Day in numbers4 finalFavorites 3-1 ATS1 upsetO/U 2-2Model Favorite 3-1Open
| Game | Spread, open → close | Moved | Total | Moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA vs UNM | TLSA -3.5 → UNM -2.5 | 6 → UNM | 160.5 → 161.5 | ▲ 1 |
| STAN vs WVU | STAN -1.5 → WVU -2.5 | 4 → WVU | 133.5 → 135.5 | ▲ 2 |
| RUTG vs CREI | CREI -2.5 → CREI -4.5 | 2 → CREI | 148.5 → 151.5 | ▲ 3 |
| ILST vs AUB | AUB -6.5 → AUB -7.5 | 1 → AUB | 150.5 → 149.5 | ▼ 1 |
| Line moved | Covered | Cover rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1+ pts | 5579-5698-5 | 49% |
| 2+ pts | 2172-2236-2 | 49% |
| 3+ pts | 880-908 | 49% |
| 5+ pts | 139-149 | 48% |
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FinalNeutral site · NIT
Spread
UNM -2.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
161.5 ▲1
▼ Under 143
Projected
79–82
✗ UNM lost
Model: UNM by 0.6 ✗ Model: Under 0.9 ✓
FinalNeutral site · Postseason
Spread
WVU -2.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
135.5 ▲2
▲ Over 159
Projected
65–68
✓ WVU won
Model: WVU by 1.0 ✓ Model: Under 2.4 ✗
FinalNeutral site · NIT
Spread
AUB -7.5
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
149.5 ▼1
▲ Over 154
Projected
70–81
✓ AUB won
Model: AUB by 4.1 ✓ Model: Over 1.3 ✓
FinalNeutral site · Postseason
Spread
CREI -4.5
✓ CREI W ATS
Total
151.5 ▲3
▼ Under 151
Projected
72–77
✓ CREI won
Model: CREI by 0.8 ✓ Model: Under 2.2 ✓
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | 24-7 · #108 22-10 · #82 |
UNM -2.5 | 161.5 | UNM -3.1 | UNM +0.6 | 160.6 | Under 0.9 | 61% UNM | L W | › |
| Final | 20-12 · #85 18-14 · #47 |
WVU -2.5 | 135.5 | WVU -3.5 | WVU +1.0 | 133.1 | Under 2.4 | 62% WVU | W L | › |
| Final | 19-12 · #116 17-16 · #21 |
AUB -7.5 | 149.5 | AUB -11.6 | AUB +4.1 | 150.8 | Over 1.3 | 84% AUB | W W | › |
| Final | 14-19 · #62 15-17 · #37 |
CREI -4.5 | 151.5 | CREI -5.3 | CREI +0.8 | 149.3 | Under 2.2 | 68% CREI | W W | › |
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record