NCAAB

Sunday, November 1

Day in numbers2 finalFavorites 1-1 ATS1 upsetO/U 1-1Model Favorite 1-1Open
Games22 final · 0 to play
Lines moved11+ pt since the open · 2 with a line
Totals moved21+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS1-150% covered
Upsets1outright
Over / Under1-150% over
Model Favorite1-150% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
LIB vs HPUHPU -7.5 → HPU -9.52 → HPU154.5 → 155.5▲ 1
ND vs VILLVILL -7.5 → VILL -7.5no move149.5 → 145.5▼ 4
Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalNon-conference · Neutral site
Notre Dame
0-0 · #71
74
Villanova
0-0 · #32
72
Spread
VILL -7.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
145.5 ▼4
▲ Over 146
Projected
73–80
✗ VILL lost
Model: ND by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 6.9 ✓
Game card ›
FinalNon-conference · Neutral site
Liberty
0-0 · #160
57
High Point
0-0 · #90
72
Spread
HPU -9.5
✓ HPU W ATS
Total
155.5 ▲1
▼ Under 129
Projected
72–82
✓ HPU won
Model: LIB by 0.3 ✗ Model: Under 1.4 ✓
Game card ›
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Notre Dame
0-0 · #71
74
Villanova
0-0 · #32
72
 VILL -7.5 145.5 VILL -6.9 ND +0.6 152.4 Over 6.9 73% VILL W W ›
Final
Liberty
0-0 · #160
57
High Point
0-0 · #90
72
 HPU -9.5 155.5 HPU -9.2 LIB +0.3 154.1 Under 1.4 79% HPU L W ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record