Hornet Pavilion · at Sacramento St
Closing line
SAC -6.5✓ PRES covered by 4.5
SAC -6.5✓ PRES covered by 4.5Closing total150.5Under by 24.5
 PRES | This season | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 0-2 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PRES 72–73 SAC · ✓ SAC (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRES | 36 | 26 | 62 |
| SAC | 27 | 37 | 64 |
1st half: PRES 36, SAC 27 (PRES by 9). The model had SAC by 0.9 and a total of 68.0 (actual 63).
Team stats
| PRES | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-59 39% | Field goals | 22-48 46% |
| 3-21 14% | 3-pointers | 2-11 18% |
| 13-21 62% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 34 14 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 11 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| PRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Parrish G | 35 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-14 | 2-5 |
| Jonah Pierce F | 35 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Triston Wilson G | 34 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4-14 | 0-7 |
| Jaylen Peterson F | 21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Erik Taylor G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Iverson King G | 29 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Khalon Hudson G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Chidi Chiakwelu F | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Josh Pickett G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| JD Bowden G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Amare Anderson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Allison, Augustine Ayelyine
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson G | 37 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bear Cherry F | 37 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 8-15 | 0-0 |
| Mikey Williams G | 36 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Shaqir O'Neal F | 22 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jahni Summers G | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Gardner F | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Teat G | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Mark Lavrenov F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Taj Glover G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Arman Madi G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jeremiah Nyarko, Romari Robinson, Zach Anderson, Isaiah Bronson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSAC -6.5
ModelSAC -1.7
Model edgePRES +4.8
W PRES covered
Total
Market150.5
Model145.1
Model edgeUnder 5.4
W Under
Projected score
PRES 71.7 · SAC 73.4
PRES 62 · SAC 64
Win probability
SAC 56%
1st half
Spread
SAC -0.9
PRES -9.0
Total
68.0
63 points
Projected score
PRES 33.6 · SAC 34.4
PRES 36 · SAC 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSAC -4.5
2 → SAC
CloseSAC -6.5
2 pts toward SAC
Total
Open153.5
▼ 3
Close150.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
PRES +230 · SAC -280
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SAC -4.5 · closed SAC -6.5 · moved 2 toward SACmodel SAC -1.5
model SAC -1.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 3 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRESlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
| SAClast 2 | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Presbyterian
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−17.5
8
vs
ETSU
ETSUW 68-64
+10.5
10
@
GAST
GASTW 63-61
+5.5
12
@
SC
SCL 61-81
−3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−10.5
8
vsETSU
ETSUW 68-64
−9.5
10
@GAST
GASTW 63-61
−17.5
12
@SC
SCL 61-81
+4.5
over 1under 3avg −8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Sacramento St
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vs
UCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+2.5
14
@
UCD
UCDL 73-77
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+17.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
−1.5
over 1under 1avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Presbyterian
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Carolina61–81
- W@ Georgia St63–61
- Wvs ETSU68–64
- Lvs Navy55–76
4 days since their last game.
Sacramento St
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Davis73–77
- Lvs Santa Barbara87–92
2 days since their last game.