Hytche Center · at MD Eastern · Conference game
Closing line
UMES -2.5✓ NCCU covered by 6.5
UMES -2.5✓ NCCU covered by 6.5Closing total133.5Over by 16.5
 NCCU | This season | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| 7-16 | Record | 7-20 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 15-12 |
| 11-12 | O/U | 11-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCCU 66–69 UMES · ✗ UMES (59%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 23 | 54 | 77 |
| UMES | 30 | 43 | 73 |
1st half: NCCU 23, UMES 30 (UMES by 7). The model had UMES by 1.5 and a total of 63.4 (actual 53).
Team stats
| NCCU | UMES | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-50 46% | Field goals | 30-60 50% |
| 9-20 45% | 3-pointers | 7-17 41% |
| 22-29 76% | Free throws | 6-8 75% |
| 20 7 off | Rebounds | 44 19 off |
| 15 | Assists | 21 |
| 15 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyric Davis G | 40 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 7-16 | 0-2 |
| Gage Lattimore G | 37 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 4-13 | 3-8 |
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 36 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 36 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jae Slack F | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Gbenga Olubi F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Archey G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Edwards G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ramondo Battle II F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Camren Daniels, Khalil Arnold, Khouri Carvey, Jonathan Dunn, Caleb Ellison
| UMES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Teal G | 38 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7-13 | 1-2 |
| Dorion Staples F | 23 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Levi Beckwith SF | 21 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Maurice Vassel F | 14 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Cooper G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zion Obanla G | 33 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Justin Monden G | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Joseph Locandro F | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Christopher Flippin PF | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Johnson PG | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Hall, Devin Thomas, Trey Brown, Maurio Hanson Jr., Javoy Thompson
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUMES -2.5
ModelUMES -2.7
Model edgeUMES +0.2
L NCCU covered
Total
Market133.5
Model135.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
NCCU 66.3 · UMES 69
NCCU 77 · UMES 73
Win probability
UMES 59%
1st half
Spread
UMES -1.5
UMES -7.0
Total
63.4
53 points
Projected score
NCCU 31 · UMES 32.5
NCCU 23 · UMES 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMES -1.5
1 → UMES
CloseUMES -2.5
1 pt toward UMES
Total
Open133.5
no move
Close133.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NCCU +120 · UMES -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMES -1.5 · closed UMES -2.5 · moved 1 toward UMESmodel UMES -2.5 matches the line
model UMES -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 133.5 · unchangedmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| UMES | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
NCCU 8–3 UMESNCCU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · NCCU 6-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025-26 | UMES 63 @ NCCU 65 | NCCU -2.5 | UMES W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | NCCU 59 @ UMES 68 | UMES +6.5 | UMES W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | UMES 69 @ NCCU 88 | NCCU -10.5 | NCCU W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | UMES 81 vs NCCU 87 | NCCU -8.5 | UMES W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UMES 55 @ NCCU 88 | NCCU -9.5 | NCCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC Central
23 games played
Straight up
7-16
30% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NCSU | L 66-114 | +31.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | @ UVA | L 62-81 | +34.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ APP | L 54-76 | +10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNC | L 53-97 | +34.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ DAY | L 55-74 | +29.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 25 | @ UPST | L 67-82 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 3 | @ JMU | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NCAT | L 54-69 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | @ UK | L 67-103 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs LONG | L 72-74 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ PSU | L 67-90 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs NORF | W 69-67 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | @ COPP | W 88-77 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 12 | @ MORG | W 89-78 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vs HOW | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 2 | vsUMES | W 65-63 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 7 | @NORF | L 68-75 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 9 | vs DSU | W 72-63 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | O 135 |
| Feb 14 | vsCOPP | L 56-58 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 16 | vsMORG | W 80-76 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 18 | @ SCST | L 72-85 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 21 | @HOW | L 67-100 | +12.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @DSU | W 74-60 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−11.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
+10.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
−7.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
+9.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−12.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+6.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
+1.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+0.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
+3.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+4.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+7.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
−11.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 65-63
−0.5
7
@NORF
NORFL 68-75
−2.5
9
vsDSU
DSUW 72-63
+1.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPL 56-58
−12.5
16
vsMORG
MORGW 80-76
−1.5
18
@SCST
SCSTL 72-85
−15.5
21
@HOW
HOWL 67-100
−20.5
28
@DSU
DSUW 74-60
+11.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−6.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
−17.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
+0.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−14.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−19.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+21.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
−0.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+6.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
−5.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+21.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+25.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
+10.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 65-63
−6.5
7
@NORF
NORFL 68-75
−5.5
9
vsDSU
DSUW 72-63
+0.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPL 56-58
−29.5
16
vsMORG
MORGW 80-76
+9.5
18
@SCST
SCSTL 72-85
+20.5
21
@HOW
HOWL 67-100
+23.5
28
@DSU
DSUW 74-60
−1.5
over 11under 12avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
MD Eastern
27 games played
Straight up
7-20
26% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GT | L 52-56 | +28.5 | W +24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 5 | @ UGA | L 29-94 | +33.5 | L −31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | @ NEB | L 50-69 | +35.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ CREI | L 45-84 | +33.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 18 | @LONG | W 83-82 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 21 | @ CAN | L 57-60 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 128.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 22 | vs BING | W 63-52 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 125.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 25 | vs HAMP | L 68-74 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 124.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ ECU | L 56-68 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | @ AMER | L 60-78 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 9 | @UVA | L 60-84 | +36.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 12 | @NCAT | L 79-82 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 130.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | @ VT | L 53-82 | +27.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ WAG | L 64-78 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 22 | @ TEX | L 71-94 | +33.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vsMORG | W 66-49 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | vsHOW | W 69-57 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | @NORF | W 74-70 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsCOPP | W 70-67 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 31 | @DSU | L 57-65 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 128.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 2 | @NCCU | L 63-65 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 4 | @SCST | L 54-63 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 7 | @MORG | L 71-79 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 14 | @HOW | L 53-79 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 132.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | vsNORF | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | @COPP | L 65-71 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 128.5 | O 136 |
| Feb 28 | vsSCST | W 69-57 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GT
GTL 52-56
+24.5
5
@UGA
UGAL 29-94
−31.5
11
@NEB
NEBL 50-69
+16.5
14
@CREI
CREIL 45-84
−5.5
18
@LONG
LONGW 83-82
+18.5
21
@CAN
CANL 57-60
+0.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 63-52
+16.5
25
vsHAMP
HAMPL 68-74
+0.5
2
@ECU
ECUL 56-68
+0.5
6
@AMER
AMERL 60-78
−7.5
9
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
+12.5
12
@NCAT
NCATL 79-82
+4.5
14
@VT
VTL 53-82
−1.5
17
@WAG
WAGL 64-78
−9.5
22
@TEX
TEXL 71-94
+10.5
3
vsMORG
MORGW 66-49
+10.5
10
vsHOW
HOWW 69-57
+14.5
12
@NORF
NORFW 74-70
+9.5
17
vsCOPP
COPPW 70-67
−7.5
31
@DSU
DSUL 57-65
−10.5
2
@NCCU
NCCUL 63-65
+0.5
4
@SCST
SCSTL 54-63
−12.5
7
@MORG
MORGL 71-79
−9.5
14
@HOW
HOWL 53-79
−15.5
16
vsNORF
NORFL 66-70
−2.5
21
@COPP
COPPL 65-71
−9.5
28
vsSCST
SCSTW 69-57
+6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GT
GTL 52-56
−31.5
5
@UGA
UGAL 29-94
−19.5
11
@NEB
NEBL 50-69
−27.5
14
@CREI
CREIL 45-84
−6.5
18
@LONG
LONGW 83-82
+26.5
21
@CAN
CANL 57-60
−11.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 63-52
−10.5
25
vsHAMP
HAMPL 68-74
+17.5
2
@ECU
ECUL 56-68
−3.5
6
@AMER
AMERL 60-78
+7.5
9
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
+9.5
12
@NCAT
NCATL 79-82
+30.5
14
@VT
VTL 53-82
−4.5
17
@WAG
WAGL 64-78
+10.5
22
@TEX
TEXL 71-94
+26.5
3
vsMORG
MORGW 66-49
−23.5
10
vsHOW
HOWW 69-57
−4.5
12
@NORF
NORFW 74-70
+11.5
17
vsCOPP
COPPW 70-67
+3.5
31
@DSU
DSUL 57-65
−6.5
2
@NCCU
NCCUL 63-65
−6.5
4
@SCST
SCSTL 54-63
−16.5
7
@MORG
MORGL 71-79
+9.5
14
@HOW
HOWL 53-79
−0.5
16
vsNORF
NORFL 66-70
−0.5
21
@COPP
COPPL 65-71
+7.5
28
vsSCST
SCSTW 69-57
−6.5
over 11under 16avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC Central
7-16 overall · 7-5 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Delaware St74–60
- L@ Howard67–100
- L@ SC State72–85
- Wvs Morgan St80–76
- Lvs Coppin St56–58
2 days since their last game.
MD Eastern
7-20 overall · 5-7 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC State69–57
- L@ Coppin St65–71
- Lvs Norfolk St66–70
- L@ Howard53–79
- L@ Morgan St71–79
2 days since their last game.