Knapp Center · at Drake · Conference game
Closing line
DRKE -3.5✓ VAL covered by 8.5
DRKE -3.5✓ VAL covered by 8.5Closing total144.5Over by 12.5
 VAL | This season | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| 11-12 | Record | 10-13 |
| 15-8 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 11-12 | O/U | 14-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAL 70–74 DRKE · ✗ DRKE (63%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 38 | 43 | 81 |
| DRKE | 40 | 36 | 76 |
1st half: VAL 38, DRKE 40 (DRKE by 2). The model had DRKE by 2.0 and a total of 67.5 (actual 78).
Team stats
| VAL | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-54 50% | Field goals | 30-69 43% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 7-27 26% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 9-14 64% |
| 42 12 off | Rebounds | 34 14 off |
| 11 | Assists | 8 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Pettigrew F | 35 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 8-11 | 1-3 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 7-11 | 5-8 |
| Owen Dease F | 29 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| Justus McNair G | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-0 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 20 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brody Whitaker G | 28 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Sader Servilus G | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tucker Tornatta, Kobe Walker, Mark Brown Jr., Isaiah Barnes, Camden Webster, Joe Vick, Nick Lombardi, Jayden Watson
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn G | 37 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 14-23 | 1-4 |
| Andrew Alia G | 36 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 35 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Owen Larson G | 28 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| Okku Federiko F | 19 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Carr F | 26 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Wilguens Jr. Exacte, Braden Appelhans, Heri Bukinga, Bryson Bahl, LJ Rush
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDRKE -2.5
1 → DRKE
CloseDRKE -3.5
1 pt toward DRKE
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VAL +145 · DRKE -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DRKE -2.5 · closed DRKE -3.5 · moved 1 toward DRKEmodel DRKE -3.5 matches the line
model DRKE -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DRKE -3.5 | DRKE -3.7 | DRKE +0.2 | L VAL covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 144.1 | Under 0.4 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | VAL 70.2 · DRKE 73.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DRKE -2.0 | DRKE -2.0 |
| 1H total | 67.5 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | VAL 32.7 · DRKE 34.8 | VAL 38 · DRKE 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| DRKE | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
VAL 0–8 DRKEDRKE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · DRKE has won the last 8 meetings · VAL 7-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | VAL 71 @ DRKE 81 | DRKE -13.5 | VAL W |
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | DRKE 66 @ VAL 60 | VAL +9.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | VAL 70 @ DRKE 81 | DRKE -19.5 | VAL W |
| Nov 29, 2023-24 | DRKE 83 @ VAL 65 | VAL +14.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | DRKE 85 @ VAL 82 | VAL +8.5 | VAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Valparaiso
23 games played
Straight up
11-12
48% wins
Against the spread
15-8
65% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ UNI | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @ SIU | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vs UIC | W 66-59 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | vs ILST | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MUR | L 79-92 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @ BEL | L 74-78 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNI | W 54-44 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | vsSIU | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | vsBEL | L 77-78 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @ INST | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 3 | @ BRAD | L 65-72 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | vs EVAN | W 70-63 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−1.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
+2.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
+4.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+12.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
−0.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+7.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
+11.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
+4.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+4.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+6.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
+0.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−1.5
covered 15didn’t cover 8avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−25.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
−0.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
−19.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+9.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
+18.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+5.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
−32.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
−10.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+9.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+2.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
−7.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−3.5
over 11under 12avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Drake
23 games played
Straight up
10-13
43% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vsILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vsINST | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | @BRAD | L 66-93 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsBEL | L 76-78 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | @SIU | W 76-73 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | @UIC | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 21 | vsMUR | W 101-90 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @INST | W 76-62 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 28 | vsEVAN | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vsBRAD | L 73-87 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 3 | @BEL | L 90-103 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 6 | @ILST | L 76-86 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−4.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
−20.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+2.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+8.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+15.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
+17.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
−4.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
−11.5
3
@BEL
BELL 90-103
−3.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 76-86
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−3.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
+14.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+5.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+4.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
+1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+34.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
−13.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
+16.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
+9.5
3
@BEL
BELL 90-103
+38.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 76-86
+17.5
over 14under 9avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Valparaiso
11-12 overall · 6-7 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Evansville70–63
- L@ Bradley65–72
- W@ Indiana St76–72
- Lvs Belmont77–78
- Wvs S Illinois69–63
3 days since their last game.
Drake
10-13 overall · 6-8 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois St76–86
- L@ Belmont90–103
- Lvs Bradley73–87
- Wvs Evansville82–78
- W@ Indiana St76–62
3 days since their last game.