College Basketball Games Mon, Mar 2, 2026

Day in numbers18 finalFavorites 10-8 ATS8 upsetsO/U 9-9Model Favorite 12-6OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games1818 final · 0 to play

Lines moved131+ pt since the open · 18 with a line

Totals moved131+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS10-856% covered

Upsets8outright

Over / Under9-950% over

Model Favorite12-667% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
DUKE @ NCSU	NCSU -9.5 → DUKE -8.5	18 → DUKE	148.5 → 150.5	▲ 2
IUIN @ CLE	CLE -1.5 → IUIN -2.5	4 → IUIN	173.5 → 169.5	▼ 4
IDST @ SAC	SAC -1.5 → IDST -1.5	3 → IDST	160.5 → 160.5	no move
MCN @ NICH	MCN -11.5 → MCN -9.5	2 → NICH	145.5 → 145.5	no move
SCST @ DSU	DSU -2.5 → DSU -3.5	1 → DSU	137.5 → 134.5	▼ 3
COPP @ HOW	HOW -18.5 → HOW -19.5	1 → HOW	137.5 → 140.5	▲ 3
NORF @ MORG	NORF -2.5 → NORF -3.5	1 → NORF	155.5 → 156.5	▲ 1
NCCU @ UMES	UMES -1.5 → UMES -2.5	1 → UMES	133.5 → 133.5	no move
SFA @ UIW	SFA -8.5 → SFA -7.5	1 → UIW	144.5 → 142.5	▼ 2
SELA @ NOLA	NOLA -7.5 → NOLA -6.5	1 → SELA	144.5 → 143.5	▼ 1

Top 10 of 16; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalConference

Norfolk St

11-14 · #319

Morgan St

9-15 · #345

Spread

NORF -3.5

✓ MORG W ATS

Total

156.5 ▲1

▲ Over 174

Projected

79–76

✗ NORF lost

Model: Under 1.4 ✗

FinalConference

Duke

27-2 · #3 AP #1

NC State

19-10 · #48

Spread

DUKE -8.5

✓ DUKE W ATS

Total

150.5 ▲2

▲ Over 157

Projected

80–70

✓ DUKE won

Model: DUKE by 1.4 ✓ Model: Over 0.2 ✓

FinalConference · Conference tournament

IU Indy

5-24 · #340

Cleveland St

7-21 · #315

101

Spread

IUIN -2.5

✓ CLE W ATS

Total

169.5 ▼4

▲ Over 194

Projected

86–88

✓ CLE won

Model: CLE by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.1 ✓

FinalConference

SC State

5-21 · #353

Delaware St

3-20 · #351

Spread

DSU -3.5

✓ SCST W ATS

Total

134.5 ▼3

▼ Under 120

Projected

68–70

✗ DSU lost

Model: SCST by 1.2 ✓ Model: Over 2.8 ✗

FinalConference

NC Central

7-16 · #357

MD Eastern

7-20 · #364

Spread

UMES -2.5

✓ NCCU W ATS

Total

133.5

▲ Over 150

Projected

66–69

✗ UMES lost

Model: UMES by 0.2 ✗ Model: Over 1.8 ✓

FinalConference

Coppin St

6-22 · #352

Howard

15-10 · #197

Spread

HOW -19.5

✓ HOW W ATS

Total

140.5 ▲3

▲ Over 160

Projected

64–82

✓ HOW won

Model: COPP by 1.3 ✗ Model: Over 4.7 ✓

FinalConference

SF Austin

24-4 · #193

Incarnate Word

9-18 · #289

Spread

SFA -7.5

✓ SFA W ATS

Total

142.5 ▼2

▲ Over 144

Projected

75–68

✓ SFA won

Model: UIW by 1.0 ✗ Model: Over 0.8 ✓

FinalConference

N'Western St

8-20 · #318

UT Rio Grande

15-13 · #287

Spread

RGV -9.5

✓ RGV W ATS

Total

139.5 ▲2

▼ Under 136

Projected

66–74

✓ RGV won

Model: NWST by 1.2 ✗ Model: Over 0.7 ✗

FinalConference

McNeese

23-5 · #127

Nicholls

12-17 · #285

Spread

MCN -9.5

✓ MCN W ATS

Total

145.5

▼ Under 140

Projected

79–69

✓ MCN won

Model: MCN by 1.0 ✓ Model: Over 2.1 ✗

FinalConference

SE Louisiana

7-22 · #252

LSU N Orleans

14-16 · #276

Spread

NOLA -6.5

✓ SELA W ATS

Total

143.5 ▼1

▲ Over 160

Projected

71–77

✗ NOLA lost

Model: SELA by 0.8 ✓ Model: Over 4.0 ✓

FinalConference

East Texas A&M

9-20 · #342

Texas A&M-CC

12-14 · #238

Spread

AMCC -7.5

✓ AMCC W ATS

Total

136.5 ▼1

▲ Over 155

Projected

65–73

✓ AMCC won

Model: AMCC by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 0.7 ✓

FinalConference

Montana St

14-13 · #162

N Arizona

7-20 · #321

Spread

MTST -5.5

✓ MTST W ATS

Total

142.5

▼ Under 141

Projected

74–67

✓ MTST won

Model: MTST by 1.4 ✓ Model: Under 2.4 ✓

FinalConference

Montana

13-13 · #273

N Colorado

16-11 · #219

Spread

UNCO -5.5

✓ UNCO W ATS

Total

154.5

▼ Under 142

Projected

76–80

✓ UNCO won

Model: MONT by 1.2 ✗ Model: Over 2.0 ✗

FinalConference

Lamar

10-18 · #293

Hou Christian

9-19 · #300

Spread

LAM -2.5

✓ HCU W ATS

Total

132.5 ▲1

▼ Under 128

Projected

68–66

✗ LAM lost

Model: HCU by 0.7 ✓ Model: Over 1.9 ✗

FinalConference

Iowa State

24-5 · #13 AP #6

Arizona

27-2 · #5 AP #2

Spread

ARIZ -7.5

✓ ARIZ W ATS

Total

149.5 ▲2

▼ Under 130

Projected

73–79

✓ ARIZ won

Model: ISU by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 2.4 ✗

FinalConference

Idaho

13-14 · #247

E Washington

12-17 · #254

Spread

EWU -3.5

✓ IDHO W ATS

Total

151.5 ▼1

▲ Over 166

Projected

76–78

✗ EWU lost

Model: IDHO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.1 ✓

FinalConference

Weber St

14-14 · #313

Portland St

15-10 · #274

Spread

PRST -4.5

✓ PRST W ATS

Total

144.5 ▼1

▼ Under 144

Projected

73–77

✓ PRST won

Model: Over 5.4 ✗

FinalConference

Idaho St

9-18 · #344

Sacramento St

6-20 · #196

Spread

IDST -1.5

✓ SAC W ATS

Total

160.5

▼ Under 148

Projected

79–80

✓ SAC won

Model: SAC by 2.2 ✓ Model: Under 1.7 ✓

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	Norfolk St 11-14 · #319 84 Morgan St 9-15 · #345 90	NORF -3.5	156.5	NORF -3.5	—	155.1	Under 1.4	62% NORF	L	›
Final	Duke 27-2 · #3 93 NC State 19-10 · #48 64	DUKE -8.5	150.5	DUKE -9.9	DUKE +1.4	150.7	Over 0.2	81% DUKE	W W	›
Final	IU Indy 5-24 · #340 93 Cleveland St 7-21 · #315 101	IUIN -2.5	169.5	CLE -2.0	CLE +4.5	173.6	Over 4.1	57% CLE	W W	›
Final	SC State 5-21 · #353 61 Delaware St 3-20 · #351 59	DSU -3.5	134.5	DSU -2.3	SCST +1.2	137.3	Over 2.8	58% DSU	W L	›
Final	NC Central 7-16 · #357 77 MD Eastern 7-20 · #364 73	UMES -2.5	133.5	UMES -2.7	UMES +0.2	135.3	Over 1.8	59% UMES	L W	›
Final	Coppin St 6-22 · #352 70 Howard 15-10 · #197 90	HOW -19.5	140.5	HOW -18.2	COPP +1.3	145.2	Over 4.7	94% HOW	L W	›
Final	SF Austin 24-4 · #193 76 Incarnate Word 9-18 · #289 68	SFA -7.5	142.5	SFA -6.5	UIW +1.0	143.3	Over 0.8	72% SFA	L W	›
Final	N'Western St 8-20 · #318 62 UT Rio Grande 15-13 · #287 74	RGV -9.5	139.5	RGV -8.3	NWST +1.2	140.2	Over 0.7	77% RGV	L L	›
Final	McNeese 23-5 · #127 75 Nicholls 12-17 · #285 65	MCN -9.5	145.5	MCN -10.5	MCN +1.0	147.6	Over 2.1	82% MCN	W L	›
Final	SE Louisiana 7-22 · #252 82 LSU N Orleans 14-16 · #276 78	NOLA -6.5	143.5	NOLA -5.7	SELA +0.8	147.5	Over 4.0	69% NOLA	W W	›
Final	East Texas A&M 9-20 · #342 71 Texas A&M-CC 12-14 · #238 84	AMCC -7.5	136.5	AMCC -8.1	AMCC +0.6	137.2	Over 0.7	76% AMCC	W W	›
Final	Montana St 14-13 · #162 76 N Arizona 7-20 · #321 65	MTST -5.5	142.5	MTST -6.9	MTST +1.4	140.1	Under 2.4	73% MTST	W W	›
Final	Montana 13-13 · #273 57 N Colorado 16-11 · #219 85	UNCO -5.5	154.5	UNCO -4.3	MONT +1.2	156.5	Over 2.0	65% UNCO	L L	›
Final	Lamar 10-18 · #293 53 Hou Christian 9-19 · #300 75	LAM -2.5	132.5	LAM -1.8	HCU +0.7	134.4	Over 1.9	56% LAM	W L	›
Final	Iowa State 24-5 · #13 57 Arizona 27-2 · #5 73	ARIZ -7.5	149.5	ARIZ -6.7	ISU +0.8	151.9	Over 2.4	72% ARIZ	L L	›
Final	Idaho 13-14 · #247 85 E Washington 12-17 · #254 81	EWU -3.5	151.5	EWU -2.0	IDHO +1.5	153.6	Over 2.1	57% EWU	W W	›
Final	Weber St 14-14 · #313 60 Portland St 15-10 · #274 84	PRST -4.5	144.5	PRST -4.5	—	149.9	Over 5.4	65% PRST	L	›
Final	Idaho St 9-18 · #344 65 Sacramento St 6-20 · #196 83	IDST -1.5	160.5	SAC -0.7	SAC +2.2	158.8	Under 1.7	53% SAC	W W	›

Day in numbers18 finalFavorites 10-8 ATS8 upsetsO/U 9-9Model Favorite 12-6OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Monday, March 2, 2026

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