Schollmaier Arena · at TCU · Conference game
Closing line
ISU -7.5✓ TCU covered by 14.5
ISU -7.5✓ TCU covered by 14.5Closing total147.5Under by 30.5
| ISU | This season | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| 21-2 | Record | 14-9 |
| 13-10 | ATS | 11-12 |
| 10-13 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ISU 78–70 TCU · ✗ ISU (77%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 30 | 25 | 55 |
| TCU | 29 | 33 | 62 |
1st half: ISU 30, TCU 29 (ISU by 1). The model had ISU by 5.2 and a total of 69.4 (actual 59).
Team stats
| ISU | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-58 41% | Field goals | 21-52 40% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 2-8 25% | Free throws | 15-23 65% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 20 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson F | 38 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 5-15 | 1-3 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 36 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-12 | 3-10 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 36 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 6-10 | 0-3 |
| Killyan Toure G | 26 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 25 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Eric Mulder F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Williams, Cade Kelderman, Dominick Nelson, Xzavion Mitchell, Anthony Rise
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre G | 33 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| David Punch F | 31 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 29 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Micah Robinson G | 29 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-1 |
| Brock Harding G | 27 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tanner Toolson G | 27 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Jace Posey G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: RJ Jones, Ashton Simmons, Adam Stewart, Drew McElroy, Trey Stuart, Malick Diallo, Kayden Edwards
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -6.5
1 → ISU
CloseISU -7.5
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ISU -340 · TCU +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -6.5 · closed ISU -7.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ISU -8.5
model ISU -8.5
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ISU -7.5 | ISU -8.5 | ISU +1.0 | L TCU covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 148.4 | Over 0.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ISU 78.4 · TCU 69.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ISU -5.2 | ISU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 69.4 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | ISU 37.3 · TCU 32.1 | ISU 30 · TCU 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| TCU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
ISU 6–1 TCUISU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · ISU has won the last 6 meetings · ISU 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | TCU 52 @ ISU 82 | ISU -16.5 | ISU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | TCU 59 @ ISU 71 | ISU -8.5 | ISU W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | ISU 73 @ TCU 72 | TCU -4.5 | ISU W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | TCU 59 @ ISU 70 | ISU -6.5 | ISU W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | ISU 69 @ TCU 67 | TCU -5.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa State
23 games played
Straight up
21-2
91% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-13
43% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vs WVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs OKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @ KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @ CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vs UCF | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @OKST | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vs COLO | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | @ KSU | W 95-61 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsBAY | W 72-69 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
+15.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
+2.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+12.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
+21.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−11.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
−12.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
−7.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+11.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
−0.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−10.5
over 10under 13avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
TCU
23 games played
Straight up
14-9
61% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs ND | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNT | W 65-55 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs UIW | W 69-65 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs ORU | W 72-53 | -23.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 21 | vs FAMU | W 80-56 | -29.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs JKST | W 115-64 | -30.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vsBAY | W 69-63 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @KU | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARIZ | L 73-86 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | @ BYU | L 70-76 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ UTAH | L 79-82 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vsOKST | W 68-65 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BAY | W 97-90 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | vs HOU | L 70-79 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 1 | @COLO | L 61-87 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vsKSU | W 84-82 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
−8.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
+0.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−15.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−4.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−5.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+20.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
+3.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+2.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
−5.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
+7.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
−7.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−5.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+11.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
−0.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−27.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
+30.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
−15.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−9.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−22.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−6.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+35.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
−22.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+60.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
+1.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
−16.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
+6.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−28.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+39.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
+9.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−5.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
+10.5
over 11under 12avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa State
21-2 overall · 8-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Baylor72–69
- W@ Kansas St95–61
- Wvs Colorado97–67
- W@ Oklahoma St84–71
- Wvs UCF87–57
3 days since their last game.
TCU
14-9 overall · 4-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas St84–82
- L@ Colorado61–87
- Lvs Houston70–79
- W@ Baylor97–90
- Wvs Oklahoma St68–65
3 days since their last game.