Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St · Conference game
Closing line
ISU -12.5✓ ISU covered by 21.5
ISU -12.5✓ ISU covered by 21.5Closing total156.5Under by 0.5
| ISU | This season | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| 19-2 | Record | 10-11 |
| 12-9 | ATS | 8-13 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 10-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ISU 85–73 KSU · ✓ ISU (86%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 50 | 45 | 95 |
| KSU | 21 | 40 | 61 |
1st half: ISU 50, KSU 21 (ISU by 29). The model had ISU by 7.5 and a total of 73.7 (actual 71).
Team stats
| ISU | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-60 55% | Field goals | 25-62 40% |
| 14-27 52% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 4-6 67% |
| 39 10 off | Rebounds | 24 8 off |
| 28 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson F | 34 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 7-13 | 2-5 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 33 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 30 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 5-9 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 25 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Killyan Toure G | 23 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 23 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mulder F | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Cade Kelderman G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Williams, Xzavion Mitchell, Anthony Rise
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 34 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11-21 | 1-4 |
| Nate Johnson G | 32 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Taj Manning F | 31 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| David Castillo G | 30 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-4 |
| Dorin Buca C | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrej Kostic G | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| CJ Jones G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Marcus Johnson F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Abdi Bashir Jr., Mobi Ikegwuruka, Elias Rapieque, Exavier Wilson, Khamari McGriff, Stephen Osei
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -10.5
2 → ISU
CloseISU -12.5
2 pts toward ISU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 1
Close156.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ISU -1000 · KSU +650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -10.5 · closed ISU -12.5 · moved 2 toward ISUmodel ISU -12.5 matches the line
model ISU -12.5 = line ✓
Opened 155.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ISU -12.5 | ISU -12.4 | KSU +0.1 | L ISU covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 157.5 | Over 1.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ISU 85 · KSU 72.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ISU -7.5 | ISU -29.0 |
| 1H total | 73.7 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | ISU 40.6 · KSU 33.1 | ISU 50 · KSU 21 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| KSU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ISU 5–4 KSUISU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ISU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | ISU 73 @ KSU 57 | KSU +6.5 | ISU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | KSU 80 @ ISU 61 | ISU -14.5 | KSU W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | KSU 57 vs ISU 76 | ISU -8.5 | ISU W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | ISU 58 @ KSU 65 | KSU +3.5 | KSU W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | KSU 67 @ ISU 78 | ISU -8.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa State
21 games played
Straight up
19-2
90% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vs WVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs OKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @ KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @ CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vs UCF | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @OKST | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vs COLO | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
+15.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
+2.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+12.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
−12.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
−7.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+11.5
over 10under 11avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
8-13
38% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vsMSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BYU | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARIZ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ ASU | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vsUCF | L 73-82 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | @OKST | L 83-84 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | vs UTAH | W 81-78 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsKU | L 62-86 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 27 | @WVU | L 54-59 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 113 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−2.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
−7.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
−1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−11.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
+1.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−7.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−19.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 13avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−18.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
+5.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
+1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−15.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
−8.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−9.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−10.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
−33.5
over 10under 11avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa State
19-2 overall · 6-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colorado97–67
- W@ Oklahoma St84–71
- Wvs UCF87–57
- L@ Cincinnati70–79
- L@ Kansas63–84
3 days since their last game.
Kansas St
10-11 overall · 1-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ West Virginia54–59
- Lvs Kansas62–86
- Wvs Utah81–78
- L@ Oklahoma St83–84
- Lvs UCF73–82
5 days since their last game.