McDougald-McLendon Arena · at NC Central
Closing line
NCAT -2.5✓ NCAT covered by 12.5
NCAT -2.5✓ NCAT covered by 12.5Closing total142.5Under by 19.5
| NCAT | This season | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 0-7 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCAT 74–73 NCCU · ✓ NCAT (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAT | 26 | 43 | 69 |
| NCCU | 35 | 19 | 54 |
1st half: NCAT 26, NCCU 35 (NCCU by 9). The model had NCAT by 0.7 and a total of 68.9 (actual 61).
Team stats
| NCAT | NCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-47 43% | Field goals | 15-56 27% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 2-18 11% |
| 25-35 71% | Free throws | 22-30 73% |
| 49 12 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 13 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 24 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 26 |
Players
| NCAT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Walker F | 38 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Trent Middleton Jr. G | 35 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Bryson Ogletree G | 24 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Dwayne Pierce G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Amadou Doumbia F | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lo Walker G | 27 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Will Felton C | 18 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Zamoku Weluche-Ume F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| KJ Debrick F | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brooklyn Vick G | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Efstratios Kalliontzis, Chanler Montgomery, Mujahiid Burton, Yancarlos Cueto, Jalal McKie, Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 36 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-15 | 1-6 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 34 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 34 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Khouri Carvey F | 20 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Jonathan Dunn F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 30 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Jae Slack F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kyric Davis G | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Archey G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Ramondo Battle II F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Camren Daniels, Gbenga Olubi, Justin Edwards, Caleb Ellison, Khalil Arnold
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCAT -2.5
ModelNCAT -1.0
Model edgeNCCU +1.5
L NCAT covered
Total
Market142.5
Model147.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
L Under
Projected score
NCAT 74 · NCCU 73
NCAT 69 · NCCU 54
Win probability
NCAT 53%
1st half
Spread
NCAT -0.7
NCCU -9.0
Total
68.9
61 points
Projected score
NCAT 34.8 · NCCU 34.1
NCAT 26 · NCCU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCAT -1.5
1 → NCAT
CloseNCAT -2.5
1 pt toward NCAT
Total
Open145.5
▼ 3
Close142.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NCAT -135 · NCCU +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCAT -1.5 · closed NCAT -2.5 · moved 1 toward NCATmodel NCAT -1
model NCAT -1
Opened 145.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 3 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCATlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| NCCUlast 7 | 0-7 0% | 3-4 43% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NCAT 1–1 NCCUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · NCAT 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | NCCU 72 @ NCAT 85 | NCAT +1.5 | NCAT W |
| Dec 12, 2023-24 | NCCU 67 @ NCAT 62 | NCAT +4.5 | NCCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC A&T
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
SC
SCL 72-91
+3.5
10
vs
SCST
SCSTW 85-62
+20.5
18
@
MORG
MORGW 79-73
+3.5
28
@
DAV
DAVL 74-90
−2.5
2
@
CLT
CLTL 57-74
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+19.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
−12.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
−9.5
28
@DAV
DAVL 74-90
+18.5
2
@CLT
CLTL 57-74
−13.5
over 2under 3avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC Central
7 games played
Straight up
0-7
0% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@
UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
9
@
APP
APPL 54-76
−11.5
14
@
UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@
DAY
DAYL 55-74
+10.5
25
@
UPST
UPSTL 67-82
−7.5
3
@
JMU
JMUL 62-67
+9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−6.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
−17.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
+0.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−14.5
over 2under 5avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC A&T
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Charlotte57–74
- L@ Davidson74–90
- W@ Morgan St79–73
- Wvs SC State85–62
- L@ South Carolina72–91
4 days since their last game.
NC Central
0-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ James Madison62–67
- L@ SC Upstate67–82
- L@ Dayton55–74
- L@ North Carolina53–97
- L@ App State54–76
3 days since their last game.