Elon Phoenix at Wofford Terriers: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Dec 6, 4:00 PM ETJerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · at Wofford

#232ELONElon73▲ winner

Final

#248WOFWofford52final

Closing lineWOF -4.5✓ ELON covered by 25.5

Closing total161.5Under by 36.5

Season records: Elon and Wofford
ELON	This season	WOF
3-4	Record	5-3
3-4	ATS	4-4
6-1	O/U	6-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ELON 79–83 WOF · ✗ WOF (64%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ELON	50	23	73
WOF	15	37	52

1st half: ELON 50, WOF 15 (ELON by 35). The model had WOF by 2.4 and a total of 75.9 (actual 65).

Team stats

ELON		WOF
27-54 50%	Field goals	18-56 32%
8-19 42%	3-pointers	7-32 22%
11-14 79%	Free throws	9-15 60%
40 11 off	Rebounds	28 11 off
19	Assists	8
7	Steals	8
4	Blocks	4
11	Turnovers	9
14	Fouls	15
34	Points in paint	22
5	Fast-break points	12

Players

ELON	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kacper Klaczek F	31	11	8	5	4-6	1-1
Chandler Cuthrell F	27	21	8	2	8-11	2-2
Ja'Juan Carr G	26	6	0	5	1-5	0-1
Isaac Harrell F	23	7	2	0	3-6	1-3
Randall Pettus II G	23	12	7	1	5-8	2-5
Bench
Bryson Cokley G	22	12	7	1	4-10	2-4
Ned Hull G	21	0	2	2	0-1	0-1
DeMarco Johnson G	14	2	0	1	1-2	0-1
Bryson Spell F	6	0	2	0	0-1	0-1
Caleb Middleton C	5	0	1	2	0-2	0-0
Iker Garmendia F	2	2	0	0	1-2	0-0

Did not play: Alex Olander, Alex Brabec, Austin Williams, Trey O'Neil, Savion Taylor

WOF	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Luke Flynn G	32	6	3	1	2-6	2-6
Kahmare Holmes G	31	12	4	0	5-16	0-6
Nils Machowski G	31	12	3	1	4-14	2-11
Brian Sumpter F	28	2	5	1	1-4	0-1
Cayden Vasko G	18	4	2	4	1-2	0-1
Bench
Chace Watley G	25	11	1	0	3-8	3-5
Rex Stirling F	14	4	2	0	2-3	0-0
Brendan Rigsbee G	12	0	1	0	0-2	0-2
Max Ortega G	7	1	1	1	0-1	0-0
Jayden Tyler G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Davis Miller, Grayson Collins, Alessandro Perotti, Callum Richard, Cannon Richards

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	WOF -4.5	WOF -4.2	ELON +0.3	W ELON covered
Total	161.5	162.3	Over 0.8	L Under
Projected score	—	ELON 79.1 · WOF 83.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WOF -2.4	ELON -35.0
1H total	75.9	65
1H projected score	ELON 36.8 · WOF 39.2	ELON 50 · WOF 15

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ELON LLWLL	3-4	43%	3-1	3-2
WOF WLLWW	4-4	50%	2-1	3-1

Venue/role: ELON away, as underdog; WOF home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ELON OOUOO	6-1	86%	3-4
WOF OOOOU	6-2	75%	5-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ELONlast 7	3-4 43%	3-4 43%	6-1 86%
WOFlast 8	5-3 63%	4-4 50%	6-2 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

ELON 1–0 WOFELON leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ELON 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 7, 2024-25	WOF 56 @ ELON 79	ELON -2.5	ELON W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Elon

7 games played

Straight up

3-4

43% wins

Against the spread

3-4

43% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-1

86% overs · avg +20.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-443%

W L W L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-443%

W W L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-186%

O O O O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@UNCG	W 92-90	+4.5	W +6.5	142.5	O 182
Nov 12	@MRSH	L 89-96	+8.5	W +1.5	155.5	O 185
Nov 15	vsGWEB	W 95-84	-13.5	L −2.5	154.5	O 179
Nov 20	@MIA	L 72-99	+19.5	L −7.5	164.5	O 171
Nov 24	@APP	W 88-53	+5.5	W +40.5	143.5	U 141
Nov 29	vsMER	L 84-91	-2.5	L −9.5	159.5	O 175
Dec 3	vsFUR	L 88-97	+1.5	L −7.5	153.5	O 185

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UNCG

W 92-90

+6.5

MRSH

L 89-96

+1.5

GWEB

W 95-84

−2.5

MIA

L 72-99

−7.5

APP

W 88-53

+40.5

MER

L 84-91

−9.5

FUR

L 88-97

−7.5

covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UNCG

W 92-90

+39.5

MRSH

L 89-96

+29.5

GWEB

W 95-84

+24.5

MIA

L 72-99

+6.5

APP

W 88-53

−2.5

MER

L 84-91

+15.5

FUR

L 88-97

+31.5

over 6under 1avg +20.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Wofford

8 games played

Straight up

5-3

63% wins

Against the spread

4-4

50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-2

75% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-363%

L W L W W L W W

2 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-450%

L W L W L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-275%

U O O O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@GMU	L 46-70	+14.5	L −9.5	140.5	U 116
Nov 8	vsMILW	W 86-76	+3.5	W +13.5	150.5	O 162
Nov 11	@AUB	L 62-93	+27.5	L −3.5	152.5	O 155
Nov 15	@BELL	W 94-86	-3.5	W +4.5	156.5	O 180
Nov 19	vsUNF	W 86-78	-10.5	L −2.5	161.5	O 164
Nov 26	@NKU	L 83-93	+3.5	L −6.5	149.5	O 176
Nov 29	@EKU	W 83-77	-1.5	W +4.5	153.5	O 160
Dec 3	vsPRES	W 63-56	-4.5	W +2.5	138.5	U 119

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

GMU

L 46-70

−9.5

MILW

W 86-76

+13.5

AUB

L 62-93

−3.5

BELL

W 94-86

+4.5

UNF

W 86-78

−2.5

NKU

L 83-93

−6.5

EKU

W 83-77

+4.5

PRES

W 63-56

+2.5

covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

GMU

L 46-70

−24.5

MILW

W 86-76

+11.5

AUB

L 62-93

+2.5

BELL

W 94-86

+23.5

UNF

W 86-78

+2.5

NKU

L 83-93

+26.5

EKU

W 83-77

+6.5

PRES

W 63-56

−19.5

over 6under 2avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Elon Phoenix at Wofford Terriers

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Elon

Wofford

Elon

Wofford