Joseph G. Echols Hall · at Norfolk St · Conference game
Closing line
NORF -4.5✓ NORF covered by 2.5
NORF -4.5✓ NORF covered by 2.5Closing total148.5Under by 5.5
 NCCU | This season | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| 4-12 | Record | 6-14 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 13-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCCU 71–76 NORF · ✓ NORF (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 31 | 37 | 68 |
| NORF | 36 | 39 | 75 |
1st half: NCCU 31, NORF 36 (NORF by 5). The model had NORF by 2.8 and a total of 68.6 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NCCU | NORF | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 24-50 48% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 21-27 78% |
| 23 6 off | Rebounds | 33 11 off |
| 8 | Assists | 8 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 7 | Blocks | 1 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 39 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 6-14 | 4-10 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 33 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Jae Slack F | 28 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Khouri Carvey F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 31 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| Kyric Davis G | 20 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Archey G | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Camren Daniels G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gbenga Olubi, Ramondo Battle II, Justin Edwards, Jonathan Dunn, Khalil Arnold, Caleb Ellison
| NORF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Ellis F | 35 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Anthony McComb III G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Adrean Newton G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Leaks G | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Keyontae Lewis F | 11 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Jamison G | 29 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 8-11 | 3-4 |
| My'kel Jenkins G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Jaquel Morris F | 16 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Melo Baines F | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dian Wright-Forde G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dramane Camara, Mekhi Reid, Ahmad Torrence, Yel Deeng, Ryan Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNORF -4.5
ModelNORF -4.9
Model edgeNORF +0.4
W NORF covered
Total
Market148.5
Model146.5
Model edgeUnder 2.0
W Under
Projected score
NCCU 70.8 · NORF 75.7
NCCU 68 · NORF 75
Win probability
NORF 67%
1st half
Spread
NORF -2.8
NORF -5.0
Total
68.6
67 points
Projected score
NCCU 32.9 · NORF 35.7
NCCU 31 · NORF 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNORF -4.5
no move
CloseNORF -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NCCU +164 · NORF -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NORF -4.5 · unchangedmodel NORF -5
model NORF -5
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| NORF | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
NCCU 5–5 NORFSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · NCCU has won the last 2 meetings · NCCU 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | NORF 67 @ NCCU 69 | NCCU +1.5 | NCCU W |
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | NORF 87 @ NCCU 91 | NCCU +5.5 | NCCU W |
| Feb 3, 2024-25 | NCCU 78 @ NORF 81 | NORF -9.5 | NCCU W |
| Feb 19, 2023-24 | NCCU 74 @ NORF 80 | NORF -6.5 | NCCU W |
| Jan 8, 2023-24 | NORF 58 @ NCCU 60 | NCCU -1.5 | NCCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC Central
16 games played
Straight up
4-12
25% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NCSU | L 66-114 | +31.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | @ UVA | L 62-81 | +34.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ APP | L 54-76 | +10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNC | L 53-97 | +34.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ DAY | L 55-74 | +29.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 25 | @ UPST | L 67-82 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 3 | @ JMU | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NCAT | L 54-69 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | @ UK | L 67-103 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs LONG | L 72-74 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ PSU | L 67-90 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vsNORF | W 69-67 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | @ COPP | W 88-77 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 12 | @ MORG | W 89-78 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vs HOW | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 2 | vs UMES | W 65-63 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−11.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
+10.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
−7.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
+9.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−12.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+6.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
+1.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+0.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
+3.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+4.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+7.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
−11.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 65-63
−0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−6.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
−17.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
+0.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−14.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−19.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+21.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
−0.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+6.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
−5.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+21.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+25.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
+10.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 65-63
−6.5
over 7under 9avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Norfolk St
20 games played
Straight up
6-14
30% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-7
65% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs W&M | L 78-81 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ ODU | L 57-60 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 14 | @ TOW | L 41-51 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 21 | vs HAMP | W 62-60 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 23 | @ WYO | L 67-75 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARIZ | L 61-98 | +35.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @JMU | L 67-68 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | @ BAY | L 67-97 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vs GRAM | L 68-80 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 135.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 19 | vs JKST | W 82-72 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ UTEP | W 72-71 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs UCI | L 70-89 | +11.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 28 | @ UL | L 54-63 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 126.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 3 | @NCCU | L 67-69 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | @ DSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 12 | vsUMES | L 70-74 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ SCST | W 89-82 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 24 | vsCOPP | W 103-76 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 26 | vsMORG | L 78-79 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 31 | @HOW | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsW&M
W&ML 78-81
−0.5
11
@ODU
ODUL 57-60
+5.5
14
@TOW
TOWL 41-51
+3.5
21
vsHAMP
HAMPW 62-60
−0.5
23
@WYO
WYOL 67-75
+7.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-98
−1.5
6
@JMU
JMUL 67-68
+9.5
10
@BAY
BAYL 67-97
−3.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAML 68-80
−13.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 82-72
+4.5
21
@UTEP
UTEPW 72-71
+11.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 70-89
−7.5
28
@UL
ULL 54-63
−5.5
3
@NCCU
NCCUL 67-69
−3.5
10
@DSU
DSUW 66-64
−2.5
12
vsUMES
UMESL 70-74
−9.5
17
@SCST
SCSTW 89-82
+1.5
24
vsCOPP
COPPW 103-76
+13.5
26
vsMORG
MORGL 78-79
−8.5
31
@HOW
HOWL 60-88
−20.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsW&M
W&ML 78-81
+0.5
11
@ODU
ODUL 57-60
−32.5
14
@TOW
TOWL 41-51
−46.5
21
vsHAMP
HAMPW 62-60
−11.5
23
@WYO
WYOL 67-75
+0.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-98
+12.5
6
@JMU
JMUL 67-68
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYL 67-97
+15.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAML 68-80
+12.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 82-72
+13.5
21
@UTEP
UTEPW 72-71
+6.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 70-89
+22.5
28
@UL
ULL 54-63
−9.5
3
@NCCU
NCCUL 67-69
−5.5
10
@DSU
DSUW 66-64
−2.5
12
vsUMES
UMESL 70-74
+11.5
17
@SCST
SCSTW 89-82
+31.5
24
vsCOPP
COPPW 103-76
+35.5
26
vsMORG
MORGL 78-79
+4.5
31
@HOW
HOWL 60-88
+1.5
over 13under 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC Central
4-12 overall · 4-1 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs MD Eastern65–63
- Lvs Howard69–83
- W@ Morgan St89–78
- W@ Coppin St88–77
- Wvs Norfolk St69–67
5 days since their last game.
Norfolk St
6-14 overall · 3-4 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Howard60–88
- Lvs Morgan St78–79
- Wvs Coppin St103–76
- W@ SC State89–82
- Lvs MD Eastern70–74
A week or more of rest.