McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona · Conference game
#13ISUIowa State AP #657final
Final
#5ARIZArizona AP #273▲ winner
Closing lineARIZ -7.5✓ ARIZ covered by 8.5
Closing total149.5Under by 19.5
Season records: Iowa State and Arizona
ISUThis seasonARIZ
24-5Record27-2
16-13ATS16-13
12-17O/U14-15

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ISU 73–79 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (72%) won
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
ISU253257
ARIZ373673

1st half: ISU 25, ARIZ 37 (ARIZ by 12). The model had ARIZ by 3.9 and a total of 71.1 (actual 62).

Team stats

ISUARIZ
19-65 29%Field goals22-48 46%
7-30 23%3-pointers6-18 33%
12-13 92%Free throws23-26 88%
33 15 offRebounds40 9 off
10Assists14
8Steals8
2Blocks6
11Turnovers15
20Fouls14
16Points in paint24
9Fast-break points17

Players

ISUMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Milan Momcilovic F335202-81-5
Tamin Lipsey G3217626-152-7
Joshua Jefferson F2812822-170-5
Blake Buchanan F234722-40-0
Killyan Toure G182001-30-2
Bench
Jamarion Batemon G2714015-144-10
Nate Heise G240510-30-1
Dominykas Pleta F110420-00-0
Eric Mulder F20000-00-0
Dominick Nelson G13001-10-0
Cade Kelderman G10000-00-0

Did not play: Mason Williams, Xzavion Mitchell, Anthony Rise

ARIZMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Jaden Bradley G3617424-100-1
Koa Peat F294432-60-0
Brayden Burries G2411634-91-5
Motiejus Krivas C2413303-41-1
Ivan Kharchenkov F200400-40-3
Bench
Tobe Awaka F25101512-20-0
Anthony Dell'Orso G218243-62-5
Dwayne Aristode F168103-62-3
Sven Djopmo G10000-00-0
Sidi Gueye C10010-00-0
Evan Nelson G10000-00-0
Jackson Francois G10000-00-0
Addison Arnold G12001-10-0

Did not play: Jackson Cook, Bryce James, Mabil Mawut

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Market

Open → close
Spread
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ISU +260 · ARIZ -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -8.5 · closed ARIZ -7.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ARIZ -6.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 upmodel 152
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edgeResult
SpreadARIZ -7.5ARIZ -6.7ISU +0.8L ARIZ covered
Total149.5151.9Over 2.4L Under
Projected score—ISU 72.6 · ARIZ 79.3

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadARIZ -3.9ARIZ -12.0
1H total71.162
1H projected scoreISU 33.6 · ARIZ 37.5ISU 25 · ARIZ 37

Iowa State

24-5 overall · 11-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas Tech73–82
  • W@ Utah75–59
  • L@ BYU69–79
  • Wvs Houston70–67
  • Wvs Kansas74–56

2 days since their last game.

Arizona

27-2 overall · 14-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Kansas84–61
  • W@ Baylor87–80
  • W@ Houston73–66
  • Wvs BYU75–68
  • Lvs Texas Tech75–78

2 days since their last game.