty Pence G | 19 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Barnes F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Blake, Isaac Ericksen, Nick Allen
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller G | 40 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 6-12 | 4-5 |
| Bryce Quinet G | 38 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-1 |
| AJ Casey F | 33 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 10-15 | 3-5 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 27 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 26 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaia Berridge G | 19 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Trent Hundley F | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Connor Turnbull, Dakota Candler, Weston Aigner, Leo Amari IV, Keishon Porter, James Dyson-Merwe, Marlon Barnes Jr., Aaron Gutman
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILST -9.5
1 → ILST
CloseILST -10.5
1 pt toward ILST
Total
Open138.5
▼ 1
Close137.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ILST -625 · EVAN +455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILST -9.5 · closed ILST -10.5 · moved 1 toward ILSTmodel ILST -11
model ILST -11
Opened 138.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 downmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILST -10.5 | ILST -10.8 | ILST +0.3 | L EVAN covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 138.2 | Over 0.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ILST 74.5 · EVAN 63.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILST -6.5 | EVAN -13.0 |
| 1H total | 64.7 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | ILST 35.6 · EVAN 29.1 | ILST 32 · EVAN 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| EVAN | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
ILST 6–4 EVANILST leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · ILST has won the last 2 meetings · ILST 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | EVAN 47 @ ILST 73 | ILST -12.5 | ILST W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | EVAN 53 @ ILST 62 | ILST -11.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | ILST 51 @ EVAN 69 | EVAN +5.5 | EVAN W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | EVAN 59 vs ILST 53 | ILST -3.5 | EVAN W |
| Feb 18, 2023-24 | EVAN 79 @ ILST 86 | ILST -3.5 | ILST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois St
23 games played
Straight up
15-8
65% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @ SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs INST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @ DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vsEVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs UIC | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @INST | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vs BRAD | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNI | W 59-54 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | @ BEL | L 69-80 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @ MUR | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 3 | vsSIU | L 50-54 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 6 | vsDRKE | W 86-76 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−14.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
−11.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+20.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−1.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−5.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
+8.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−12.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
−0.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−19.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
+34.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+2.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−19.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−1.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
−24.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−36.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
+17.5
over 9under 14avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
22 games played
Straight up
3-19
14% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ PUR | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTSU | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTA | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs ORST | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs AKR | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs COFC | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs BALL | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ WKU | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ ND | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vsBEL | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 21 | vsDRKE | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | @BRAD | L 68-76 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ILST | L 47-73 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 4 | vsUNI | L 48-62 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vsMUR | L 69-79 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | @INST | W 72-69 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vsBRAD | L 90-94 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 20 | @UIC | L 49-76 | +8.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 28 | @DRKE | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | @UNI | L 55-71 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 128.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 3 | vsINST | L 63-84 | +1.5 | L −19.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 6 | @VAL | L 63-70 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
+5.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+10.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
−9.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+3.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−3.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
+3.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−13.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−9.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−1.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
+10.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+3.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−18.5
28
@DRKE
DRKEL 78-82
+4.5
31
@UNI
UNIL 55-71
−4.5
3
vsINST
INSTL 63-84
−19.5
6
@VAL
VALL 63-70
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
−20.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+11.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
+3.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+13.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−10.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
−0.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−24.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−21.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−5.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
−4.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+41.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−14.5
28
@DRKE
DRKEL 78-82
+16.5
31
@UNI
UNIL 55-71
−2.5
3
vsINST
INSTL 63-84
+1.5
6
@VAL
VALL 63-70
−3.5
over 9under 13avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois St
15-8 overall · 8-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Drake86–76
- Lvs S Illinois50–54
- W@ Murray St70–65
- L@ Belmont69–80
- Wvs Northern Iowa59–54
3 days since their last game.
Evansville
3-19 overall · 1-12 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Valparaiso63–70
- Lvs Indiana St63–84
- L@ Northern Iowa55–71
- L@ Drake78–82
- L@ UIC49–76
3 days since their last game.