NCAAB

Sunday, March 15, 2026

Day in numbers5 finalFavorites 2-3 ATS3 upsetsO/U 2-3Model Favorite 2-3Open
Games55 final · 0 to play
Lines moved31+ pt since the open · 5 with a line
Totals moved51+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS2-340% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under2-340% over
Model Favorite2-340% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
WICH vs USFUSF -3.5 → USF -6.53 → USF150.5 → 151.5▲ 1
DAY vs VCUVCU -3.5 → VCU -3.5no move145.5 → 139.5▼ 6
VAN vs ARKVAN -1.5 → VAN -2.51 → VAN169.5 → 165.5▼ 4
PUR vs MICHMICH -6.5 → MICH -4.52 → PUR152.5 → 149.5▼ 3
PENN vs YALEYALE -9.5 → YALE -9.5no move142.5 → 144.5▲ 2
Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Penn
16-11 · #137
88
Yale
22-5 · #126
84
Spread
YALE -9.5
✓ PENN W ATS
Total
144.5 ▲2
▲ Over 172
Projected
70–78
✗ YALE lost
Model: PENN by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.3 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Vanderbilt
26-7 · #22 AP #22
75
Arkansas
25-8 · #18 AP #17
86
Spread
VAN -2.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
165.5 ▼4
▼ Under 161
Projected
87–86
✗ VAN lost
Model: ARK by 1.2 ✓ Model: Over 7.1 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Dayton
23-10 · #91
62
VCU
26-7 · #61
70
Spread
VCU -3.5
✓ VCU W ATS
Total
139.5 ▼6
▼ Under 132
Projected
72–75
✓ VCU won
Model: DAY by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 8.4 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Wichita St
21-10 · #77
55
South Florida
23-8 · #84
70
Spread
USF -6.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
151.5 ▲1
▼ Under 125
Projected
78–82
✓ USF won
Model: WICH by 1.9 ✗ Model: Over 8.3 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Purdue
26-8 · #23 AP #18
80
Michigan
31-2 · #8 AP #3
72
Spread
MICH -4.5
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
149.5 ▼3
▲ Over 152
Projected
76–81
✗ MICH lost
Model: Over 6.8 ✓
Game card ›
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Penn
16-11 · #137
88
Yale
22-5 · #126
84
 YALE -9.5 144.5 YALE -8.0 PENN +1.5 148.8 Over 4.3 76% YALE W W ›
Final
Vanderbilt
26-7 · #22
75
Arkansas
25-8 · #18
86
 VAN -2.5 165.5 VAN -1.3 ARK +1.2 172.6 Over 7.1 55% VAN W L ›
Final
Dayton
23-10 · #91
62
VCU
26-7 · #61
70
 VCU -3.5 139.5 VCU -3.0 DAY +0.5 147.9 Over 8.4 60% VCU L L ›
Final
Wichita St
21-10 · #77
55
South Florida
23-8 · #84
70
 USF -6.5 151.5 USF -4.6 WICH +1.9 159.8 Over 8.3 66% USF L L ›
Final
Purdue
26-8 · #23
80
Michigan
31-2 · #8
72
 MICH -4.5 149.5 MICH -4.5 — 156.3 Over 6.8 65% MICH W ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record