Athletics-Recreation Center · at Valparaiso · Conference game
Closing line
BRAD -2.5✓ VAL covered by 9.5
BRAD -2.5✓ VAL covered by 9.5Closing total142.5Over by 8.5
| BRAD | This season | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| 17-9 | Record | 13-13 |
| 10-16 | ATS | 16-10 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 14-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BRAD 74–72 VAL · ✗ BRAD (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRAD | 35 | 37 | 72 |
| VAL | 35 | 44 | 79 |
1st half: BRAD 35, VAL 35 (tied). The model had BRAD by 1.1 and a total of 68.1 (actual 70).
Team stats
| BRAD | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-52 46% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 12-24 50% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 20-33 61% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 30 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 27 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse G | 32 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 7-11 | 6-9 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 30 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-5 |
| AJ Smith F | 26 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 25 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Corey Thomas F | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 21 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Demarion Burch G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Kai Yu C | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matthew Zobrist, Jackson Seastrunk, Handy Toussaint III, Gustavo Guimares, Dietrich Richardson, Gus Rugaard
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakim Chaney G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 31 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-2 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-4 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 27 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Owen Dease F | 23 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justus McNair G | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Sader Servilus G | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Nick Lombardi, Camden Webster, Jayden Watson, Mark Brown Jr., Kobe Walker, Joe Vick
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRAD -2.5
ModelBRAD -1.6
Model edgeVAL +0.9
W VAL covered
Total
Market142.5
Model145.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
W Over
Projected score
BRAD 73.5 · VAL 71.9
BRAD 72 · VAL 79
Win probability
BRAD 56%
1st half
Spread
BRAD -1.1
tied
Total
68.1
70 points
Projected score
BRAD 34.6 · VAL 33.5
BRAD 35 · VAL 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -2.5
no move
CloseBRAD -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▼ 1
Close142.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BRAD -155 · VAL +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -2.5 · unchangedmodel BRAD -1.5
model BRAD -1.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRAD | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| VAL | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
BRAD 9–0 VALBRAD leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · BRAD has won the last 9 meetings · BRAD 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025-26 | VAL 65 @ BRAD 72 | BRAD -7.5 | VAL W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | VAL 65 vs BRAD 70 | BRAD -8.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | BRAD 76 @ VAL 65 | VAL +4.5 | BRAD W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | VAL 75 @ BRAD 81 | BRAD -14.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | BRAD 86 @ VAL 61 | VAL +10.5 | BRAD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bradley
26 games played
Straight up
17-9
65% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @ INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vs SIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs EVAN | W 76-68 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ BEL | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @ MUR | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs DRKE | W 93-66 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNI | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | @EVAN | W 94-90 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @ ILST | L 62-88 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vsINST | W 75-68 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | vs UIC | L 70-85 | -7.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @DRKE | W 87-73 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 3 | vsVAL | W 72-65 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | @UNI | L 49-61 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 9 | vsBEL | W 95-84 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 15 | @SIU | W 70-60 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−3.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
−6.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−14.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+20.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+1.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
−3.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
−20.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−1.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
−22.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+11.5
3
vsVAL
VALW 72-65
−0.5
6
@UNI
UNIL 49-61
−8.5
9
vsBEL
BELW 95-84
+12.5
15
@SIU
SIUW 70-60
+12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−0.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
+12.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−10.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+14.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+12.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
+41.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
+2.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−12.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
+10.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+9.5
3
vsVAL
VALW 72-65
−7.5
6
@UNI
UNIL 49-61
−24.5
9
vsBEL
BELW 95-84
+26.5
15
@SIU
SIUW 70-60
−16.5
over 13under 13avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Valparaiso
26 games played
Straight up
13-13
50% wins
Against the spread
16-10
62% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vsMUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @UNI | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @SIU | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vsUIC | W 66-59 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | vsILST | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MUR | L 79-92 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @BEL | L 74-78 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNI | W 54-44 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | vsSIU | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | vsBEL | L 77-78 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @INST | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 3 | @BRAD | L 65-72 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | vsEVAN | W 70-63 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 9 | @DRKE | W 81-76 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 12 | @ILST | L 64-86 | +8.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | vsINST | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−1.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
+2.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
+4.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+12.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
−0.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+7.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
+11.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
+4.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+4.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+6.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
+0.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−1.5
9
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-76
+8.5
12
@ILST
ILSTL 64-86
−13.5
15
vsINST
INSTW 76-75
−3.5
covered 16didn’t cover 10avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−25.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
−0.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
−19.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+9.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
+18.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+5.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
−32.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
−10.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+9.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+2.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
−7.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−3.5
9
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-76
+12.5
12
@ILST
ILSTL 64-86
+11.5
15
vsINST
INSTW 76-75
+5.5
over 14under 12avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bradley
17-9 overall · 11-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ S Illinois70–60
- Wvs Belmont95–84
- L@ Northern Iowa49–61
- Wvs Valparaiso72–65
- W@ Drake87–73
3 days since their last game.
Valparaiso
13-13 overall · 8-8 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana St76–75
- L@ Illinois St64–86
- W@ Drake81–76
- Wvs Evansville70–63
- L@ Bradley65–72
3 days since their last game.