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NCAAB · 2026-27

NCAAB games · Sunday, March 22, 2026

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Day in numbers14 finalFavorites 8-6 ATS4 upsetsO/U 5-9Model Favorite 10-4OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games1414 final · 0 to play
Lines moved111+ pt since the open · 14 with a line
Totals moved111+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS8-657% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under5-936% over
Model Favorite10-471% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
TTU vs ALATTU -1.5 → ALA -1.53 → ALA165.5 → 164.5▼ 1
ILST @ WAKEWAKE -7.5 → WAKE -8.51 → WAKE148.5 → 152.5▲ 4
UCLA vs CONNCONN -4.5 → CONN -5.51 → CONN139.5 → 135.5▼ 4
JOES @ CALCAL -5.5 → CAL -5.5no move148.5 → 152.5▲ 4
MIA vs PURPUR -7.5 → PUR -8.51 → PUR149.5 → 146.5▼ 3
SJU vs KUSJU -2.5 → SJU -3.51 → SJU143.5 → 144.5▲ 1
SEA @ AUBAUB -13.5 → AUB -14.51 → AUB146.5 → 145.5▼ 1
UNLV @ TLSATLSA -3.5 → TLSA -4.51 → TLSA161.5 → 161.5no move
IOWA vs FLAFLA -11.5 → FLA -10.51 → IOWA146.5 → 145.5▼ 1
GW @ UNMUNM -7.5 → UNM -6.51 → GW161.5 → 161.5no move
Top 10 of 14; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Miami
25-8 · #25 AP #7
69
Purdue
27-8 · #23 AP #2
79
Spread
PUR -8.5
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
146.5 ▼3
▲ Over 148
Projected
72–81
✓ PUR won
Model: PUR by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 5.6 ✓
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Kentucky
21-13 · #19 AP #7
63
Iowa State
27-7 · #13 AP #2
82
Spread
ISU -5.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
146.5 ▲1
▼ Under 145
Projected
72–78
✓ ISU won
Model: Over 3.1 ✗
FinalNIT
Illinois St
19-12 · #116
78
Wake Forest
17-16 · #89
75
Spread
WAKE -8.5
✓ ILST W ATS
Total
152.5 ▲4
▲ Over 153
Projected
70–78
✗ WAKE lost
Model: ILST by 1.0 ✓ Model: Under 4.2 ✗
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
St John's
28-6 · #9 AP #5
67
Kansas
23-10 · #16 AP #4
65
Spread
SJU -3.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
144.5 ▲1
▼ Under 132
Projected
76–72
✓ SJU won
Model: SJU by 0.7 ✗ Model: Over 3.6 ✗
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Tennessee
22-11 · #7 AP #6
79
Virginia
29-5 · #20 AP #3
72
Spread
TENN -1.5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
137.5 ▲1
▲ Over 151
Projected
73–69
✓ TENN won
Model: TENN by 1.9 ✓ Model: Over 4.3 ✓
FinalNIT
Seattle U
18-13 · #119
85
Auburn
17-16 · #21
91
Spread
AUB -14.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
145.5 ▼1
▲ Over 176
Projected
64–81
✓ AUB won
Model: AUB by 2.4 ✗ Model: Under 0.6 ✗
FinalNIT
UNLV
16-16 · #98
66
Tulsa
24-7 · #108
77
Spread
TLSA -4.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
161.5
▼ Under 143
Projected
79–85
✓ TLSA won
Model: TLSA by 1.6 ✓ Model: Over 2.4 ✗
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Iowa
21-12 · #43 AP #9
73
Florida
26-7 · #1 AP #1
72
Spread
FLA -10.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
145.5 ▼1
▼ Under 145
Projected
69–80
✗ FLA lost
Model: FLA by 0.1 ✗ Model: Over 3.9 ✗
FinalNIT
G Washington
17-15 · #101
61
New Mexico
22-10 · #82
86
Spread
UNM -6.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
161.5
▼ Under 147
Projected
78–83
✓ UNM won
Model: GW by 1.9 ✗ Model: Under 1.1 ✓
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Utah State
27-6 · #58 AP #9
66
Arizona
32-2 · #5 AP #1
78
Spread
ARIZ -11.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
153.5 ▼2
▼ Under 144
Projected
73–85
✓ ARIZ won
Model: ARIZ by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 4.1 ✗
FinalNIT
Wichita St
21-11 · #77
96
Oklahoma St
19-14 · #45
70
Spread
OKST -2.5
✓ WICH W ATS
Total
164.5
▲ Over 166
Projected
78–84
✗ OKST lost
Model: OKST by 3.6 ✗ Model: Under 1.8 ✗
FinalNIT
Saint Joseph's
20-11 · #114
76
California
20-11 · #92
75
Spread
CAL -5.5
✓ JOES W ATS
Total
152.5 ▲4
▼ Under 151
Projected
71–77
✗ CAL lost
Model: CAL by 0.7 ✗ Model: Under 4.7 ✓
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
UCLA
23-11 · #26 AP #7
57
UConn
29-5 · #6 AP #2
73
Spread
CONN -5.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
135.5 ▼4
▼ Under 130
Projected
68–73
✓ CONN won
Model: UCLA by 0.9 ✗ Model: Over 5.7 ✗
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Texas Tech
22-10 · #12 AP #5
65
Alabama
23-9 · #15 AP #4
90
Spread
ALA -1.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
164.5 ▼1
▼ Under 155
Projected
84–86
✓ ALA won
Model: ALA by 1.0 ✓ Model: Over 5.3 ✗
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Miami
25-8 · #25
69
Purdue
27-8 · #23
79
 PUR -8.5 146.5 PUR -9.1 PUR +0.6 152.1 Over 5.6 79% PUR W W ›
Final
Kentucky
21-13 · #19
63
Iowa State
27-7 · #13
82
 ISU -5.5 146.5 ISU -5.5 — 149.6 Over 3.1 68% ISU L ›
Final
Illinois St
19-12 · #116
78
Wake Forest
17-16 · #89
75
 WAKE -8.5 152.5 WAKE -7.5 ILST +1.0 148.3 Under 4.2 74% WAKE W L ›
Final
St John's
28-6 · #9
67
Kansas
23-10 · #16
65
 SJU -3.5 144.5 SJU -4.2 SJU +0.7 148.1 Over 3.6 64% SJU L L ›
Final
Tennessee
22-11 · #7
79
Virginia
29-5 · #20
72
 TENN -1.5 137.5 TENN -3.4 TENN +1.9 141.8 Over 4.3 62% TENN W W ›
Final
Seattle U
18-13 · #119
85
Auburn
17-16 · #21
91
 AUB -14.5 145.5 AUB -16.9 AUB +2.4 144.9 Under 0.6 93% AUB L L ›
Final
UNLV
16-16 · #98
66
Tulsa
24-7 · #108
77
 TLSA -4.5 161.5 TLSA -6.1 TLSA +1.6 163.9 Over 2.4 70% TLSA W L ›
Final
Iowa
21-12 · #43
73
Florida
26-7 · #1
72
 FLA -10.5 145.5 FLA -10.6 FLA +0.1 149.4 Over 3.9 82% FLA L L ›
Final
G Washington
17-15 · #101
61
New Mexico
22-10 · #82
86
 UNM -6.5 161.5 UNM -4.6 GW +1.9 160.4 Under 1.1 66% UNM L W ›
Final
Utah State
27-6 · #58
66
Arizona
32-2 · #5
78
 ARIZ -11.5 153.5 ARIZ -11.6 ARIZ +0.1 157.6 Over 4.1 84% ARIZ W L ›
Final
Wichita St
21-11 · #77
96
Oklahoma St
19-14 · #45
70
 OKST -2.5 164.5 OKST -6.1 OKST +3.6 162.7 Under 1.8 70% OKST L L ›
Final
Saint Joseph's
20-11 · #114
76
California
20-11 · #92
75
 CAL -5.5 152.5 CAL -6.2 CAL +0.7 147.8 Under 4.7 71% CAL L W ›
Final
UCLA
23-11 · #26
57
UConn
29-5 · #6
73
 CONN -5.5 135.5 CONN -4.6 UCLA +0.9 141.2 Over 5.7 66% CONN L L ›
Final
Texas Tech
22-10 · #12
65
Alabama
23-9 · #15
90
 ALA -1.5 164.5 ALA -2.5 ALA +1.0 169.8 Over 5.3 59% ALA W L ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record