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NCAAB · 2026-27

NCAAB games · Wednesday, March 18, 2026

FinalCurrentUpcomingWed, Mar 18, 2026: 1st-half lines ›
Day in numbers10 finalFavorites 6-4 ATS4 upsetsO/U 7-3Model Favorite 7-3OpenClose

Day in numbers

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Games1010 final · 0 to play
Lines moved61+ pt since the open · 10 with a line
Totals moved101+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS6-460% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under7-370% over
Model Favorite7-370% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
M-OH vs SMUM-OH -7.5 → SMU -6.514 → SMU167.5 → 162.5▼ 5
PV vs LEHPV -1.5 → LEH -3.55 → LEH148.5 → 140.5▼ 8
NAVY @ WAKEWAKE -11.5 → WAKE -9.52 → NAVY147.5 → 148.5▲ 1
KENT @ ILSTILST -6.5 → ILST -4.52 → KENT152.5 → 154.5▲ 2
UIC @ CALCAL -4.5 → CAL -6.52 → CAL148.5 → 150.5▲ 2
GW @ UVUUVU -1.5 → UVU -1.5no move156.5 → 152.5▼ 4
DAY @ BRADDAY -1.5 → DAY -2.51 → DAY140.5 → 141.5▲ 1
MUR @ NEVNEV -8.5 → NEV -8.5no move161.5 → 159.5▼ 2
SHSU @ UNMUNM -11.5 → UNM -11.5no move163.5 → 162.5▼ 1
JOES @ CSUCSU -5.5 → CSU -5.5no move143.5 → 144.5▲ 1
Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Prairie View
14-17 · #343 AP #16
67
Lehigh
16-16 · #216 AP #16
55
Spread
LEH -3.5
✓ PV W ATS
Total
140.5 ▼8
▼ Under 122
Projected
75–77
✗ LEH lost
Model: PV by 1.7 ✓ Model: Over 11.6 ✗
FinalNIT
Navy
24-7 · #199
72
Wake Forest
17-16 · #89
82
Spread
WAKE -9.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲1
▲ Over 154
Projected
67–79
✓ WAKE won
Model: WAKE by 2.6 ✓ Model: Under 1.7 ✗
FinalNIT
Kent State
22-9 · #151
58
Illinois St
19-12 · #116
79
Spread
ILST -4.5
✓ ILST W ATS
Total
154.5 ▲2
▼ Under 137
Projected
73–80
✓ ILST won
Model: ILST by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.6 ✓
FinalNIT
G Washington
17-15 · #101
79
Utah Valley
22-8 · #150
78
Spread
UVU -1.5
✓ GW W ATS
Total
152.5 ▼4
▲ Over 157
Projected
79–78
✓ GW won
Model: GW by 2.4 ✓ Model: Over 4.0 ✓
FinalNIT
Dayton
23-11 · #91
80
Bradley
20-12 · #167
66
Spread
DAY -2.5
✓ DAY W ATS
Total
141.5 ▲1
▲ Over 146
Projected
75–72
✓ DAY won
Model: DAY by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 5.0 ✓
FinalNIT
Sam Houston
19-11 · #189
83
New Mexico
22-10 · #82
107
Spread
UNM -11.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
162.5 ▼1
▲ Over 190
Projected
74–84
✓ UNM won
Model: SHSU by 1.0 ✗ Model: Under 4.2 ✗
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Miami OH
28-1 · #125 AP #11
89
SMU
20-13 · #55 AP #11
79
Spread
SMU -6.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
162.5 ▼5
▲ Over 168
Projected
78–89
✗ SMU lost
Model: SMU by 3.6 ✗ Model: Over 4.4 ✓
FinalNIT
Murray St
20-12 · #132
75
Nevada
22-12 · #96
89
Spread
NEV -8.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
159.5 ▼2
▲ Over 164
Projected
76–83
✓ NEV won
Model: MUR by 0.9 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
FinalNIT
Saint Joseph's
20-11 · #114
69
Colorado St
20-12 · #87
64
Spread
CSU -5.5
✓ JOES W ATS
Total
144.5 ▲1
▼ Under 133
Projected
69–73
✗ CSU lost
Model: JOES by 1.0 ✓ Model: Under 2.9 ✓
FinalNIT
UIC
17-15 · #110
73
California
20-11 · #92
91
Spread
CAL -6.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
150.5 ▲2
▲ Over 164
Projected
70–77
✓ CAL won
Model: CAL by 0.6 ✓ Model: Under 2.9 ✗
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Prairie View
14-17 · #343
67
Lehigh
16-16 · #216
55
 LEH -3.5 140.5 LEH -1.8 PV +1.7 152.1 Over 11.6 56% LEH W L ›
Final
Navy
24-7 · #199
72
Wake Forest
17-16 · #89
82
 WAKE -9.5 148.5 WAKE -12.1 WAKE +2.6 146.8 Under 1.7 85% WAKE W L ›
Final
Kent State
22-9 · #151
58
Illinois St
19-12 · #116
79
 ILST -4.5 154.5 ILST -7.0 ILST +2.5 152.9 Under 1.6 73% ILST W W ›
Final
G Washington
17-15 · #101
79
Utah Valley
22-8 · #150
78
 UVU -1.5 152.5 GW -0.9 GW +2.4 156.5 Over 4.0 53% GW W W ›
Final
Dayton
23-11 · #91
80
Bradley
20-12 · #167
66
 DAY -2.5 141.5 DAY -2.6 DAY +0.1 146.5 Over 5.0 59% DAY W W ›
Final
Sam Houston
19-11 · #189
83
New Mexico
22-10 · #82
107
 UNM -11.5 162.5 UNM -10.5 SHSU +1.0 158.3 Under 4.2 82% UNM L L ›
Final
Miami OH
28-1 · #125
89
SMU
20-13 · #55
79
 SMU -6.5 162.5 SMU -10.1 SMU +3.6 166.9 Over 4.4 81% SMU L W ›
Final
Murray St
20-12 · #132
75
Nevada
22-12 · #96
89
 NEV -8.5 159.5 NEV -7.6 MUR +0.9 159.0 Under 0.5 75% NEV L L ›
Final
Saint Joseph's
20-11 · #114
69
Colorado St
20-12 · #87
64
 CSU -5.5 144.5 CSU -4.5 JOES +1.0 141.6 Under 2.9 65% CSU W W ›
Final
UIC
17-15 · #110
73
California
20-11 · #92
91
 CAL -6.5 150.5 CAL -7.1 CAL +0.6 147.6 Under 2.9 73% CAL W L ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record