Presbyterian Blue Hose at Wofford Terriers: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 3, 7:00 PM ETJerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · at Wofford

Final

#248WOFWofford63▲ winner

Closing lineWOF -4.5✓ WOF covered by 2.5

Closing total138.5Under by 19.5

Season records: Presbyterian and Wofford
PRES	This season	WOF
3-5	Record	4-3
5-3	ATS	3-4
2-6	O/U	6-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: PRES 67–72 WOF · ✓ WOF (66%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
PRES	22	34	56
WOF	31	32	63

1st half: PRES 22, WOF 31 (WOF by 9). The model had WOF by 2.7 and a total of 65.4 (actual 53).

Team stats

PRES		WOF
21-56 38%	Field goals	20-68 29%
4-11 36%	3-pointers	10-32 31%
10-16 63%	Free throws	13-18 72%
46 14 off	Rebounds	41 17 off
7	Assists	9
4	Steals	6
7	Blocks	3
12	Turnovers	5
14	Fouls	15
32	Points in paint	20
2	Fast-break points	7

Players

PRES	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Triston Wilson G	34	7	7	3	2-10	1-3
Jonah Pierce F	33	19	14	0	8-14	0-0
Josh Pickett G	31	0	1	1	0-5	0-1
Carl Parrish G	27	11	1	2	4-11	3-6
Jaylen Peterson F	14	2	2	0	1-2	0-0
Bench
Chidi Chiakwelu F	25	12	10	0	4-10	0-0
Iverson King G	16	2	5	1	1-2	0-1
Amare Anderson G	9	3	1	0	1-1	0-0
Khalon Hudson G	8	0	2	0	0-1	0-0
JD Bowden G	3	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Augustine Ayelyine, Erik Taylor, Luke Allison

WOF	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Luke Flynn G	35	8	2	1	3-8	2-7
Kahmare Holmes G	32	16	7	1	5-17	2-7
Nils Machowski G	31	16	6	2	5-16	2-9
Cayden Vasko G	29	10	4	2	4-9	2-4
Rex Stirling F	15	0	2	1	0-5	0-0
Bench
Chace Watley G	23	9	9	1	3-10	2-4
Brian Sumpter F	21	4	5	1	0-2	0-0
Brendan Rigsbee G	13	0	1	0	0-1	0-1
Callum Richard C	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Cannon Richards, Jayden Tyler, Alessandro Perotti, Max Ortega, Grayson Collins, Davis Miller

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	WOF -4.5	WOF -4.7	WOF +0.2	W WOF covered
Total	138.5	139.6	Over 1.1	L Under
Projected score	—	PRES 67.4 · WOF 72.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WOF -2.7	WOF -9.0
1H total	65.4	53
1H projected score	PRES 31.3 · WOF 34.1	PRES 22 · WOF 31

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PRES LWWLW	5-3	63%	3-2	4-3
WOF LWLLW	3-4	43%	1-1	2-1

Venue/role: PRES away, as underdog; WOF home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
PRES OUUOU	2-6	25%	3-5
WOF OOOOO	6-1	86%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PRESlast 8	3-5 38%	5-3 63%	2-6 25%
WOFlast 7	4-3 57%	3-4 43%	6-1 86%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

PRES 1–2 WOFWOF leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · PRES 1-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 13, 2024-25	WOF 68 @ PRES 71	PRES +4.5	PRES W
Dec 1, 2022-23	PRES 63 @ WOF 76	WOF -12.5	WOF W
Dec 18, 2021-22	WOF 76 @ PRES 49	PRES +6.5	WOF W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Presbyterian

8 games played

Straight up

3-5

38% wins

Against the spread

5-3

63% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-6

25% overs · avg −10.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-538%

L W W L L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

5-363%

L W W L W W L W

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-625%

U U U O U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsNAVY	L 55-76	+3.5	L −17.5	141.5	U 131
Nov 8	vsETSU	W 68-64	+6.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 132
Nov 10	@GAST	W 63-61	+3.5	W +5.5	141.5	U 124
Nov 12	@SC	L 61-81	+16.5	L −3.5	137.5	O 142
Nov 16	@SAC	L 62-64	+6.5	W +4.5	150.5	U 126
Nov 18	@CAL	L 57-67	+10.5	W +0.5	124.5	U 124
Nov 21	@UCLA	L 46-86	+25.5	L −14.5	131.5	O 132
Nov 30	vsCIT	W 69-41	-8.5	W +19.5	133.5	U 110

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NAVY

L 55-76

−17.5

ETSU

W 68-64

+10.5

GAST

W 63-61

+5.5

L 61-81

−3.5

SAC

L 62-64

+4.5

CAL

L 57-67

+0.5

UCLA

L 46-86

−14.5

CIT

W 69-41

+19.5

covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NAVY

L 55-76

−10.5

ETSU

W 68-64

−9.5

GAST

W 63-61

−17.5

L 61-81

+4.5

SAC

L 62-64

−24.5

CAL

L 57-67

−0.5

UCLA

L 46-86

+0.5

CIT

W 69-41

−23.5

over 2under 6avg −10.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Wofford

7 games played

Straight up

4-3

57% wins

Against the spread

3-4

43% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-1

86% overs · avg +6.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-357%

L W L W W L W

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-443%

L W L W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

6-186%

U O O O O O O

6 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@GMU	L 46-70	+14.5	L −9.5	140.5	U 116
Nov 8	vsMILW	W 86-76	+3.5	W +13.5	150.5	O 162
Nov 11	@AUB	L 62-93	+27.5	L −3.5	152.5	O 155
Nov 15	@BELL	W 94-86	-3.5	W +4.5	156.5	O 180
Nov 19	vsUNF	W 86-78	-10.5	L −2.5	161.5	O 164
Nov 26	@NKU	L 83-93	+3.5	L −6.5	149.5	O 176
Nov 29	@EKU	W 83-77	-1.5	W +4.5	153.5	O 160

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

GMU

L 46-70

−9.5

MILW

W 86-76

+13.5

AUB

L 62-93

−3.5

BELL

W 94-86

+4.5

UNF

W 86-78

−2.5

NKU

L 83-93

−6.5

EKU

W 83-77

+4.5

covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

GMU

L 46-70

−24.5

MILW

W 86-76

+11.5

AUB

L 62-93

+2.5

BELL

W 94-86

+23.5

UNF

W 86-78

+2.5

NKU

L 83-93

+26.5

EKU

W 83-77

+6.5

over 6under 1avg +6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Presbyterian @ Wofford

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Presbyterian

Wofford

Presbyterian

Wofford