Hill Field House · at Morgan St
Closing line
NCAT -2.5✓ NCAT covered by 3.5
NCAT -2.5✓ NCAT covered by 3.5Closing total161.5Under by 9.5
| NCAT | This season | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 0-3 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCAT 81–78 MORG · ✓ NCAT (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAT | 45 | 34 | 79 |
| MORG | 38 | 35 | 73 |
1st half: NCAT 45, MORG 38 (NCAT by 7). The model had NCAT by 2.1 and a total of 74.4 (actual 83).
Team stats
| NCAT | MORG | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-50 52% | Field goals | 28-62 45% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 21-27 78% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 40 8 off | Rebounds | 24 5 off |
| 18 | Assists | 13 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| NCAT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Walker F | 40 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 7-13 | 1-4 |
| Trent Middleton Jr. G | 36 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Brooklyn Vick G | 33 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Bryson Ogletree G | 29 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Amadou Doumbia F | 22 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mujahiid Burton G | 22 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Will Felton C | 18 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chanler Montgomery, Efstratios Kalliontzis, Lo Walker, KJ Debrick, Jalal McKie, Yancarlos Cueto, Dwayne Pierce, Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes, Zamoku Weluche-Ume
| MORG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis G | 37 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 8-13 | 0-1 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. G | 32 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-18 | 2-12 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. G | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Christian Meeks F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Dallas James C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rob Lawson G | 31 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Christian Oliver C | 26 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Eugene Alvin F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Marland Harris F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Manok Lual F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matar Wade, Jayden Socka, Trent Edwards, David Bumpass, Breon Barnett
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCAT -2.5
ModelNCAT -3.1
Model edgeNCAT +0.6
W NCAT covered
Total
Market161.5
Model158.8
Model edgeUnder 2.7
W Under
Projected score
NCAT 81 · MORG 77.8
NCAT 79 · MORG 73
Win probability
NCAT 61%
1st half
Spread
NCAT -2.1
NCAT -7.0
Total
74.4
83 points
Projected score
NCAT 38.2 · MORG 36.2
NCAT 45 · MORG 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCAT -1.5
1 → NCAT
CloseNCAT -2.5
1 pt toward NCAT
Total
Open158.5
▲ 3
Close161.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
NCAT -140 · MORG +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCAT -1.5 · closed NCAT -2.5 · moved 1 toward NCATmodel NCAT -3
model NCAT -3
Opened 158.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 3 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCATlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% |
| MORGlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NCAT 1–0 MORGNCAT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NCAT 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024-25 | MORG 83 @ NCAT 86 | NCAT -6.5 | MORG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC A&T
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +12 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
SC
SCL 72-91
+3.5
10
vs
SCST
SCSTW 85-62
+20.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +12 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+19.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
−12.5
over 1under 1avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Morgan St
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+10.5
11
vs
UMBC
UMBCL 79-81
+2.5
15
@
MERC
MERCL 72-86
−7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+2.5
11
vsUMBC
UMBCL 79-81
−2.5
15
@MERC
MERCL 72-86
+11.5
over 2under 1avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC A&T
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC State85–62
- L@ South Carolina72–91
A week or more of rest.
Morgan St
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mercyhurst72–86
- Lvs UMBC79–81
- L@ Georgetown70–87
3 days since their last game.